ATL: Tropical Depression Fay

[tampastorm]

looks WNW too me.

How? The radar clearly shows the center moving NNW getting ready to make landfall.

I agree with WNW MAYBE NW.

[Dean4Storms]

Got to remember that this sytem is sheared and most of that you see has to be at 10,000ft. Hard really to say with that loop exactly the pinpoint on the LLC as I see multiple little vortices.

[Blown Away]

Does this stall mean Fay will go more NE, N, or NW?? Talk about slamming the brakes on, Fay was moving nearly 23 mph earlier today, wow! Had a nice squall line of showers move through, I love tropical system squall lines only when they don't have 100+ mph gusts! Anything under 60 mph is amazing to watch, IMO.

[cpdaman]

From the 7-hour Pico de San Juan radar time-lapse, it seems that Fay is slowly moving NNW to me.

- Jay

I agree straight towards those few high mountain peaks...

exactly her intensification is about to be stopped dead in it's tracks, and at her pace she will be there a while. not looking good for her or anyone living near those mountains flooding seems like it will be a big time concern.

[Dean4Storms]

If you are following one of those deep orange yellow spins that is not the LLC but convection probably around 10,000 ft or so.

[Jason_B]

There are no mountains where Fay is about to make landfall.

[fci]

I think PBC schools should be closed. Dont wanna take any risks

I have to admit that I am predisposed to be a critic of closing schools, however; tomorrow is not a key day for PBC in regards to Fay and any track change.
It is Tuesday and they already announced that they will make a decision by Noon on Monday regarding school for Tuesdayl
No need to close them on Monday, IMO

[Lowpressure]

Looks to be NW at this time, the radar shot almost seems tilted a bit or skewed. If it lays the way Cuba really is, it is more NW. The radar loop looks NNW, but it is bent somewhat, check the orientation. Maybe I drank too many Sam Adams at the b-day party, but that is what I see.

[cycloneye]

From the 7-hour Pico de San Juan radar time-lapse, it seems that Fay is slowly moving NNW to me.

- Jay

I agree straight towards those few high mountain peaks...

exactly her intensification is about to be stopped dead in it's tracks, and at her pace she will be there a while. not looking good

Central Cuba is mainly flat.HURAKAN has posted many times the graphic with the topografy.

[storms in NC]

Can a pro met tell us what they think the current motion is?

Jay is a pro he said NNW

[NEXRAD]

For Fay's present movement, I'd say it's a slow wobbly NW. This is giving-in to my admitting that I can't pick-out a perfect low level center from the earlier radar frames so I can't justify a straight NNW like I believe I see on radar. Also, the general convective mass behavior suggests NW movement. If Fay is indeed strengthening, then the low level center is likely becoming better connected to the storm's mid-level circulation center. Such a connection will prompt the storm to have more influence from the overall convective movement trends.

- Jay

[gatorcane]

to me it looks like Fay's main energy is heading right towards Southern FL (SE FL and FL Keys)...but the center could be moving WNW-NW....its hard to say.

[AtlanticWind]

Looking at a shortwave loop the center may be on the Sw side of the convection meaning it may not be NNW but more WNW , Not sure

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

If it is turning to the northwest then it will have a long track over those mountains. I expect any innercore it is developing now will be destroyed. If it is tracking like that radar show it to be it will go over that high mountain.

[Toyota Thundra]

looks WNW too me.

How? The radar clearly shows the center moving NNW getting ready to make landfall.

I agree with WNW MAYBE NW.

I agree also.

[cycloneye]

If it is turning to the northwest then it will have a long track over those mountains. I expect any innercore it is developing now will be destroyed. If it is tracking like that radar show it to be it will go over that high mountain.

Again,Central Cuba is Flat.

[Jason_B]

to me it looks like Fay's main energy is heading right towards Southern FL (SE FL and FL Keys)...but the center could be moving WNW-NW....its hard to say.

I'm seeing the same thing...and if the center is in fact moving along with the energy than South Floridians are going to have a surprise tomorrow as it's clearly heading in that direction.

[NEXRAD]

Can a pro met tell us what they think the current motion is?

Jay is a pro he said NNW

Thanks much, Storms in NC! I only wish I were an official "pro" so I could collect a salary from playing with radar and satellite imagery all day. Then again, if I were paid, I might become a work-a-holic.

Jay

[gatorcane]

Yeah...looking at it again. I think SE FL goes back in the cone for sure at the 11pm EST advisory. She is north of the forecast point already and looks to be NNW movment. If not there must be something I don't see. I will still guess a shift right of the line by about 60 miles or so cutting up the center of the peninsula now...

[Dean4Storms]

How many times in a sheared environment here just recently up the Carolina coast (Forgot the TS Name) did you see radar showing what appeared to be the LLC but when you went to the visibles found it to be well off?