ATL: Tropical Depression Fay

[VeniceInlet]

First steady rain starting to fall here on Dona Bay near Venice Inlet. No wind.

[Just Joshing You]

I asked this about 300 pages... but what is the pressure gradient of the EGOM? It seems the pressure normally would correlate to a 40-45 knot tropical storm, not an intensifying storm on the brink of the Hurricane Barrier.

[RL3AO]

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
252 PM EDT MON AUG 18 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIAMI HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTHWESTERN MIAMI-DADE COUNTY IN SOUTH FLORIDA.

* UNTIL 315 PM EDT

* AT 248 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 12 MILES SOUTH
OF ROYAL PALM RANGER STATION...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 41 MPH.


* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
ROYAL PALM RANGER STATION BY 305 PM EDT...
AND SURROUNDING COMMUNITIES.

[Extremeweatherguy]

Long Key:

Sustained winds - 45mph
Gusts - 52mph

http://www.wunderground.com/weatherstat ... ?ID=MC0922

[cpdaman]

did key west winds turn west yet, appears the center is just north of there per radar

based on that realization she is strengthening at a good clip IMO

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

i'm thinking land fall on barrier island off ft. myers at midnite as intensifying cat 1

[marciacubed]

Sorry this is a double post
Tropical Storm Fay Update #1
August 18, 2008 - 2:35 p.m.

Palm Beach County School Age Child Care programs will be open on schedule today - Monday, August 18.

Palm Beach County Community Schools and all other after school activities are cancelled for tonight.

District officials are closely monitoring Tropical Storm Fay from the County Emergency Operations Center. Due to the timing of the most accurate information from the center, the announcement about school operations for Tuesday, August 19, will be made at approximately 6 p.m. today--Monday.

Employees and parents will be notified through a telephone call out to their homes, the local media, the District Hotline--357-7500, this Web site, and The Education Network - District TV Station Ch. 19 (Comcast).

At this time, Lake Shore Middle School is the only school that will open as a shelter tonight.

[NEXRAD]

Right now winds are calm, pressure 1001.3mb at Key West.

- Jay

[Extremeweatherguy]

did key west winds turn west yet, appears the center is just north of there per radar

based on that realization she is strengthening at a good clip IMO

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

i'm thinking land fall on barrier island off ft. myers at midnite as intensifying cat 1

Wind is currently CALM in Key West. They must be in the center!

http://www.wunderground.com/US/FL/Key_West.html

[KWT]

Yep tornado warning out now.

Also pressure is clearly dropping still and the presentation also still is improving and Fay is also responding increasingly well to the hot waters with very deep convection bursting near the center.

[alan1961]

Tornado Warning in the lower Keys:

http://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwat ... %20warning

People still going in and out of this bar, and it doesn't even look like its raining there. ?

http://www.schoonerwharf.com/webcam.htm
Most of the other webcams down there have been disabled. This about the only decent one I could find. Good music too.

smather's beach webcam, seems to be getting brighter

http://mycampage.com/keywestcam

[edbri871]

i'm thinking land fall on barrier island off ft. myers at midnite as intensifying cat 1

That would be Sanibel/Capitiva or Fort Myers Beach Area. I'm thinking thats a good bet.

[cpdaman]

i'm thinking land fall on barrier island off ft. myers at midnite as intensifying cat 1

That would be Sanibel/Capitiva or Fort Myers Beach Area. I'm thinking thats a good bet.

ya however it appears she is making a more westerly bend north of key west HMMMMMMM

[Sanibel]

i'm thinking land fall on barrier island off ft. myers at midnite as intensifying cat 1

We can handle that. A bombing unexpected category 3 we can't.

[tolakram]

KEY WEST, looks like in or very near the center.

1001MB

[capepoint]

i'm thinking land fall on barrier island off ft. myers at midnite as intensifying cat 1

That would be Sanibel/Capitiva or Fort Myers Beach Area. I'm thinking thats a good bet.

ya however it appears she is making a more westerly bend north of key west HMMMMMMM

Where do you see that???????????

[KWT]

Interesting to see that the winds are calm in Key west despite recon showing the center is probably just a little SSE of Key West. Still I suppose the center is still broad enough for it to put Key West in the center.

[HURAKAN]

[johngaltfla]

ya however it appears she is making a more westerly bend north of key west HMMMMMMM

Don't say that. But I have been looking for a good map of the ridge which is keeping this thing from bending to the NE. If anyone has a good current/recent map, I'd love a link. That ridge is the only think keeping this thing from turning out of my hair.

[RL3AO]

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
301 PM EDT MON AUG 18 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIAMI HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
CENTRAL MIAMI-DADE COUNTY IN SOUTH FLORIDA.

* UNTIL 330 PM EDT

* AT 257 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO OVER SOUTH
CENTRAL MIAMI-DADE COUNTY...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 42 MPH.


* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
RURAL SOUTHERN MIAMI-DADE COUNTY BY 310 PM EDT
RURAL CENTRAL MIAMI-DADE COUNTY BY 320 PM EDT
AND SURROUNDING COMMUNITIES.

THIS STORM WILL CROSS HIGHWAY 1.

[caneman]

All Pinellas County Schools closed tomorrow, it was just announced.