ATL: Tropical Depression Fay

[Canelaw99]

Ok, now Fay is really freaking me out. Where is it headed?

http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?prod ... x&loop=yes

LOL - could you imagine a storm that decided to track basically up US1 through the Keys?

[capepoint]

Ok, now Fay is really freaking me out. Where is it headed?

http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?prod ... x&loop=yes

I'll let you know for sure next week.

[Evil Jeremy]

New Tornado warning. This time for SE Broward County.

[fci]

Per Ed Rappaport at NHC:
They've noticed the indications of rapid motion/tornadic activity. Worst of that has moved N of the lower Keys. We'll see more over the peninsula tonight and in the morning. I think what we're seeing (the easterly jog/move) is a reorganization of the center and strengthening. The northward heading is still the best one to follow, and that would bring the center over the coast of SW FL, and the conditions in SE FL should begin to improve tonight and into the morning.

Conditions improving into the morning works perfectly with closing the schools in Palm Beach County!

[Myersgirl]

WOULD YOU PLEASE SHOW ME THE APPROXIMATE CENTER

[RL3AO]

WOULD YOU PLEASE SHOW ME THE APPROXIMATE CENTER

Right over Key West.

[lebron23]

This is slowly looking better!

[NEXRAD]

Definite jog eastward but I will go with NHC and say it will continue Northward.

If you follow the center of the swirl rather than the convective bands the motion is nearly stationary. It appears that the bands around the center may be tightening some, hence the apparent movement.

- Jay

[artist]

we have dozens upon dozens of lizards on our back patio and there is not a one to be seen today- not one. I have even been bringing in my orchids and not one to be found.
Dogs seem nervous still, barking at things not to be seen! lol

[Blown Away]

Ok, 50 minutes ago the NHC says Fay is moving NNW at 12mph, the radar shows an E drift, what's up? Local Met thinks we may have a Cat 1 cane at 8pm, based on the pressure drop. Can somebody explain the radar??

[Bgator]

Jay, can you explain again why the winds have not picked up in the metro areas? Thanks.

[johngaltfla]

What is even weirder is that everyone on the local channels has projected that it will have a southern track. Then there is the one guy who follows other models that says don't focus on the models, watch the cone.

This storm deserves Duval St. It's drunk and I think I'll join it.

If it continues to wobble or stall I say all bets are off. She's got that Rosie O'Donnell look to her and she is about to get really, really mean.

I swear I haven't seen anything like this since Elena.

[tailgater]

Definite jog eastward but I will go with NHC and say it will continue Northward.

If you follow the center of the swirl rather than the convective bands the motion is nearly stationary. It appears that the bands around the center may be tightening some, hence the apparent movement.

- Jay

Yes the center seems to be spitting out vortex after vortex 1 a little east of KW and 1 A little north with the main? just a tad west of KW

[Canelaw99]

LOL yep - she's slurpin' up every drop to drink over Key West I guess...

[NEXRAD]

Tornado Threat Increasing

Per the 21Z SPC mesoanalysis, helicity values above 150m2/s2 have developed across Southeast Florida, southeast of a line from about Naples to Lake Okeechobbee to Stuart. Maximum helicities above 300m2/s2 are present across Miami-Dade and Broward counties and are progressing into Palm Beach County. The RUC/2 mesoanalysis agrees well with the Florida ADAS mesonet analysis.

There will be a continued risk for rotating storm cells across all of South Florida. The threat for storm cells capable of producing tornadoes will gradually spread north into portions of South Central Florida later tonight.

- Jay

[gtsmith]

The First bow echo I drove through:




And the next coming ashore:



CAREFUL in Boca/North Broward!

After those two...should be a quiet spell for a while in SE florida as we catch the dry air entrainment...i see a big gap on radar

[johngaltfla]

Ok, 50 minutes ago the NHC says Fay is moving NNW at 12mph, the radar shows an E drift, what's up? Local Met thinks we may have a Cat 1 cane at 8pm, based on the pressure drop. Can somebody explain the radar??

It was. I think this storm is nuts. Absolutely nuts. I can not find any good upper air data here or elsewhere to explain this stall. If she stalls for 12-24 hours I say everyone can set their hair on fire and get excited again. This storm is not making any sense at all.

It is Elena on steroids.

All over again.

[lebron23]

Fay looks like it is trying to slow down just a tad......

[Shockwave]

What is even weirder is that everyone on the local channels has projected that it will have a southern track. Then there is the one guy who follows other models that says don't focus on the models, watch the cone.

This storm deserves Duval St. It's drunk and I think I'll join it.

If it continues to wobble or stall I say all bets are off. She's got that Rosie O'Donnell look to her and she is about to get really, really mean.

I swear I haven't seen anything like this since Elena.

I don't remember Elena or many hurricanes in that matter, but I can safely say I've never seen a storm do as much ackward stuff that Fay has done. Her sitting there and spinning has me concerned. That mb pressure drop down to 998 is what shocked me most, but I'd like to see what the next reading is and how much lower it has gone.

[Weatherboy1]

It looks to me like Fay is getting very close to hurricane strength, or will be there soon especially now that pressures are down a bit and convection appears to be wrapping around the south side too.