ATL: Tropical Depression Fay

[Noles2006]

E. 045 deg 57 nm

NNE? Probably just a wobble.

That's not the direction the storm is traveling... Without looking it up, I think it's the direction and distance from the center that the strongest winds were found.

[Evil Jeremy]

Tornado Warning in Broward County! Just came on TWC!

[KWT]

Also according to recon does suggest center is still south of Key west...foward speed not as fast as was thought then.

Convecton is still pretty impressive though the center is still on the southern side of that deep convection based on recon reports.

[deltadog03]

not really NE, possibly NNE before too long.

[RL3AO]

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
440 PM EDT MON AUG 18 2008

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIAMI HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTHWESTERN BROWARD COUNTY IN SOUTH FLORIDA.
WESTERN MIAMI-DADE COUNTY IN SOUTH FLORIDA.
SOUTHEASTERN COLLIER COUNTY IN SOUTH FLORIDA.

* UNTIL 500 PM EDT

* AT 439 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR REDLAND...
MOVING NORTHWEST AT 36 MPH.


* THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
HOMESTEAD GENERAL AIRPORT...
AND SURROUNDING COMMUNITIES.

[capepoint]

Wow, I just got some very useful information from TWC. The live shot from Key West. If that guy would have gotten out from in front of the camera , you could have seen bright skies, near calm winds, and calm water other than a little ground swell rolling in. That and radar basicly shows that there is no real southern portion of this storm. The only real weather is in the storms to the NE quad area. I'm finding it hard to see any real rapid intensifying until it can get some weather on the southern side of center.

[Stormcenter]

not really NE, possibly NNE before too long.

Looks NNW at the moment.

[johngaltfla]

That advisory leaves you scratching your head????

[hiflyer]

I must say that the wind here in lauderdale is still as can be. I havent seen a gust over 5mph today.

You missed a great squall then about 0830 coming in off the ocean onto the Ft Lauderdale airport and the Dania beach area......horizontal rain...zip visibility....close lightning.....nice 'show'.

But it had been fairly quiet rest of the day...grin.

[tolakram]

Wow, I just got some very useful information from TWC. The live shot from Key West. If that guy would have gotten out from in front of the camera , you could have seen bright skies, near calm winds, and calm water other than a little ground swell rolling in. That and radar basicly shows that there is no real southern portion of this storm. The only real weather is in the storms to the NE quad area. I'm finding it hard to see any real rapid intensifying until it can get some weather on the southern side of center.

The south side is building.

Another link to a great webcam view, works best in IE (Firefox does not resize the image correctly)

http://mycampage.com/keywestcam

The current image is amazing, but it's a fisheye lens so the curve is deceiving.

[Extremeweatherguy]

Wow, I just got some very useful information from TWC. The live shot from Key West. If that guy would have gotten out from in front of the camera , you could have seen bright skies, near calm winds, and calm water other than a little ground swell rolling in. That and radar basicly shows that there is no real southern portion of this storm. The only real weather is in the storms to the NE quad area. I'm finding it hard to see any real rapid intensifying until it can get some weather on the southern side of center.

Bands are now starting to develop on the south side of the center...

http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid= ... 1&loop=yes

[Hurricanewatcher2007]

Bands starting to close off the center all around it!

http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar_li ... R&loop=yes

[KWT]

Will be very interesting to see what happens Deltadog with regards to that possible NNE motion. I think motion is still NNW and recon sort of backs that up, however I do think its about to head pretty close to due north, recon will show all soon enough!

[Bgator]

That feeder band south of miami dade is really gaining strength.

[RL3AO]

[johngaltfla]

Looking at the composite radar from Key West, it is definitely starting to wrap. I just do not see the NNE motion, much less N component yet. Basically still in the 345-350 range of motion but like the locals here just stated, it could shift at any time.

[gatorcane]

so are Palm Beach County school closed for tomorrow?

[Bgator]

It is hard to tell motion from a short radar loop, if there was a longer radar loop that spanned 3 hours or so, it wuld be easier.

[NEXRAD]

Weather conditions may get more active across portions of Southeast Metro Florida during the next hour or two. Doppler radar is indicating a bowing segment along a strong squall band moving onshore Broward county presently. This bowing band will eventually work into extreme southeast Palm Beach County. Wind gusts of 35 to 45 mph will be possible. Miami doppler radar also indicates increasing low level winds across Miami Dade and parts of east Broward County and this radar data coincides with a stronger easterly flow identified at the surface by ADAS mesonet near Fort Lauderdale and Miami. I expect that we'll see the winds begin to pick-up across these areas.

- Jay

[tolakram]

I was not expecting this center location.

AT 500 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 24.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 81.9 WEST OR NEAR KEY WEST
FLORIDA AND ABOUT 145 MILES...235 KM...SOUTH OF FT. MYERS FLORIDA.

This is an amateur plot and is NOT a forecast.