ATL: Tropical Depression Fay

[cycloneye]

Latest pic at 12:10 PM EDT:

[deltadog03]

FAY can still do a lot of damage as a weaker TS know doubt...Great point HURAKAN....I am just trying to process what the 12z GFS is trying to do.

[NDG]

[Dean4Storms]

I'm sorry but this storm headed on its forecasted track with the synoptics seen and forecasted does not lend itself to the likelihood of a Hurricane much stronger than a Cat1 or low end Cat 2. Now I know that even a Cat 1 or Cat 2 can be devastating to those on flood prone areas along the coast but the wind damage will not be anything like Charley or even come close and yes I base that on facts at hand currently.

That is nothing but my personal opinion and is not official, you should always get your information on weather from official sources.

[HURAKAN]

GreenSky, you being from Texas you should know how much damage a weak TS can do. Remember Allison, 2001? Fay is no Allison but it will take a long period of time from the time it leaves Cuba to the time it makes landfall. Some areas could experience very heavy rainfall and if that area is prone to flooding, flooding will occur.

[storms in NC]

As a reminder for people downplaying Fay, the number one killer is flooding, not wind. Therefore, I see no reason to downplay Fay.

During Katrina parts of South Florida saw strong winds but other parts like Homestead experienced up to 16 inches of rain, if I remember correctly.

OMG how right Hurakan is. Floyd came thought and didn't have much as wind goes but lot of rain. and the rain before Floyd was Dennis 2 week before. So with all that rain we woke up the next day{3am} after Floyd and Water in my house. We left out in a boat only way out un less you swam for a few miles. Took 12 days to go down. Had to re build our home. So never down play a storm

[jlauderdal]

GreenSky, you being from Texas you should know how much damage a weak TS can do. Remember Allison, 2001? Fay is no Allison but it will take a long period of time from the time it leaves Cuba to the time it makes landfall. Some areas could experience very heavy rainfall and if that area is prone to flooding, flooding will occur.

how about the noname storm that hit sofla

[Ground_Zero_92]

GreenSky, you being from Texas you should know how much damage a weak TS can do. Remember Allison, 2001? Fay is no Allison but it will take a long period of time from the time it leaves Cuba to the time it makes landfall. Some areas could experience very heavy rainfall and if that area is prone to flooding, flooding will occur.

how about the noname storm that hit sofla

Wow, I remember that no name well. I have never seen so much rain.

[funster]

Fay's starting to wrap up a bit on the radar - she's starting to make use of all the fuel. Then she is going to crash into land again. lol

[storms in NC]

The only thing I see is she is reorganizing her house she didn't like the way it was. She may get it right this time.

[chris_fit]

Based on that radar loop... you can clearly see the convection trying to wrap around the center in the last hour, especially around the northern side. I believe, if that convection manages to get wrapped around the entire center before it crosses Cuba, it will be stronger than what is forecast when it hits Florida. On the contrary, if that does not manage to wrap around, it will be weaker than what is forecast.

Also the cloud tops near that center are cooling and expanding. Could be a sign of further organization.

[HURAKAN]

GreenSky, you being from Texas you should know how much damage a weak TS can do. Remember Allison, 2001? Fay is no Allison but it will take a long period of time from the time it leaves Cuba to the time it makes landfall. Some areas could experience very heavy rainfall and if that area is prone to flooding, flooding will occur.

how about the noname storm that hit sofla

Wow, I remember that no name well. I have never seen so much rain.

Off-topic, but I was living in a small apartment with my parents (I came in Nov. 99, and the no-name storm happened on Oct., 2000) and it flooded to my waist. NO KIDDING. I have pictures. There was a canal running behind the apartment and it overflowed. This was close to Sweetwater and this area has had a lot of flooding history. Now they are doing better with the installation of powerful pumps and a better drainage system.

Back to Fay!



RECON getting closer.

[tgenius]

Mayor of Miami has closed schools tommorow in Dade County.. and with what I'm reading about a bit more northerly component to the WNW will make things a bit more interesting for SE FL.

[jlauderdal]

how about the noname storm that hit sofla[/quote]

Wow, I remember that no name well. I have never seen so much rain.[/quote]

Off-topic, but I was living in a small apartment with my parents (I came in Nov. 99, and the no-name storm happened on Oct., 2000) and it flooded to my waist. NO KIDDING. I have pictures. There was a canal running behind the apartment and it overflowed. This was close to Sweetwater and this area has had a lot of flooding history. Now they are doing better with the installation of powerful pumps and a better drainage system.

Back to Fay!



RECON getting closer.[/quote]

my pool has overflowed 3 times in 10 years and that was one of them

[jlauderdal]

Mayor of Miami has closed schools tommorow in Dade County.. and with what I'm reading about a bit more northerly component to the WNW will make things a bit more interesting for SE FL.

400,000 kids are dancing in the streets of dade

[dolphinslady]

I lost all my links and I'm just trying to find the loop showing the close up infrared in relation to Florida.

TIA!

[NDG]

IMO, it appears that the LLC center is near 20.8N & 79.2W

[Hurricanewatcher2007]

Mayor of Miami has closed schools tommorow in Dade County.. and with what I'm reading about a bit more northerly component to the WNW will make things a bit more interesting for SE FL.

400,000 kids are dancing in the streets of dade

yeah and I am sure 800,000+/- parents are pleading with the mayor to reconsider! lol

[CronkPSU]

Mayor of Miami has closed schools tommorow in Dade County.. and with what I'm reading about a bit more northerly component to the WNW will make things a bit more interesting for SE FL.

400,000 kids are dancing in the streets of dade

yeah and I am sure 800,000+/- parents are pleading with the mayor to reconsider! lol

first day of school...wonder how many other counties will make the same decision

[cycloneye]

The Latest pic at 12:40 PM EDT: