ATL: Tropical Depression Fay

[tolakram]

http://maps.google.com/maps?f=q&hl=en&g ... 1&t=h&z=12

What is Marco island? Looks like it will take the brunt of Fay.

Ah,

http://www.marco-island-florida.com/

[RL3AO]

Is that an eyewall or dry slot developing on radar?

Its trying really really hard to close a eyewall I think.

[cpdaman]

seems like a battle between the trough digging possibly pushing her NNE along the shear axis which is being held stationary thanks to a ridge over the W. atlantic

http://metofis.rsmas.miami.edu/~dortt/s ... 1_loop.gif

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... 8dlm6.html

looks like a squeeze play , will she get nudged more than we think, faster, slower , NNW, NE, ENE crikey

[Sal Collaziano]

It's been very windy here in West Palm Beach - for the past hour or so. When might we start seeing something more than these gusts? I'm waiting for the steady winds...

[HURAKAN]

NOAA plane finds 991 mb but they are 12,000 feet up. Validity is questionable.

[RL3AO]

NOAA plane finds 991 mb but they are 12,000 feet up. Validity is questionable.

The NOAA flight was extraplolating the pressure 3 or 4 mb too low earlier. Only a drop can tell us the truth.

[Sanibel]

NOAA plane finds 991 mb but they are 12,000 feet up. Validity is questionable.

That would quickly explain the eyewall.

[AdamFirst]

Fay's not going down without a fight. She's blasting Eye of the Tiger as she's running up the steps to the Florida coastline

btw I like your choice words..."squeeze play"

[kurtpage]

any graphics?

[boca]

We just had a good squall come thru West Boca winds up to 40mph in gusts.That was the strongest of the day so far.Fay hasn't moved in 3 hours or just drifting.

[Sanibel]

I'm seeing center jerks on radar. Could be nothing. Or minor.

[dolebot_Broward_NW]

This storm defies logic. She forms over DR - doesn't fall apart over Haiti - doesn't strengthen south of Cuba, doesn't all apart over cuba - stays the same over the florida straits, and looks to be strengthening with a good chunk of convection over land!

[weatherSnoop]

Appeared for a moment, Fay was repulsed by Marco and decided to view other areas.

[mattpetre]

On topic: Overall the forecast track has been exceptional considering this has just been a TS, but I do believe we got pretty lucky that this did hit almost all of the Islands of the N. Carribean. I empathize with those that have losses, but had Fay gone N. of the islands, I'm pretty sure we would have a much stronger storm on our hands now (or earlier). That ULL and land interaction did much to save us from a more powerful storm so far.

Bit off topic: I think I understand -removed- now... If this storm actually had a snowballs chance of effecting the Houston Metro area (where I live now), then my wife wouldn't have a problem with me staying up till midnight or later checking on the storm. However, since I'm just staying up because I simply love watching chaotic patterns develop into something sensible, she just doesn't get it. Guess the whole possible westward motion thing gives me something to tell her in the morning as she's begging me to get out of bed in time to beat traffic.

[Ptarmigan]

Many computer models are all over with Fay. I heard on the local weather that it may go over GOM by the weekend.

[cpdaman]

she's going north or 5 degrees at about 7 mph or so

looks like a crawl and looks like she is not moving when we watch 5 meso cyclone's rotate around each other , but she is slowly but surely moving N erly

and SE coastal florida is gusting tonite

[boca]

I'm seeing center jerks on radar. Could be nothing. Or minor.

I looked at the radar and say to myself its drifting NW again.Come back an hour later looked like it moved east. Oh well its pretty nasty in Boca Raton right now. I hope I don't lose power.

[Bocadude85]

29.80 and falling here

[dolebot_Broward_NW]

A few more spins around and that red/yellow near the spinning center might make it all the way round into an eyewall :/

[HURAKAN]

29.71 and falling. Rain amounts to 3.38 inches.