In fact, judging from near-sunset visibles, I'll go out on a limb and say 92 will develop quickly now. It has a really good look to it: Blob with a big rat-tail.Honeyko wrote:It was this >< close to being snuffed last evening, but the subsidence relaxed just enough to enable 92 to keep sputtering through the overnight and morning. As the SE trough (and ULL and sw-shear) slacken, 92 should go ahead and develop.
In a subsiding environment, a storm either dies, or it intensifies quickly (after establishing a stronger anticyclone aloft) due to a more favorable pressure gradient than normal. With 92L, we get to watch both.