Long Range Models

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canetracker
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Re: Long Range Models=00z GFS is Rolling in

#441 Postby canetracker » Sat Aug 09, 2008 11:32 pm

Last edited by canetracker on Sat Aug 09, 2008 11:33 pm, edited 3 times in total.
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Re: Long Range Models=00z GFS is Rolling in

#442 Postby wzrgirl1 » Sat Aug 09, 2008 11:32 pm

take some deep breaths, could be a long two weeks
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Re: Long Range Models=00z GFS is Rolling in

#443 Postby canetracker » Sat Aug 09, 2008 11:37 pm

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Re: Long Range Models=00z GFS is Rolling in

#444 Postby canetracker » Sat Aug 09, 2008 11:40 pm

Image
GOM or EC Bound???
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Re: Long Range Models=00z GFS is Rolling in

#445 Postby canetracker » Sat Aug 09, 2008 11:44 pm

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/carib/gfs/00/index_ten_l_loop.shtml
Loop so far up to 324 hr and is GOM Bound
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Re: Long Range Models=00z GFS is Rolling in

#446 Postby ROCK » Sat Aug 09, 2008 11:44 pm

canetracker wrote:Image
GOM or EC Bound???


Hispanola bound...... then FL gets slammed......still 324 is la la land but interesting to see....
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Re: Long Range Models=00z GFS is Rolling in

#447 Postby canetracker » Sat Aug 09, 2008 11:46 pm

I saw that. Florida according to this run will get it.
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Re: Long Range Models=00z GFS is Rolling in

#448 Postby cycloneye » Sat Aug 09, 2008 11:47 pm

Mj,I think you may have to leave your property very secured as you travel to the U.S.
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Re: Long Range Models=00z GFS is Rolling in

#449 Postby canetracker » Sat Aug 09, 2008 11:48 pm

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/carib/gfs/00/index_ten_l_loop.shtml
384 hr loop.
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Re: Long Range Models

#450 Postby Mecklenburg » Sun Aug 10, 2008 12:02 am

goodness, it will be a long week next week :eek:
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Re: Long Range Models

#451 Postby cycloneye » Sun Aug 10, 2008 12:30 am

The 00z Canadian in 144 hours:

Image
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Re: Long Range Models

#452 Postby Mecklenburg » Sun Aug 10, 2008 12:43 am

what time is the next TWO? it would be upgraded to orange i guess...
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Re: Long Range Models

#453 Postby Duddy » Sun Aug 10, 2008 12:49 am

Wow, I just saw a computer predict Andrew 2.
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#454 Postby ConvergenceZone » Sun Aug 10, 2008 12:50 am

I still get confused on what model is developing what wave, LOL. These waves coming off Africa are so frequent anymore that it makes it difficult to tell what wave or waves the models are latching onto... :double:
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Re: Long Range Models

#455 Postby Wx_Warrior » Sun Aug 10, 2008 1:19 am

For one, models are picking up....Where it goes, WAY TOO SOON.

I've seen Tx/La border, New Orleans and now Florida on the last 2 runs.

Regardless of what or when, it's obvious in about 7-10 days, it's going to get very busy out there.
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#456 Postby Stormcenter » Sun Aug 10, 2008 1:22 am

Sorry to burst anyones bubble but I'll believe it when I see it.
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#457 Postby KWT » Sun Aug 10, 2008 2:04 am

Models are certainly increasing the activity now with suggestions of possibly 2 storms developing in the next 7 days or so, as the waves from Cape Verde finally enter better conditions, also just in time for the favorable MJO to move in.

GFS is utter amazing, Donna 1960 all over again that is....
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Re: Long Range Models

#458 Postby blp » Sun Aug 10, 2008 2:08 am

00Z EURO

Showing a similar track to 00Z GFS just a tad further south and it takes it into the GOM. The timeframe is also similar to the GFS. Seems like we are getting some consensus in the mid range.

Image

http://www.ecmwf.int/products/forecasts ... 8081000!!/
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#459 Postby KWT » Sun Aug 10, 2008 2:13 am

The ECM has a Georges track as well I note, we shall see, for now more activity just seems the best bet.
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Mecklenburg

Re:

#460 Postby Mecklenburg » Sun Aug 10, 2008 2:15 am

ConvergenceZone wrote:I still get confused on what model is developing what wave, LOL. These waves coming off Africa are so frequent anymore that it makes it difficult to tell what wave or waves the models are latching onto... :double:


yeah, i was wondering about that too... it's confusing whether it's the 2nd or the 2rd wave... :?:
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