ATL: Tropical Depression Fay

[Clipper96]

Look at the Key West radar, cpdaman.
It's been telling the truth all night.

[Three Blind Mice]

If this new position pans out what changes in track can we expect? Trough appears to have turned it North sooner than forecast.

[funster]

It's probably inland to the NNW of where they estimated it to be an hour ago. Tomorrow it will probably emerge somewhere between east of Havana and south of Key West.

[cpdaman]

Look at the Key West radar, cpdaman.
It's been telling the truth all night.

i'm losing sanity by the minute

key west radar maybe tracking a MLC no

Would the NHC put a VDM there, only if the center was very close by?

RLAO3?

also the bands west of key west are streaming westward, what's up with that

[funster]

we badly need a PRO MET do help us badly

They are all sleeping. This should not be allowed.

[Ground_Zero_92]

Look at the Key West radar, cpdaman.
It's been telling the truth all night.

Here's the link:

http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar.ph ... 1&loop=yes

[RL3AO]

Center is over Central Cuba.

[Evil Jeremy]

Does the NHC have a public phone number? If so, I am going to call to find out what is going on lol.

[fasterdisaster]

Guess this means I have to put up the shutters today...


CRAP.

[Evil Jeremy]

AT 325 AM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR IN MIAMI
INDICATED A LARGE RAIN BAND AHEAD OF TROPICAL STORM FAY MOVING
NORTHWARD THROUGH THE FLORIDA STRAITS...APPROACHING THE MIDDLE AND
LOWER KEYS. THE WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAIN WITH EMBEDDED SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTH AT ABOUT 20 MPH...PUTTING
THE HEAVY RAIN JUST OFF OF THE SOUTH TIP OF THE MAINLAND...SOUTHERN
MIAMI-DADE AND MAINLAND MONROE COUNTIES...BY 500 AM. THIS ACTIVITY
WILL SPREAD NORTHWARD THROUGH THE MORNING AFFECTING BROWARD AND
COLLIER COUNTIES.

http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid= ... 11&loop=no

[Bocadude85]

im at loss for words here.. dont even know what to think

[Terry]

TWC just said that "it may have several centers." lol

[fasterdisaster]

TWC just said that "it may have several centers." lol

Ridiculous and misleading.

[cpdaman]

check recon thread now

plane just flew thru cuba center is in middle of state co-incides with radar yup WOW

TWC is doing damage control as we speak

[leaf blower]

I reckon recon flew out expecting the centre to be still over water, as it would have been if it followed the NHC track. By the time they got there the llc had jumped up under the convection and into cuba earlier than forecast by which time recon were left with no llc to find.

[Evil Jeremy]

New podcast service from the NHC begening with Fay. Info is in the top "highlights" bar above the GTWO.

[fasterdisaster]

In that case it really won't lose much organization over land.

[Ground_Zero_92]

I reckon recon flew out expecting the centre to be still over water, as it would have been if it followed the NHC track. By the time they got there the llc had jumped up under the convection and into cuba earlier than forecast by which time recon were left with no llc to find.

That's exactly what looks like happened.

[cpdaman]

well i have my sanity back.......now the storm appears to be tracking NNW about 335 or so at about 17 mph?

[Ground_Zero_92]

well i have my sanity back.......now the storm appears to be tracking NNW about 335 or so

Moving NW, yes, that's about right.