
WPAC - JMA: TD (JTWC: TD 11W) NNE of Taiwan
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WPAC - JMA: TD (JTWC: TD 11W) NNE of Taiwan

Last edited by Chacor on Tue Aug 12, 2008 7:15 am, edited 1 time in total.
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THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 27.1N
125.7E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 27.9N 128.0E, APPROXIMATELY 70 NM NORTH
OF OKINAWA, JAPAN. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY AND RECENT AMSU
IMAGES DEPICT A WELL-DEFINED, FULLY-EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION
CENTER (LLCC) WITH NO SIGNIFICANT DEEP CONVECTION NEAR THE CENTER.
RADAR IMAGERY ALSO INDICATES A CLEAR LLCC DEFINED BY TIGHTLY-WRAPPED
BANDS OF MODERATE TO HEAVY SHOWERS WITH THE CENTER TRACKING TOWARD
THE NORTHERN RYUKYU ISLANDS. SYNOPTIC OBSERVATIONS SUPPORT A WEAK
DISTURBANCE WITH SLP NEAR 1007 MB AND 10-15 KNOT WINDS WITHIN A
DEGREE OF THE CENTER. OVERALL, THE ENVIRONMENT IS MARGINAL WITH
MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND, BASED ON UPPER AIR SOUNDINGS, A
SOMEWHAT DRY MID-LEVEL WITH A SUBSIDENCE INVERSION NEAR 800 MB.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 12 TO 18 KNOTS.
MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. THE
POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS POOR.
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- HURAKAN
- Professional-Met
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SUBJ: TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11W WARNING NR 001
WTPN31 PGTW 130900
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 11W WARNING NR 001
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
130600Z --- NEAR 29.3N 127.9E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 360 DEGREES AT 03 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
REPEAT POSIT: 29.3N 127.9E
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
131800Z --- 29.9N 127.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 03 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
140600Z --- 30.5N 127.8E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 04 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
141800Z --- 31.3N 127.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
150600Z --- 32.8N 127.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 025 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
160600Z --- 35.5N 129.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 060 DEG/ 08 KTS
---
LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:
NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 350 NM ON DAY 5... AND FOR INTENSITY
NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY.
---
96 HRS, VALID AT:
170600Z --- 37.1N 132.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 055 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
120 HRS, VALID AT:
180600Z --- 39.3N 136.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
---
REMARKS:
130900Z POSITION NEAR 29.5N 127.9E.
MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 130600Z IS 9 FEET.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 131500Z, 132100Z, 140300Z AND 140900Z.
//
BT
#0001
NNNN
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- senorpepr
- Military Met/Moderator
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- Age: 42
- Joined: Fri Aug 22, 2003 9:22 pm
- Location: Mackenbach, Germany
- Contact:
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Tropical Depression (11W)
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Surface Streamlines and Plots

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Re: WPAC - JMA: TD (JTWC: TD 11W) NNE of Taiwan
Was this 94W earlier? The NOAA SSD site had a floater for a 94L on the area between Japan and Korea, with a blob of convection, about two days ago, maybe three, and I didn't see an S2K thread for it.
I spent a week in Pusan. I loved the restaurants. Such variety. And the bars all had baseball on TV...
I spent a week in Pusan. I loved the restaurants. Such variety. And the bars all had baseball on TV...
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Re: WPAC - JMA: TD (JTWC: TD 11W) NNE of Taiwan
Nope. 94W was a storm that got up to FAIR on the 11th but then dissipated. 11W is 98W.
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Re: WPAC - JMA: TD (JTWC: TD 11W) NNE of Taiwan
RattleMan wrote:Nope. 94W was a storm that got up to FAIR on the 11th but then dissipated. 11W is 98W.
Thanks.
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