ATL: Tropical Depression Fay

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HURAKAN
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#8221 Postby HURAKAN » Mon Aug 18, 2008 10:48 am

417
URNT12 KNHC 181533 CCA
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL062008
A. 18/15:11:00Z
B. 23 deg 39 min N
081 deg 32 min W
C. NA mb 1448 m
D. 59 kt
E. 056 deg 96 nm
F. 155 deg 056 kt
G. 060 deg 064 nm
H. 1003 mb
I. 13 C/ 1522 m
J. 18 C/ 1525 m
K. 18 C/ NA
L. NA
M. NA
N. 1345/
O. 0.02 / 2 nm
P. AF304 1706A FAY1 OB 09 CCA
MAX FL WIND 58 KT NE QUAD 14:24:50Z
MAX OUTBOUND FL WIND 40KT NW QUAD AT 15:24:10Z
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Re:

#8222 Postby johngaltfla » Mon Aug 18, 2008 10:48 am

Evil Jeremy wrote:Can someone please tell me where I can find the same loops that I would find on the NHC Satellite page please?


http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-ir4.html

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-jsl.html

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-vis.html
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#8223 Postby gatorcane » Mon Aug 18, 2008 10:48 am

Is it me or is the Tampa Hurricane barrier working its magic? Looks like Tampa is going to be far enough NW of the path to miss alot of the action....maybe.
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Fay in Florida Straits

#8224 Postby tgenius » Mon Aug 18, 2008 10:48 am

So we are closing shop at 2pm. I don't think this will be anywhere near the rain event in Miami I thought it would be this morning.. we may get 3 inches tops out of this I think based on Radar.
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#8225 Postby CrazyC83 » Mon Aug 18, 2008 10:49 am

With that SFMR combined with the FL winds, I think 55 kt is the current intensity. The pressure is quite high for such an intensity though...
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Fay in Florida Straits

#8226 Postby Air Force Met » Mon Aug 18, 2008 10:49 am

fci wrote:
Katrina entered Florida with 70 MPH winds and exited the west coast with 85 MPH winds.
http://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/at200511.asp

Since the Everglades is a swamp, very wet; it does not cause much weakening and in the case of Katrina it actually aided in her intensification.


Good grief...No she didn't.

As Hurakan ALREADY posted...back on page 400...(I have added some things to help get the point across)

Advisory 9 26.10 -79.90 08/25/21Z 65kts 985 HURRICANE-1
Advisory 9A 25.90 -80.10 08/25/23Z 70kts 985 HURRICANE-1 (JUST ONSHORE IN SO FLO)
Advisory 9B 25.80 -80.40 08/26/01Z 70kts 985 HURRICANE-1
Advisory 10 25.50 -80.70 08/26/03Z 65kts 984 HURRICANE-1
Advisory 10A 25.40 -81.10 08/26/05Z 60kts 990 TROPICAL STORM (COMING OUT THE OTHER SIDE!!!)
Advisory 10B 25.30 -81.30 08/26/07Z 60kts 990 TROPICAL STORM
Advisory 11 25.30 -81.50 08/26/09Z 65kts 987 HURRICANE-1

Yikes.
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Re:

#8227 Postby gatorcane » Mon Aug 18, 2008 10:49 am

HURAKAN wrote:417
URNT12 KNHC 181533 CCA
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL062008
A. 18/15:11:00Z
B. 23 deg 39 min N
081 deg 32 min W
C. NA mb 1448 m
D. 59 kt
E. 056 deg 96 nm
F. 155 deg 056 kt
G. 060 deg 064 nm
H. 1003 mb
I. 13 C/ 1522 m
J. 18 C/ 1525 m
K. 18 C/ NA
L. NA
M. NA
N. 1345/
O. 0.02 / 2 nm
P. AF304 1706A FAY1 OB 09 CCA
MAX FL WIND 58 KT NE QUAD 14:24:50Z
MAX OUTBOUND FL WIND 40KT NW QUAD AT 15:24:10Z


its strengthening based on that :uarrow:
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#8228 Postby O Town » Mon Aug 18, 2008 10:51 am

Image
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#8229 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Mon Aug 18, 2008 10:51 am

Though I didn't think it would happen earlier, I am now not so certain that the center might not try and relocate toward the newest convection that is forming to the NE. Let's see what happens..
Last edited by Extremeweatherguy on Mon Aug 18, 2008 10:54 am, edited 1 time in total.
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#8230 Postby CrazyC83 » Mon Aug 18, 2008 10:51 am

Seems to be moving due north right now though?
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Re:

#8231 Postby weatherwoman » Mon Aug 18, 2008 10:52 am

Extremeweatherguy wrote:Though I didn't think it would happen earlier, I am now not so certain that the center might not try and relocate toward the newest convection that is forming. Let's see what happens..



where are you talking about?
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Fay in Florida Straits

#8232 Postby cpdaman » Mon Aug 18, 2008 10:52 am

Hurricanewatcher2007 wrote:
tolakram wrote:Image

Looks to be organizing, I don't like the look of the clouds building around the center (I dare not call it LLC).


The center is south west from that newest convection thats developing.


actually the SW blob of new convection is just north of the center and it concerns me that she has slowed a good deal, NEVER good news to sit in the fla. straits
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#8233 Postby Evil Jeremy » Mon Aug 18, 2008 10:53 am

I am seeing slow movement based on radar:

http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid= ... 1&loop=yes
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Fay in Florida Straits

#8234 Postby jasons2k » Mon Aug 18, 2008 10:53 am

Image
Shot at 2008-08-18
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Fay in Florida Straits

#8235 Postby Sanibel » Mon Aug 18, 2008 10:54 am

Just an approximate guess: 23.6N-81.75


Personal observation is center is quickly getting ready for hurricane.


Again - 59 knot recon obs is shouting hurricane for a storm that spent so much time over land.
Last edited by Sanibel on Mon Aug 18, 2008 10:56 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re:

#8236 Postby Hurricanewatcher2007 » Mon Aug 18, 2008 10:54 am

CrazyC83 wrote:Seems to be moving due north right now though?


based on the last 2 recon fixes its moving northwest still
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#8237 Postby Jason_B » Mon Aug 18, 2008 10:56 am

gatorcane wrote:Is it me or is the Tampa Hurricane barrier working its magic? Looks like Tampa is going to be far enough NW of the path to miss alot of the action....maybe.
I pray for anybody who actually believes in this. Tampa missed this one but it is not a very smart idea to believe in a "magical barrier" to protect you from hurricanes. Please.
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Fay in Florida Straits

#8238 Postby jlauderdal » Mon Aug 18, 2008 10:56 am

we have a tvs signature off marathon right now
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Fay in Florida Straits

#8239 Postby Hurricanewatcher2007 » Mon Aug 18, 2008 10:57 am

cpdaman wrote:
Hurricanewatcher2007 wrote:
tolakram wrote:Image

Looks to be organizing, I don't like the look of the clouds building around the center (I dare not call it LLC).


The center is south west from that newest convection thats developing.


actually the SW blob of new convection is just north of the center and it concerns me that she has slowed a good deal, NEVER good news to sit in the fla. straits


I was talking about the big red ball of convection that is south of the tip of Florida
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Re: Re:

#8240 Postby gatorcane » Mon Aug 18, 2008 10:57 am

Jason_B wrote:
gatorcane wrote:Is it me or is the Tampa Hurricane barrier working its magic? Looks like Tampa is going to be far enough NW of the path to miss alot of the action....maybe.
I pray for anybody who actually believes in this. Tampa missed this one but it is not a very smart idea to believe in a "magical barrier" to protect you from hurricanes. Please.


this was not meant to be a serious comment but trends are for Fay to pass Tampa by to the SE...although note Tampa is till in the cone.
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