ATL: Tropical Depression Fay

[jp007]

Governor Charlie Crist is doing a live press conference now!!

Thank you, listening right now.

[Ivanhater]

Wxman, the more time is takes to organize, the further west it will go in this situation?

[Bocadude85]

so is this thing falling apart or is it likely to organize....

[artist]

Governor Charlie Crist is doing a live press conference now!!

I can't find it here. Doesn't surprise me though.

[Aric Dunn]

Pretty close Aric just maybe a bit further west, you see that cloud band SW to NE just to the west of that circle? That is a feeder band going into it to the WNW of your circle.

[/quote]


Close, take that blue circle north a tad and you are on it.[/quote]

i had posted the wrong image... i fixed if awhile ago if you go back and look

oh well i 'll post it again

[bostonseminole]

take that blue circle south a tad and you have the center. it is quite clear on high res visible data

does the weakening push the system further west?? maybe into the GOM?

[pavelbure224]

Channel 7 in SE Fla is doing hourly updates on Fay

[Extremeweatherguy]

Ok, so where is this center exactly? I am hearing 19.4N/75.1W from wxman57, 19.2N/74.8W from Derek Ortt, and many other various locations from other posters. It seems like nobody can pick out an exact center from this right now, so hopefully recon will be able to give us a good fix soon. Knowing the correct location will give us a good idea as to whether or not this will head over or south of SE Cuba.

[wxman57]

Wxman, the more time is takes to organize, the further west it will go in this situation?

Not necessarily. The LLC appears to be about to move into SE Cuba. It's right of the forecast track. And it could dissipated over Cuba if it takes that track.

[JonathanBelles]

I missed it, but he also declared Florida is in a State of Emergency.

[Aric Dunn]

take that blue circle south a tad and you have the center. it is quite clear on high res visible data

thats fine ortt .. since its not exactly the most well defined center that is the general area and does just fine

[wxman57]

Ok, so where is this center exactly? I am hearing 19.4N/75.1W from wxman57, 19.2N/74.8W from Derek Ortt, and many other various locations from other posters. It seems like nobody can pick out an exact center from this right now, so hopefully recon will be able to give us a good fix soon.

I'd revise my estimate to 19.35N/74.9W.

[Ivanhater]

Wxman, the more time is takes to organize, the further west it will go in this situation?

Not necessarily. The LLC appears to be about to move into SE Cuba. It's right of the forecast track. And it could dissipated over Cuba if it takes that track.

Yeah, might not be going anywhere which is certainly good news

[dolebot_Broward_NW]

take that blue circle south a tad and you have the center. it is quite clear on high res visible data

For something that is "quite clear" to a good 6 people, there is sure a lot of subjectivity among them. Everyone has different thoughts on what is quite clear. I myself am content to wait for the objective data coming very shortly from recon. I don't think its possible to locate the LLC with my eyes and the floaters. I don't think its all that important either. The bit that matters is that she's cleared Haiti and is just about done with land for about 12 hours.

[jaxfladude]

Stay weak Fay!!!
How bad was Fay's visit to Hispaniola?

[Bocadude85]

Ok I guess its noat falling apart considering orrt is saying RI could take place....

[GreenSky]

Wxman, the more time is takes to organize, the further west it will go in this situation?

Not necessarily. The LLC appears to be about to move into SE Cuba. It's right of the forecast track. And it could dissipated over Cuba if it takes that track.

Great news! So you think there is a good chance Fay will dissipate now?
Good for our friends in Florida

I'm probably sure you are thinking that Fay should be no stronger than a tropical storm if it affects peninsular FL

Great to hear this good news from you WXman57

[wxman57]

Here's a satellite with the center I see identified, just NW of that small blob of convection:

[Noles2006]

wxman - looks good to me (I actually wanted to go w/ 74.9/19.35 exactly... but didn't want to pinpoint it that much and be wrong)...

[tolakram]

http://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/cgi-bin/ge ... olor=white

Looking at the loop I believe I see the center, I believe it's moving due west still, and it appears convection is beginning to fire around it. What I believe is usually inconsequential to reality but there you have it.