ATL: Tropical Depression Fay

[chris_fit]

From the 7-hour Pico de San Juan radar time-lapse, it seems that Fay is slowly moving NNW to me.

- Jay

I agree straight towards those few high mountain peaks...

[AtlanticWind]

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-rb.html

Fay is getting her act together

[Bgator]

From the 7-hour Pico de San Juan radar time-lapse, it seems that Fay is slowly moving NNW to me.

- Jay

Me too, im assuming that the llc is where the stronger curved thunderstorm is.

[Tommedic]

Just a note to all: HIRT team is now in Florida and live broadcasting on website: hurricanetrack.com. Mark and team will be there for duration. Wish them the best and all safety.

[Blown Away]

7-hour time lapse of Fay from the Pico De San Juan Radar...

Slow NNW crawl?

[Stangfriik]

Some recent effects from (semi-from) Fay

Although strictly speaking Fay's influence is not entirely established over the South Florida Peninsula just yet, I find it worthwhile to pass-along today's NWSFO storm reports...

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
826 PM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0645 PM FLOOD CAPE CORAL 26.58N 81.99W
08/17/2008 LEE FL FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

FIRE RESCUE REPORTED MODERATE STREET FLOODING IN CAPE
CORAL.

0650 PM FUNNEL CLOUD 1 NW NORTH FORT MYERS 26.72N 81.90W
08/17/2008 LEE FL PUBLIC

FUNNEL CLOUD REPORTED JUST NORTHWEST OF SUNCOAST ESTATES.

And from Key West NWSFO... wind gusts to 41-mph, Marathon, 43-mph, Key West, and 48-mph, Key Largo with an outflow boundary from weakened convection that formed along Fay's peripheries earlier today.

- Jay

Wow Jay, my family must be having quite the time in the Key's then. They arrived there yesterday even though I told them that there would be a evac order either that day or today. Even though there is an order, they said that since they are on the opposite side of the island (not sure which one they are on), it should be okay. I kept reminding my mother that they were on an island not in central Florida but she said they would be fine. This coming from one of the most paranoid mothers out there so I'm not sure what they are thinking

[Extremeweatherguy]

From the 7-hour Pico de San Juan radar time-lapse, it seems that Fay is slowly moving NNW to me.

- Jay

Me too, im assuming that the llc is where the stronger curved thunderstorm is.

I think the LLC is just to the left of those strongest thunderstorms. Still looks to be moving NW or NNW though either way.

[Jason_B]

Definitely looks like a NNW direction at the end of that radar loop, that would be big if it is in fact turning north that fast already because now we may be looking at a South Florida clip and back out into the Atlantic.

[Evil Jeremy]

New advisory coming out within the half hour, I expect a intensity increase.

[O Town]

She looks like shes growing....

[Dean4Storms]

looks WNW too me.

[Extremeweatherguy]

It will be interesting to see what the NHC does with the track at 11pm. My bet right now is that they will shift it slightly east, but not do anything too drastic.

[NEXRAD]

Some recent effects from (semi-from) Fay

Although strictly speaking Fay's influence is not entirely established over the South Florida Peninsula just yet, I find it worthwhile to pass-along today's NWSFO storm reports...

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
826 PM EDT SUN AUG 17 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0645 PM FLOOD CAPE CORAL 26.58N 81.99W
08/17/2008 LEE FL FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

FIRE RESCUE REPORTED MODERATE STREET FLOODING IN CAPE
CORAL.

0650 PM FUNNEL CLOUD 1 NW NORTH FORT MYERS 26.72N 81.90W
08/17/2008 LEE FL PUBLIC

FUNNEL CLOUD REPORTED JUST NORTHWEST OF SUNCOAST ESTATES.

And from Key West NWSFO... wind gusts to 41-mph, Marathon, 43-mph, Key West, and 48-mph, Key Largo with an outflow boundary from weakened convection that formed along Fay's peripheries earlier today.

- Jay

Wow Jay, my family must be having quite the time in the Key's then. They arrived there yesterday even though I told them that there would be a evac order either that day or today. Even though there is an order, they said that since they are on the opposite side of the island (not sure which one they are on), it should be okay. I kept reminding my mother that they were on an island not in central Florida but she said they would be fine. This coming from one of the most paranoid mothers out there so I'm not sure what they are thinking

Well, these wind gusts from the Keys were brief and relatively isolated. While conditions will certainly deteriorate throughout the next 24 hours for those islands, they are certainly prepared for storms of Fay's likely intensity.

- Jay

[Sanibel]

Turbulence as the trough makes bumps in the ridge and the island enhances their effect. I think it is still in the NHC track but wobbling with slower forward speed.

[Jason_B]

looks WNW too me.

How? The radar clearly shows the center moving NNW getting ready to make landfall.

[MiamiensisWx]

Radar (and recon) is FAR more reliable than satellite data. Radar indicates the center appears to be moving NW per long term movement.

[Weatherboy1]

curious to see what the NHC has to say at 11 ... and to see whether this apparent NNW jog continues into the morning hours. We could have a shift in the eventual landfall point if the turn occurs sooner than was expected.

[HURAKAN]

Once again, in central Cuba there are hills, not mountains.

"The main island consists mostly of flat to rolling plains. At the southeastern end is the Sierra Maestra, a range of steep mountains whose highest point is the Pico Real del Turquino at 1,975 meters (6,480 ft)."

Link: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cuba#Geography

[Bgator]

Can a pro met tell us what they think the current motion is?

[Shockwave]

looks WNW too me.

To me also, but I think it's the growing of Fay playing tricks on us. I think it's actually moving NNW or NW.