ATL: Tropical Depression Fay

#8801 Postby **HURAKAN** » Mon Aug 18, 2008 4:34 pm

Power went on and off for a few seconds a few minutes ago. Using the laptop now.

#8802 Postby **fci** » Mon Aug 18, 2008 4:34 pm

gatorcane wrote::uarrow:

Hey FCI but NWS is forecasting up to 55mph gusts for Palm Beach County tomorrow and if Fay takes the right side of the cone -- which keep creeping east then Palm Beach County should get some nasty weather tomorrow in my opinion and those gusts could be even higher. Right now Palm Beach County is in a lull but that should change later on tonight.

Personally I think Palm Beach County school should be closed.

At this time, they have not announced their decision and I tend to agree with you that they will close the schools and I think that is a mistake.

NEXRAD · #8803 Postby **NEXRAD** » Mon Aug 18, 2008 4:35 pm

jhpigott wrote:Jay - Do you think this slowing/stall we are seeing with Fay is what was predicted earlier today with the Euro that basically had the storm still sitting over KYW for about 24 hours?

The NWSFO Melbourne WRF model showed Fay slowing and stalling near Key West tonight, too. I don't think Fay will sit over Key West for 24 hours, but I don't think it will resume its previous quicker forward motion, either.

- Jay

mel38 · #8804 Postby **mel38** » Mon Aug 18, 2008 4:36 pm

per news channel 5 palm beach schools closed tomorrow

#8805 Postby **Evil Jeremy** » Mon Aug 18, 2008 4:36 pm

Ok, now Fay is really freaking me out. Where is it headed?

http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?prod ... x&loop=yes

#8806 Postby **tailgater** » Mon Aug 18, 2008 4:36 pm

Definite jog eastward but I will go with NHC and say it will continue Northward.

jinftl · #8807 Postby **jinftl** » Mon Aug 18, 2008 4:37 pm

Channel 4 reporting winds gusting to 54 mph in downtown Miami as band went through!

Shockwave · #8808 Postby **Shockwave** » Mon Aug 18, 2008 4:37 pm

NEXRAD wrote:
jhpigott wrote:Jay - Do you think this slowing/stall we are seeing with Fay is what was predicted earlier today with the Euro that basically had the storm still sitting over KYW for about 24 hours?

The NWSFO Melbourne WRF model showed Fay slowing and stalling near Key West tonight, too. I don't think Fay will sit over Key West for 24 hours, but I don't think it will resume its previous quicker forward motion, either.

- Jay

Anyone ready for flooding? At least Lake Ocachobee will see some refilling.

#8809 Postby **Evil Jeremy** » Mon Aug 18, 2008 4:38 pm

New GFS run showing SFL landfall in 12 hours.

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... _006.shtml
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... _012.shtml

Bgator · #8810 Postby **Bgator** » Mon Aug 18, 2008 4:38 pm

Shockwave wrote:
NEXRAD wrote:
jhpigott wrote:Jay - Do you think this slowing/stall we are seeing with Fay is what was predicted earlier today with the Euro that basically had the storm still sitting over KYW for about 24 hours?

Roads have already begun to flood in south east miami dade, this was as of a few hours ago before some really strong bands came through.
The NWSFO Melbourne WRF model showed Fay slowing and stalling near Key West tonight, too. I don't think Fay will sit over Key West for 24 hours, but I don't think it will resume its previous quicker forward motion, either.

- Jay

Anyone ready for flooding? At least Lake Ocachobee will see some refilling.

Shockwave · #8811 Postby **Shockwave** » Mon Aug 18, 2008 4:40 pm

Evil Jeremy wrote:Ok, now Fay is really freaking me out. Where is it headed?

http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?prod ... x&loop=yes

From that radar view, Fay actually looks good for the first time since she began her awful trek.

N2Storms · #8812 Postby **N2Storms** » Mon Aug 18, 2008 4:40 pm

[quote="Evil Jeremy"]Ok, now Fay is really freaking me out. Where is it headed?

http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?prod ... x&loop=yes[/quote]

To my very untrained eyes that looks like it has a more easterly component to it now but to be honest with you, my hearing is about shot and my eye sight is following suit...

#8813 Postby **fci** » Mon Aug 18, 2008 4:40 pm

Yup.
A day off for the kids that, in my opinion; is unecessary.
Oh well........

dolebot_Broward_NW · #8814 Postby **dolebot_Broward_NW** » Mon Aug 18, 2008 4:41 pm

The cells offshore North Miami Dade / Broward County are showing signs of rotation and stronger wind gusts. They'll move onshore Broward County during the next hour

I just drove through the cell that I see now produced the tornado warning in Boca. Upon review it looks like these 2 cells were bow echoes, and it appears another 2 are inbound. CAREFUL!!! MASSIVE rain, sharp wind from the east - This was at turnpike/coconut creek, and the storm appears to have produced a TVS in west boca.

The next set look to come ashore in the next 15-30 mins at around the same locale.

#8815 Postby **HURAKAN** » Mon Aug 18, 2008 4:41 pm

jinftl · #8816 Postby **jinftl** » Mon Aug 18, 2008 4:41 pm

Dave Bernard on Channel 4 said something is going on...it appears storm hasn't moved in 2 hours much.

N2Storms wrote:
Evil Jeremy wrote:Ok, now Fay is really freaking me out. Where is it headed?

http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?prod ... x&loop=yes

To my very untrained eyes that looks like it has a more easterly component to it now but to be honest with you, my hearing is about shot and my eye sight is following suit...

93superstorm · #8817 Postby **93superstorm** » Mon Aug 18, 2008 4:43 pm

Fay:

Irene:

#8818 Postby **Canelaw99** » Mon Aug 18, 2008 4:44 pm

Per Ed Rappaport at NHC:
They've noticed the indications of rapid motion/tornadic activity. Worst of that has moved N of the lower Keys. We'll see more over the peninsula tonight and in the morning. I think what we're seeing (the easterly jog/move) is a reorganization of the center and strengthening. The northward heading is still the best one to follow, and that would bring the center over the coast of SW FL, and the conditions in SE FL should begin to improve tonight and into the morning.

dolebot_Broward_NW · #8819 Postby **dolebot_Broward_NW** » Mon Aug 18, 2008 4:44 pm

The First bow echo I drove through:

And the next coming ashore:

CAREFUL in Boca/North Broward!

#8820 Postby **tailgater** » Mon Aug 18, 2008 4:45 pm

This Radar loop leaves little doubt about organization.
http://my.sfwmd.gov/sfwmd/common/images ... 2_anim.gif

ATL: Tropical Depression Fay

Re:

Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Fay South of FT Myers

Re: Florida Closings - Schools, businesses etc.

Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Fay South of Fort Myers

Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Fay South of Fort Myers

Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Fay South of FT Myers

Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Fay South of FT Myers

Re:

Re:

Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Fay South of Fort Myers

Re: Re:

Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Fay South of Fort Myers

Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Fay South of Fort Myers

Who is online