ATL: Tropical Depression Fay

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Evil Jeremy
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#7641 Postby Evil Jeremy » Mon Aug 18, 2008 2:08 am

The 06z BAM models have shifted east by alot (compared to where it was before).
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Fay South of Cuba

#7642 Postby southerngale » Mon Aug 18, 2008 2:09 am

Bocadude85 wrote:


.... I have whats your point? Its clearly inland....



The problem is he thought you said what funster said because somehow, the quotes keep getting screwed up. I'll go back and fix them.
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Fay South of Cuba

#7643 Postby Greg » Mon Aug 18, 2008 2:14 am

http://www.insmet.cu/asp/genesis.asp?TB0=PLANTILLAS&TB1=RADAR&TB2=../Radar/02I.Juventud/pdeMAXw01a.gif

I think it's still offshore, according to this radar from Punta del Este.
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Fay South of Cuba

#7644 Postby SouthFloridawx » Mon Aug 18, 2008 2:14 am

southerngale wrote:
Bocadude85 wrote:


.... I have whats your point? Its clearly inland....



The problem is he thought you said what funster said because somehow, the quotes keep getting screwed up. I'll go back and fix them.



yeah sorry boca dude
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Fay South of Cuba

#7645 Postby RL3AO » Mon Aug 18, 2008 2:16 am

Greg wrote:http://www.insmet.cu/asp/genesis.asp?TB0=PLANTILLAS&TB1=RADAR&TB2=../Radar/02I.Juventud/pdeMAXw01a.gif

I think it's still offshore, according to this radar from Punta del Este.



You don't use the Houston radar for a hurricane near Miami, so why use that radar? Use this one.

Image
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Fay South of Cuba

#7646 Postby Aric Dunn » Mon Aug 18, 2008 2:16 am

RL3AO wrote:
Greg wrote:http://www.insmet.cu/asp/genesis.asp?TB0=PLANTILLAS&TB1=RADAR&TB2=../Radar/02I.Juventud/pdeMAXw01a.gif

I think it's still offshore, according to this radar from Punta del Este.



You don't use the Houston radar for a hurricane near Miami, so why use that radar? Use this one.

Image

lol

:uarrow: :uarrow: :cheesy:
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Fay South of Cuba

#7647 Postby Bocadude85 » Mon Aug 18, 2008 2:17 am

yea no problem sorry for getting so defensive i thought you were trying to say it was still offshore
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#7648 Postby funster » Mon Aug 18, 2008 2:20 am

It's not a crime to say it is offshore although even the ghost llc i was tracking is now gone or inland. It's hard to see a center anywhere now - we are probably forced to wait until it shows up on the other side somewhere.
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Fay South of Cuba

#7649 Postby Bocadude85 » Mon Aug 18, 2008 2:20 am

pressure 29.88 in and falling in miami and 29.85 and falling in marathon
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Fay South of Cuba

#7650 Postby jhpigott » Mon Aug 18, 2008 2:20 am

it also appears in that radar image that inflow from the south of cuba is feeding directly into the convective mass, not to the vortex SW of the convection which appears to have just about completely dissipated in the last couple images of the radar loop
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Fay South of Cuba

#7651 Postby cpdaman » Mon Aug 18, 2008 2:23 am

ya well given this things speed it seems to me 1 of 2 things may happen

it will enter the fla straits around between 530 and 630 am. then

it will reach the SW keys by around 1pm (or should it direction be due N) key largo around 3 pm

or it will slow down and intensify alot.
Last edited by cpdaman on Mon Aug 18, 2008 2:26 am, edited 2 times in total.
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Re:

#7652 Postby CourierPR » Mon Aug 18, 2008 2:24 am

Clipper96 wrote:Heading now more toward Key West than Marathon Key....

Huh?
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Re:

#7653 Postby cheezyWXguy » Mon Aug 18, 2008 2:24 am

funster wrote:It's not a crime to say it is offshore although even the ghost llc i was tracking is now gone or inland. It's hard to see a center anywhere now - we are probably forced to wait until it shows up on the other side somewhere.

It appears that an inner core has consolidated and this could be a hurricane by any time tomorrow, though im not sure. This definitely has strengthened since this evening though.
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#7654 Postby fasterdisaster » Mon Aug 18, 2008 2:24 am

Um the center's extremely clear and it definitely looks inland. She looks great as well, probably a 65 mph landfall based solely on radar. (I don't have any other tools to use as I just logged in after several hours)
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#7655 Postby Aric Dunn » Mon Aug 18, 2008 2:27 am

this storm is starting to weird me out .. geeez
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#7656 Postby Evil Jeremy » Mon Aug 18, 2008 2:28 am

I am pulling an all nighter lol, hope it pays off.
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Re:

#7657 Postby fasterdisaster » Mon Aug 18, 2008 2:28 am

Aric Dunn wrote:this storm is starting to weird me out .. geeez


Agreed, I have no idea what's going on.
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Re:

#7658 Postby cpdaman » Mon Aug 18, 2008 2:29 am

Aric Dunn wrote:this storm is starting to weird me out .. geeez


well it's starting to get me thinking

ARIC you have some good knowledge, are there any thing that would make you think this could slow down rapidly while over the florida straits, i'm just thinking worst case now, because S FL residents really don't have that much time , again i'm not thinking this will be that strong, but just in case
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Fay South of Cuba

#7659 Postby cpdaman » Mon Aug 18, 2008 2:32 am

is the weather channell wetting their pants right now or what
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Re: Re:

#7660 Postby Aric Dunn » Mon Aug 18, 2008 2:33 am

cpdaman wrote:
Aric Dunn wrote:this storm is starting to weird me out .. geeez


well it's starting to get me thinking

ARIC you have some good knowledge, are there any thing that would make you think this could slow down rapidly while over the florida straits, i'm just thinking worst case now, because S FL residents really don't have that much time , again i'm not thinking this will be that strong, but just in case



not to my knowledege ... i cant say anything for sure at this point .. there is a lot of questions that need to be answered.
caue if that is not the center then i dunno we are looking a very sheared system somehow lol ...
i am actually slightly confused at this point and so are few other pro mets i know that baffled so. the morning will help with visible
so i would just wait..
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