ATL: Tropical Depression Fay

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RL3AO
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Fay South of Fort Myers

#8941 Postby RL3AO » Mon Aug 18, 2008 5:47 pm

The pressure is not 977 mb. That would be a category 2 hurricane.

Recon isn't even to the storm yet.
Last edited by RL3AO on Mon Aug 18, 2008 5:48 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Fay in Florida Straits

#8942 Postby jhpigott » Mon Aug 18, 2008 5:48 pm

tolakram wrote:Radar signature seems to be rapidly improving.

Image


just thought it would be nice to have this radar view bumped . . .
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Fay South of Fort Myers

#8943 Postby Sanibel » Mon Aug 18, 2008 5:48 pm

He probably meant '997' and misspoke.
Last edited by Sanibel on Mon Aug 18, 2008 5:48 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Fay South of Fort Myers

#8944 Postby Zip » Mon Aug 18, 2008 5:48 pm

ch 4 mentioned recon noted formation of eyewall...their term.
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Fay South of Fort Myers

#8945 Postby marciacubed » Mon Aug 18, 2008 5:49 pm

Is it undergoing RI?
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Fay South of Fort Myers

#8946 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Mon Aug 18, 2008 5:49 pm

There is no way this droped 21 millibars. There is not even a eye yet.
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#8947 Postby JPmia » Mon Aug 18, 2008 5:49 pm

that's a pretty big mistake if they are wrong...oh where is Bryan Norcross when you need him.
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Re: Re:

#8948 Postby CronkPSU » Mon Aug 18, 2008 5:49 pm

gtsmith wrote:
CronkPSU wrote:
HURAKAN wrote:Image




ummmmmm...that can't be what I think it is...right?


what exactly do you think it is?


it is way too far north to be the center but that sure looks like an eye-like feature
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Fay South of Fort Myers

#8949 Postby tolakram » Mon Aug 18, 2008 5:50 pm

Pressure at Key West continues to slowly drop. Wind shift to the north, meaning Key West is on the right side of the center.

We may never see this again, Key West seems to be in the middle of a re-organizing storm.

Image
Last edited by tolakram on Mon Aug 18, 2008 5:51 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Fay South of Fort Myers

#8950 Postby GreenSky » Mon Aug 18, 2008 5:50 pm

David Bernard from CBS 4 Miami (they also have an online stream) just got a report from aircraft reconnaissance of 977 millibars and 75 knots!
He said though that those were probably not surface data but flight level observations.

He had a really shocked expression when reading the data! He then said he needed to make a ton of calls to confirm....
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Re: Re:

#8951 Postby RL3AO » Mon Aug 18, 2008 5:50 pm

CronkPSU wrote:
it is way too far north to be the center but that sure looks like an eye-like feature



Its an overshooting top of a thunderstorm.
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Fay South of Fort Myers

#8952 Postby jinftl » Mon Aug 18, 2008 5:50 pm

He definitely said 977mb....and said it would be a 21mb drop from 998mb at 5pm

Sanibel wrote:He probably meant '997' and misspoke.
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Fay in Florida Straits

#8953 Postby Bgator » Mon Aug 18, 2008 5:51 pm

jhpigott wrote:
tolakram wrote:Radar signature seems to be rapidly improving.

Image


just thought it would be nice to have this radar view bumped . . .

Radar doesnt look quite as impressive right now, but im not surprised, everyday this is when Fay always looks weakest, and it gets its act together early morning, but will it run out of time?
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MiamiensisWx

#8954 Postby MiamiensisWx » Mon Aug 18, 2008 5:51 pm

That's an overshooting thunderstorm top on visible...

IT IS NOT AN EYE...
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#8955 Postby KWT » Mon Aug 18, 2008 5:51 pm

Yep radar seems to be suggesting a NE, maybe even ENE track over the last few hours, how interesting this will be to watch over the next few hours to see if this motion continues, if it does then Irene 99 is looking a great comprasion.

Also wouldn't surprise if a formative eyewall is present with this system.
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Fay South of Fort Myers

#8956 Postby BigA » Mon Aug 18, 2008 5:52 pm

marciacubed wrote:Is it undergoing RI?


No, but it is likely that it is slowly intensifying
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#8957 Postby Bgator » Mon Aug 18, 2008 5:52 pm

When is diurnal maximum?
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Fay South of Fort Myers

#8958 Postby Sanibel » Mon Aug 18, 2008 5:52 pm

I doubt that would happen without serious surface responses in the form of a bursting wrapped eye and other necessary features for 977. If that is true I"M PACKIN!!!
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Fay South of Fort Myers

#8959 Postby Myersgirl » Mon Aug 18, 2008 5:53 pm

jinftl wrote:He definitely said 977mb....and said it would be a 21mb drop from 998mb at 5pm

Sanibel wrote:He probably meant '997' and misspoke.

Can't wait to get to the bottom of this one! Calm in Fort Myers
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Fay South of Fort Myers

#8960 Postby Thunder44 » Mon Aug 18, 2008 5:53 pm

The recon report from Channel 4 is probably not true. The plane is nowhere near the center yet. Also people need to look at base reflectively on the radar. Composite sometimes shows stuff that isn't falling.

You guys also post too much. I keep getting stopped from posting, because 3 or 4 people have posted before me. :lol:
Last edited by Thunder44 on Mon Aug 18, 2008 5:55 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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