Ex Invest 93L in Central Atlantic

[OURAGAN]

93 L is diving SW

[cycloneye]

Adios to 93L,for now?

BEGIN
NHC
invest_DEACTIVATE_al932008.ren
FSTDA
R
U
040
010
0000
200808131834
NONE
NOTIFY=ATRP
END


Will go to Talking Tropics forum.If it is activated again,it will be back at active storms forum.

[Honeyko]

The system finally decoupled, so now the low at the southwest end of the wave can finally develop and head west.

(....which naturally means it's being de-Invested!)

[KWT]

I think the northern side probably has a fair chance of doing something, I think they obviously think its not going to do a thing otherwise they simply would have recentered 93L's center.

[Ed Mahmoud]

The system finally decoupled, so now the low at the southwest end of the wave can finally develop and head west.

(....which naturally means it's being de-Invested!)

I see two areas of spin, one lower level, near 39ºW, one mid level near 34ºW. Pretty big spread. But it has a big overall envelope of circulation, and one or the other of those centers may eventually get going.


I predict re-invest on this in a couple of days...

[KWT]

Maybe Ed, you can see the southern portion going SW which is very interesting to observe.

[cycloneye]

That southern part looks like it will be interesting to follow down the road.

[txag2005]

Is 93L done?

[cycloneye]

Is 93L done?

Yes,it was deactivated by ATCF.But if it reorganizes,it well may be activated again.

[fci]

Wow, most everything I read, and looked at; predicted this to be more of a factor than 92L and it disappeared.

Very surprising.......

I guess if it regenerates it will be 94L?

[Mecklenburg]

what the? i thought derek said it was a developing system, how come it suddenly poofed... this season is crazy!

[HURAKAN]

what the? i thought derek said it was a developing system, how come it suddenly poofed... this season is crazy!

That's the tropics. I doesn't listen to anyone, pro or amateur.

[cycloneye]

ABNT20 KNHC 132358
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT WED AUG 13 2008

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE...ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE...IS
CENTERED A COUPLE HUNDRED MILES EAST OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS.
SHOWER ACTIVITY IS PRESENTLY LIMITED AND DISPLACED WELL TO THE
NORTHEAST OF THE LOW CENTER. HOWEVER...UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE
FORECAST TO GRADUALLY BECOME CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT OVER THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...AND THIS SYSTEM COULD BECOME A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION ON THURSDAY OR FRIDAY AS IT MOVES THROUGH OR JUST NORTH
OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS.

A LARGE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS LOCATED ABOUT 1400 MILES EAST OF THE
LESSER ANTILLES. SHOWER ACTIVITY WITH THIS SYSTEM REMAINS
DISORGANIZED AND DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW TO
OCCUR AS THE SYSTEM CONTINUES SLOWLY WESTWARD.

ELSEWHERE.. TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER FRANKLIN

[HURAKAN]

This one becomes more of a menace now than it was yesterday as it was expected to organize and possibly turn away from the Caribbean and North America. Now that it's weak and won't develop in the short term it means it will travel further west before possibly encountering more favorable conditions and having the possibility to develop.

[Honeyko]

what the? i thought derek said it was a developing system, how come it suddenly poofed... this season is crazy!

Because everybody (and the models) gets all excited about a usually NW-moving mid-level burst....which is then undercut by an easterly surge which dung-beetle rolls a surface whorl westward out ahead of it. Central Atlantic systems are frequently (if not usually) decoupled, and the southwest end of the wave (where the surface whorl is) is the part to pay attention to.

==//==

(Giggling over Cantore's lavender tie. He's pastel man today!)

[Fego]

Ex 93L floater is back
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/float2.html

[Gustywind]

000
AGXX40 KNHC 140600
MIMATS

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT THU AUG 14 2008

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA AND
SOUTHWEST NORTH ATLC S OF 31N W OF 55W.

THE NEXT STRONG TROPICAL WAVE...ALSO STRONG IN
NATURE...IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE TROPICAL N ATLC LATE SAT
AND ENTER THE E CARIBBEAN ON MON. OF NOTE...MODELS HAVE BEEN
GENERALLY SLOWING IN THE FORWARD PROPAGATION OF THE SECOND WAVE
OVER THE PAST FEW DAYS...BUT GIVEN ITS HISTORY TIMING APPEAR
REASONABLE IN THE LATEST GUIDANCE.

[Gustywind]

000
AXNT20 KNHC 141048
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT THU AUG 14 2008

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS
OF SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST
FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED
ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS...WEATHER
OBSERVATIONS...AND RADAR.

BASED ON 0600 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1015 UTC.

...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 42W/43W S OF 20N MOVING W NEAR 20 KT. A
1009 MB LOW IS EMBEDDED ON THE WAVE AXIS NEAR 12N43W. ISOLATED
MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 12N-16N BETWEEN 40W-45W.

[HURAKAN]

ABNT20 KNHC 141133
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT THU AUG 14 2008

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE IS PASSING
OVER THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS AND IS MOVING WESTWARD AT 10 TO
15 MPH. THIS SYSTEM IS SHOWING SOME SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION...WHILE
UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE GRADUALLY BECOMING MORE CONDUCIVE FOR
DEVELOPMENT...AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM LATER TODAY OR
ON FRIDAY. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS
SCHEDULED TO INVESTIGATE THIS SYSTEM LATER TODAY...IF NECESSARY.
REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT...THIS SYSTEM COULD BRING LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS TO PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD
ISLANDS...PUERTO RICO...AND HISPANIOLA DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.

A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS LOCATED ABOUT 1200 MILES EAST
OF THE LESSER ANTILLES. SHOWER ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH THIS
SYSTEM REMAINS LIMITED AND DISORGANIZED AND DEVELOPMENT...IF
ANY...IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR AS THE SYSTEM CONTINUES
MOVING SLOWLY WESTWARD.

ELSEWHERE.. TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

[HURAKAN]

14/2345 UTC 14.1N 45.9W TOO WEAK 93L -- Atlantic Ocean

Interest being revived??