
ATL: Tropical Depression Fay
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Re: ATL: Invest 92L - Central Atlantic
cycloneye wrote:Trying to pop up convection.
I have to say that this does look a lot better than what 94L (future Dolly) did look like at this point in its life.
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Re: ATL: Invest 92L - Central Atlantic
boca wrote:I predicting a TD tomorrow by 11am.
Have to agree there, but hoping not. Will not predict anything further at this time though. I don't want people to get upset with me predicting a super typhoon type Hurricane.
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- canetracker
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HURAKAN wrote:Unless it contracts as it develops, it will be a big system.
Agreed this system is very big.
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Re: ATL: Invest 92L - Central Atlantic
americanrebel wrote:boca wrote:I predicting a TD tomorrow by 11am.
Have to agree there, but hoping not. Will not predict anything further at this time though. I don't want people to get upset with me predicting a super typhoon type Hurricane.
Predict away your thoughts are welcome.It doesn't matter what people think its just an opinion,people can choose to ignore it.
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- HurricaneMaster_PR
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Re: ATL: Invest 92L - Central Atlantic
Weird one. Dry and scattered. Seen these types wipe out. Seen these types form. The season is still early enough that it hasn't quite cooked it up. See if the SST's improve it.
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Re: ATL: Invest 92L - Central Atlantic
I don't expect the nhc to upgrade intil maybe 11pm tomarrow night. Unless a big area of convection blown over the LLC. Still it would not suprize me in the least if it took longer.
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Re: ATL: Invest 92L - Central Atlantic
Despite the easing in convection, I'm pretty impressed with its shape. Really looking forward to the next model runs.
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- SouthFloridawx
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Re: ATL: Invest 92L - Central Atlantic
Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:I don't expect the nhc to upgrade intil maybe 11pm tomarrow night. Unless a big area of convection blown over the LLC. Still it would not suprize me in the least if it took longer.
92L has all the qualifications for a TD status except for one important item. Sustaining convection at the center for 24 hours.Matt I'm still saying by the latest 5pm tomorrow.
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Re: ATL: Invest 92L - Central Atlantic
boca wrote:Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:I don't expect the nhc to upgrade intil maybe 11pm tomarrow night. Unless a big area of convection blown over the LLC. Still it would not suprize me in the least if it took longer.
92L has all the qualifications for a TD status except for one important item. Sustaining convection at the center for 24 hours.Matt I'm still saying by the latest 5pm tomorrow.
Its usually 12 hours, not 24.
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Re: ATL: Invest 92L - Central Atlantic
Appears to be impacting a synoptic border. I think it is just changing gears and we should see more center flaring. (or it will wipe out) Dangerous potential ahead if it gets it together.
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Re: ATL: Invest 92L - Central Atlantic
The environment looks great. I think as Derek mentioned the one thing missing here is convergence. It does have good curvature.

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Re: ATL: Invest 92L - Central Atlantic
Sanibel wrote:Appears to be impacting a synoptic border. I think it is just changing gears and we should see more center flaring. (or it will wipe out) Dangerous potential ahead if it gets it together.
I think it's past that border and is developing, based on the past few hours of convection popping. If 92L happens to get to the Bahamas, there is some warm water there.
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