ATL: Tropical Depression Fay

[cpdaman]

well WXMAN 57 should be up in about 20 minutes ......i hope he has a good heart

before bed he said to look for an eastward shift....that i remember

but he didn't mention a 25 mph acceleration

matt look at the radar it appears within an hour (at most) this will be over water.

i really hope she does not slow over water that could be real bad

look at this radar
http://www.insmet.cu/asp/genesis.asp?TB ... AXw01a.gif

[caneman]

this has to be one of the most confounding, frustrating storms I've ever tracked.

[Ground_Zero_92]

this has to be one of the most confounding, frustrating storm I've ever tracked.

They are never the same caneman. That's why we come here. But I agree, this one has been one of the more interesting to track.

[Evil Jeremy]

I would not be surprised to see a late advisory, like after 5.

[neospaceblue]

The GFS has this stalling out off Georgia, turning back towards the Jacksonville area, crossing Florida again, and moving back into the GOM in about 5 days.

[funster]

I would not be surprised to see a late advisory, like after 5.

Not too late I hope - but understandable considering the confusion tonight.

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

this has to be one of the most confounding, frustrating storms I've ever tracked.

Kyle 2003 was one. But this beats it because of the land and all the factors that go into making this weird. So yes this is the weirdest in this decade

Also if this fellows the Gfs thinking this will become the weirdest in recorded history.

[funster]

The GFS has this stalling out off Georgia, turning back towards the Jacksonville area, crossing Florida again, and moving back into the GOM in about 5 days.

[SouthFLTropics]

I would not be surprised to see a late advisory, like after 5.

Not too late I hope - but understandable considering the confusion tonight.

Doesn't suprise me...I think this advisory could have significance to Metro South Florida. They are sure taking their time with it.

SFT

[Clipper96]

i really hope she does not slow over water that could be real bad

It would be really bad - it's the middle of August, and overnight low temps at the buoys along the Keys are in the low 80s. It's stupidly humid.

[srainhoutx]

I'm going back to bed and try to wake up a little later. I certainly must be dreaming lol. This dvelopment and the 0z GFS is most likey a dream. Hope "our interests" in the Lower Keys haven't been caught off gaurd.

[cpdaman]

note the southerly inflow in between the one mountain peak in central coastal cuba and the gap bewteen where the high hills start to the right of that

it seems this storm is kinda crazy, perhaps someone got past the guards at the HAARP facility in ALASKA lol

http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar.ph ... x&loop=yes

[SouthFLTropics]

I'm going back to bed and try to wake up a little later. I certainly must be dreaming lol. This dvelopment and the 0z GFS is most likey a dream. Hope "our interests" in the Lower Keys haven't been caught off gaurd.

I just pinched myself up here on the Treasure Coast. Nope, not dreaming...And we are not under any kind of watch yet up here. I see that nice big ball of convection heading my way. I'm thinking things are about to change. Business is about to pick up around here.

Edit: As of 5:00AM we are under a TS Watch from Jupiter all the way to Sebastian Inlet

SFT

[Evil Jeremy]

AT 5 AM EDT...0900 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT ALONG
THE FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM JUPITER INLET SOUTHWARD...AND ALONG THE
FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM BONITA BEACH SOUTHWARD...INCLUDING LAKE
OKEECHOBEE. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

[Evil Jeremy]

AT 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS
LOCATED INLAND OVER CENTRAL CUBA NEAR LATITUDE 22.5
NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.9 WEST OR ABOUT 105 MILES...170
KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF HAVANA CUBA AND ABOUT 155 MILES ...250
KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF KEY WEST FLORIDA.


FAY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR.
THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH A
TURN TO THE NORTH EXPECTED ON TUESDAY. THE CENTER OF FAY SHOULD BE
EMERGING INTO THE FLORIDA STRAITS LATER THIS MORNING...AND BE VERY
NEAR THE FLORIDA KEYS TONIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED AFTER THE CENTER OF FAY
EMERGES OVER WATER. FAY IS FORECAST TO BE APPROACHING HURRICANE
STRENGTH IN THE FLORIDA KEYS AND TO BECOME A HURRICANE BEFORE IT
REACHES THE FLORIDA PENINSULA.

[cpdaman]

yes the all nite crew should be ready to listen to the awe of those early riser's

they need to put up hurricane watches and tropical storm warnings up the east coast as well

not saying it will end up there, but heck they have shown they have no idea with this one as of late.

[Clipper96]

note the southerly inflow in between the one mountain peak in central coastal cuba and the gap bewteen where the high hills start to the right of that

It's really funneling through there, isn't it? It's like a flume.

[RL3AO]

Track didn't change much.

[funster]

22.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.9 WEST

- not much change from earlier. It must still be sheared then with the LLC on the southwest side. Probably it will get better organized over water.

[Ground_Zero_92]

yes the all nite crew should be ready to listen to the awe of those early riser's

they need to put up hurricane watches and tropical storm warnings up the east coast as well

not saying it will end up there, but heck they have shown they have no idea with this one as of late.

LOL... yes, it has been an interesting night, to say the least!