ATL: Tropical Depression Fay

[cpdaman]

the "eye level feature" on satelite......then yes i agree

the recon just flew right by fay to the south (east to west) i wonder if they can't get any closer to cuba

[Aric Dunn]

nice

[Aric Dunn]

[fasterdisaster]

Nice? She looks terrible.

[Wx_Warrior]

Radar shows not a whole lot to get excited about. As I said a few days ago, these islands would inhibit and I got laffed off the board.

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

Looks like it got its innercore back. But now it is going to get its lights punched out by the mountains, in which case will slow it down some. It is a wait and see.

[cheezyWXguy]

Nice? She looks terrible.

No she doesnt. Covered by deep convection, exceptional outflow, etc. Sure a CDO has not yet condensed, but what do you expect out of a system that has had to deal with land interaction its entire life?

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

Nice? She looks terrible.

Much better organizion then it had earlier.

[cheezyWXguy]

Radar shows not a whole lot to get excited about. As I said a few days ago, these islands would inhibit and I got laffed off the board.

Well its strengthening now, and the center is actually definable for the pretty much the first time. As for cuba, I expect a light brussing with cuba for just a couple hours, nothing that would really make it lose strength. I think this could be a strong ts by tomorrow late afternoon.

[Aric Dunn]

people that is some serious deep convection firing over the center.. the clouds dont have to perfectly round to be showing signs of intensifying.

[cpdaman]

not sure if that's the center ARIC recon seems to show a system lacking much of a SW side

and a center somewhere just north of 19.3 76.9 or so

[NDG]

Nice? She looks terrible.

Much better organizion then it had earlier.

I agree, terrible was Sat morning, when most deep convection was well S of the LLC, so compared to then Fay looks much better, not the best but much better.

[Aric Dunn]

uuuuuuuummmmmmmmm.......................


its there...

[MWatkins]

Using IR2 it is VERY easy to track the progress of the center before the eclipse...

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/sloop-ir2.html

However...after...it is much harder because of all of the thunderstorms over the center. My guess is the center is just off of the coast...near 19.5N 76.8W,

MW

[RL3AO]

[alicia83]

http://weather.noaa.gov/weather/current/MKJP.html

Kingston, Jamaica currently reporting winds out of the NNE at 6mph, and before that, winds out of the ENE at 10mph.

Edited to add: not much winds, but those directions are a puzzle.

[NDG]

http://weather.noaa.gov/weather/current/MKJP.html

Kingston, Jamaica currently reporting winds out of the NNE at 6mph, and before that, winds out of the ENE at 10mph.

Edited to add: not much winds, but those directions are a puzzle.

Winds in Kingston have been from all over in the last few hours, not just N or E, because of convection right on top of them, they are in converging zone so winds will be from all over

[NDG]

Agreed by radar.

[fasterdisaster]

So any chance she'd miss that end of Cuba at this point?

[alicia83]

NDG, thanks for the explaination. I should've recognized that!