ATL: Tropical Depression Fay

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CronkPSU
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Fay South of Naples

#9201 Postby CronkPSU » Mon Aug 18, 2008 8:39 pm

Extratropical1 wrote:So why cant the NHC in all the conference calls tell local officials to stay open dont evacuate and keep schools open if they are so accurate??? The local EOC;s take there word as God and I am on the inside so I know what i am talkin about



no idea why I am feeding the troll but why in the world would you want people to be stuck in cars with flash flooding going on, power lines crashing, branches and trees falling all around..and that is just from the 40+ mph winds which do extend out over 100 miles....I am just north of Orlando and I am sure glad my child isn't going out on the bus in those conditions
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Fay South of Naples

#9202 Postby Extratropical1 » Mon Aug 18, 2008 8:39 pm

As a member of an EOC team
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Fay South of Naples

#9203 Postby sfwx » Mon Aug 18, 2008 8:40 pm

Bocadude85 wrote:Ok I do not understand how the nws is forcasting winds sustained at 34mph gusting to 50 for Boca when there is not even a breeze here... when is this wind going to start?



According to this chart, it is suppose to start after midnight.

http://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.ph ... =graphical
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#9204 Postby SWFLA_CANE » Mon Aug 18, 2008 8:40 pm

OK, doing what?
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Re:

#9205 Postby fci » Mon Aug 18, 2008 8:40 pm

CajunMama wrote:When you consider that it's for the safety of the children it's not a bad idea. If they wait until the morning to cancel you have 1000's of parents looking to find someone to watch their kids if the parent still is required to go to work. I know here that the daycares follow the public schools decision on weather days and may do the same thing in palm beach.

We've had flooding rains here and they let school off too late. We had to go pick up our kids at school that day and my kids were in a private school across town. I had to drive in water past my car door to get my kids.


Oh, I know you are all correct in agreeing with the PBC decision to close schools tomorrow.
What if the winds DID hit 50 and a bus careened off the road or something similarly horrible (g-d forbid) happened?
The PBC School Board would be taken to task for keeping the schools open and we parents would be incredulous.

Better to be safe especially so early in the year so that there are ample make up days available.

I just have this strong feeling that the weather will be quite benign tomorrow and we will laugh at the schools being closed.
But I admit that I am wrong in protesting the decision. :oops:
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#9206 Postby RL3AO » Mon Aug 18, 2008 8:41 pm

Image

Looks like its trying to wrap around again.
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Fay South of Naples

#9207 Postby Scorpion » Mon Aug 18, 2008 8:41 pm

So can we call it a gentlemen's bet if not? :)I'm just waiting to see if the wind gets enoguh to push our floating rafts out of the pool.. the inner tube did come out around 7. :D


The most I've received is a 20 mph gust and I'm still confident I will get TS sustained winds here.
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Fay South of Naples

#9208 Postby Stangfriik » Mon Aug 18, 2008 8:41 pm

CronkPSU wrote:
Extratropical1 wrote:So why cant the NHC in all the conference calls tell local officials to stay open dont evacuate and keep schools open if they are so accurate??? The local EOC;s take there word as God and I am on the inside so I know what i am talkin about



no idea why I am feeding the troll but why in the world would you want people to be stuck in cars with flash flooding going on, power lines crashing, branches and trees falling all around..and that is just from the 40+ mph winds which do extend out over 100 miles....I am just north of Orlando and I am sure glad my child isn't going out on the bus in those conditions



heh I grew up in APK
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Re:

#9209 Postby DESTRUCTION5 » Mon Aug 18, 2008 8:41 pm

gatorcane wrote:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products

Unofficially I call landfall in the Everglades near or just SE of Everglades City...that's about 75 miles ESE of Naples


Too late..Made landfall in Key West Earlier..LOL
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#9210 Postby gatorcane » Mon Aug 18, 2008 8:42 pm

:uarrow: Key West of course.....first

then Everglades City or so (about 60 miles ESE of Naples or so)
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Fay South of Naples

#9211 Postby NEXRAD » Mon Aug 18, 2008 8:42 pm

During the past 30 minutes scattered to numerous cells have begun to develop northeast of the strong squall band that has been affecting areas from Flamingo to Marathon. Based on composite radar imagery, it looks like the developing cells will solidify into several bands or a larger convective mass over Miami-Dade county and will spread into southern Broward County during the next hour. Cells quickly developing over the Atlantic south of Miami Beach and east of Key Largo and Marathon will feed northward, potentially sustaining any convective bands that develop.

The band that moved across the Central Keys and extreme southern Miami-Dade to southern Mainland Monroe County was accompanied by sustained 30 to 45 mph winds with gusts to 60 mph. Convective trends will need to be monitored to discern whether an expansion of these winds may occur.

- Jay
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Fay South of Naples

#9212 Postby NEXRAD » Mon Aug 18, 2008 8:44 pm

One of the newly formed cells south of I-75 in eastern Collier county is demonstrating very strong rotation.

- Jay
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#9213 Postby gatorcane » Mon Aug 18, 2008 8:44 pm

:uarrow:

Jay I am seeing that also. What do you think about my prognosis of a NNE movement of Fay's center now, maybe even NE...if trends continue Fay would pass alot closer to the SE FL metro counties than originally progged.
Last edited by gatorcane on Mon Aug 18, 2008 8:45 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#9214 Postby Sal Collaziano » Mon Aug 18, 2008 8:45 pm

Here's a quick video I took this morning in West Palm Beach.. About 10am...

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HMrjroa8PFQ
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#9215 Postby Bgator » Mon Aug 18, 2008 8:45 pm

Im here in coconut grove, and as of about 15 minutes ago, the wind has really picked up.
You can here it now, with the wooshing sound across the building im in. I am 5 floors up though.
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Re:

#9216 Postby expat2carib » Mon Aug 18, 2008 8:46 pm

HURAKAN wrote:Extratropical1, you are looking at the half-empty part of the glass. You should be happy that because of shear, dry air, and land interaction Fay wasn't able to become a major hurricane. It's the best thing it could have happened to Florida.


Great job HURAKAN! I really appreciate people like you and the others here on S2K!

If I could change my username I would change it to SAL, dry air, land interaction supporter!

Now people are angry because they bought 10 extra gallons of water and have their annoying children at home tomorrow.

They forget that this "pathetic" storm already killed more then 10 people on it's way.

In the old Rome they were killing the messengers that brought bad news It's good you are not there in place and time :ggreen:

Respect :rain:
Last edited by expat2carib on Mon Aug 18, 2008 8:47 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#9217 Postby Bgator » Mon Aug 18, 2008 8:47 pm

Here is a video i took of fay at about 5:20
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=s6GHNgoIB98
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#9218 Postby BigA » Mon Aug 18, 2008 8:47 pm

I'll be darned, it STILL looks to be movinn NNW.

Has recon sampled the heavy convection to the NE of the center yet?
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Fay South of Naples

#9219 Postby tolakram » Mon Aug 18, 2008 8:49 pm

Water Vapor loop.

I don't see that ULL anywhere.

Image
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Re:

#9220 Postby RL3AO » Mon Aug 18, 2008 8:49 pm

BigA wrote:I'll be darned, it STILL looks to be movinn NNW.

Has recon sampled the heavy convection to the NE of the center yet?


Nope.
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