Possible Development in C Atlantic Wave (Is invest 92L)

[Emmett_Brown]

Moving W at 10-15. That's a fairly lazy pace for this part of the ocean, so definitely indicates a weak high to the north. Interesting. This wave is definitely steady state for the moment, but worth watching in a couple of days as it moves west.

[Gustywind]

Wayne Verno, Lead Meteorologist, The Weather Channel
5:46 a.m. ET 8/8/2008
Wayne Verno, Lead Meteorologist, The Weather Channel http://www.weather.com/newscenter/tropical/
One area of showers was embedded within the monsoon trough to the south-southeast of the Cape Verde Islands, but is showing no signs of organization or development.

[Mecklenburg]

Wayne Verno, Lead Meteorologist, The Weather Channel
5:46 a.m. ET 8/8/2008
Wayne Verno, Lead Meteorologist, The Weather Channel http://www.weather.com/newscenter/tropical/
One area of showers was embedded within the monsoon trough to the south-southeast of the Cape Verde Islands, but is showing no signs of organization or development.

it may have it soon...

[Sanibel]

Maybe by Sunday.

[HURAKAN]

[AtlanticWind]

http://manati.orbit.nesdis.noaa.gov/dat ... MBas26.png


Maybe some circulation ?

[Weatherfreak000]

It appears the storm is in the trouble area I described earlier...but it's definitely looking better convection wise then I thought.


However after today it'll move into a VERY conducive area shear wise, and it is moving slowly. Anyone watching this storm needs to hope it can survive 30-40W.

[HURAKAN]

[HURAKAN]

Loop: http://oiswww.eumetsat.org/SDDI/cgi/lis ... 0#controls

Circulation is visible north of the convection. Convection continues to be related to the ITCZ.

[AtlanticWind]

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/catl/loop-rgb.html

Convection starting to reach alittle further north , I think this one could have a chance at forming in the next 2-4 days

[Ed Mahmoud]

Ok, it is the Canadian Global, but it says this very little wave hits the Northeast Caribbean next Thursday...

[cycloneye]

The last visible pic before it gets dark:

[cycloneye]

They haved been running tests on this wave since 00z last night.This is AL88,not official invest.

BEGIN
HPC
invest_al882008.invest
FSTDA
R
U
040
010
0000
200808081827
NONE
NOTIFY=ATRP
END
TEST, AL, L, , , , , 88, 2008, TD, O, 2008080818, 9999999999, , , , , , METWATCH, , AL882008
AL, 88, 2008080800, , BEST, 0, 123N, 324W, 25, 1005, TD, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0,
AL, 88, 2008080806, , BEST, 0, 123N, 333W, 25, 1005, TD, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0,
AL, 88, 2008080812, , BEST, 0, 123N, 342W, 25, 1005, TD, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0,
AL, 88, 2008080818, , BEST, 0, 123N, 352W, 25, 1005, TD, 34, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1008, 150, 0, 0, 0,

ftp://ftp.tpc.ncep.noaa.gov/atcf/tcweb/

[RL3AO]

They run tests on real waves? Usually its an area with no clouds.

[Mecklenburg]

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/catl/loop-rgb.html

Convection starting to reach alittle further north , I think this one could have a chance at forming in the next 2-4 days

not until it develops a low i think...

[AtlanticWind]

...TROPICAL WAVES...
A LOW AMPLITUDE TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 31/32W S OF 16N MOVING W
AROUND 15 KT. 850 MB SATELLITE DERIVED VORTICITY AND THE
MIMIC-TPW FROM CIMSS SUPPORT THE WAVE POSITION. A CYCLONIC
TURNING IS SEEN ALONG THE WAVE AXIS NEAR 11N. SCATTERED MODERATE
CONVECTION IS MAINLY AHEAD OF THE WAVE AND NEAR THE INTERSECTION
OF THE WAVE AND THE ITCZ FROM 6N-10N BETWEEN 32W-40W. SCATTERED
SHOWERS ARE NEAR 11N32W.

[Mecklenburg]

hmmm... my hopes are high on this one, also to the next weak about to emerge of africa...

[Mecklenburg]

looks pretty measly right now, though SAL is evaporating, what about the shear around this sytem?

[Category 5]

looks pretty measly right now, though SAL is evaporating, what about the shear around this sytem?

[Mecklenburg]

looks pretty measly right now, though SAL is evaporating, what about the shear around this sytem?

not too bad... i give it a chance..