ATL: Tropical Depression Fay

[Sanibel]

From Tailgater's radar it looks like it is going east of track already. Watch for shift east. Everglades City.

[wxwonder12]

does anyone think that the tropical storm warning for se coast could be increased to a hurricane watch?

[MusicCityMan]

any chance of another east shift @ 11 am? even if its just a minor 1..

[HURAKAN]

Fay is singing "yeah baby, I like it like that."

[HURAKAN]

does anyone think that the tropical storm warning for se coast could be increased to a hurricane watch?

There is no need for that. Even if it becomes a hurricane, hurricane winds won't affect SE Florida in the current track.

[Canelaw99]

LOL well, Ferraro, on WSVN Channel 7, just called a part of the circulation the "eyewall" so he's pushing for this hurricane upgrade.....I understand what he's saying, but he needs to be careful. There's no "eye" yet, therefore, no "eyewall".....

[tolakram]

Plotting the latest position Fay is still on track, slightly west of my previous direction extrapolation.

This graph is for entertainment only, this is not a forecast.

[Extremeweatherguy]

From Tailgater's radar it looks like it is going east of track already. Watch for shift east. Everglades City.

That is what I'm thinking too. Everglades City and then NNE up through the state, exiting somewhere between Daytona Beach and Cape Canaveral.

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products

[capepoint]

Man, Fay is one of those women who need LOTS of time to look good in the morning

Really looks bad this morning, but with warm water, she should be able to slap on some make-up fairly quick.

UNOFFICAL FORCAST BY NOT A REAL WEATHERMAN... in my opinion she remains to the right, and will be going moreso today. Cat 1/STRONG TS max when crosses S Fla back into atlantic S of daytona. I have been preaching this for days now, why back-off now.

I to have said it. You can go back to page 89 or 90 I think and that is where I told my thoghts on where she would go. I still say east.

But if you think it will come up the coast into NC think again. Not going to happen. I know we need the rain very very bad. But I think on out to sea she goes to a happer life.LOL

As the day goes on I think we will know more.

A few days ago I was thinking it might clip outer banks as weak hurr/strong ts, but now I think it will stay east. Too bad, Everybody from Fla north could have used the rain.

[jinftl]

Totally in agreement on media having to watch what they say and to not overhype....but it is probably important for the public to know that after a weekend of no intensification, there actually has been some. Other than a few gas station lines and kids not having school, limited preparations have been made from what I have seen.

A 60 mph storm may very well have gusts to near hurricane force already in some embedded squalls...not Cat 4 gusts, but a probably legit 75 mph here and there. So we are talking less than 15mph.

Getting the public aware that we should not let our guard down after a weekend of hyped-strengthening which never happened...esp as people get in their cars and go to work where they may not hear another update to this evening..is not too over the top.

In truth, if any where down here saw even 60mph winds sustained, the overall sentiment would be that it was not supposed to be that bad and people are surprised.

jinftl, yep it could strengthen that much in 6hrs, it can also be a cat-4 in 24hrs...does it meaan it will happen, of course not but just making the comprasion

Still Fay does seem to be slowly strengthening, also will be interesting to see whether this jogs east again when it tries to develop an inner core like it did briefly last night.

[StJoe]

Our local VIPIR in West Palm...Lots of red coming our way for the rest of the day...

http://www.wptv.com/weather/default.aspx

[NDG]

I am glad Channel 6 moved their "forecast track" closer to the official track, they must feel stupid after coming to reality.

[pavelbure224]

Their are gas stations in Davie that have no gas now

[tolakram]

[tailgater]

From Tailgater's radar it looks like it is going east of track already. Watch for shift east. Everglades City.

I'm watching the vortex LLC? which moved N then NW and is now moving Wnw due south of KW along the Cuban northern coast

http://my.sfwmd.gov/portal/page?_pageid ... ema=PORTAL

[caneman]

Plotting the latest position Fay is still on track, slightly west of my previous direction extrapolation.

This graph is for entertainment only, this is not a forecast.

Thanks for posting that. People keep talking about a shift East that happened overnight but that was several hours ago folks. Quit looking at the blow off convection. Focus on the LLC and how more convection is building around it and the 8:00 forecasted track. Enough of the rant.

[cpdaman]

does anyone think that the tropical storm warning for se coast could be increased to a hurricane watch?

There is no need for that. Even if it becomes a hurricane, hurricane winds won't affect SE Florida in the current track.

yes ......i do the storm is east side heavy and the trends have been moving east, should the ULL move a little bit more west, or a center reformation occur more NE, we could have RI begin, not counting on this right now, but much uncertainty seems to make a HW along east coast a sane idea

[HURRICANELONNY]

CAN YOU SAY IRENE!!!!!!!!!!

[DESTRUCTION5]

Ohh My I do not like that Pic at all....

[HURAKAN]

Ferro still thinks the RECON planes is investigating Fay and the plane left like an hour ago.

My barometer says "rising rapidly."