ATL: Tropical Depression Fay

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gatorcane
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#9761 Postby gatorcane » Tue Aug 19, 2008 8:41 am

:uarrow:

In fact the strongest winds I can find on the SW Coast of FL do not exceed 50mph....

Its looking like the FL Keys experienced the worst winds with Fay at this point and SE FL, especially Palm Beach County experienced similar winds to the SW Coast of FL believe it or not.
Last edited by gatorcane on Tue Aug 19, 2008 8:42 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Fay Inside Florida Penninsula

#9762 Postby tolakram » Tue Aug 19, 2008 8:41 am

landcane!

So what the heck happened. I fell asleep, wake up to find landfall, a storm with a low pressure but weak winds, a clear eye on radar over land. :)
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Fay Inside Florida Penninsula

#9763 Postby Hurricanewatcher2007 » Tue Aug 19, 2008 8:42 am

You shouldn't invade the privacy of a lady by looking through her eye and into her soul! lol I guess she wants to be a country girl! lol
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Fay Inside Florida Penninsula

#9764 Postby deltadog03 » Tue Aug 19, 2008 8:43 am

Normandy wrote:I need a pro met to explain what is going on with Fay. Storms don't develop eyes hours after they make landfall, they usually lose their eye features. Fay barely had a eyewall going when she came ashore, and the latest radar return shows an almost fully enclosed eyewall. It just makes not sense. Is it being enhanced by the trough to its north?



LOL....how about I Dunno!!!
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Fay Inside Florida Penninsula

#9765 Postby StJoe » Tue Aug 19, 2008 8:43 am

So im still thinking Fay is gonna shoot the gut at Lake O...right down the middle...
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#9766 Postby HURAKAN » Tue Aug 19, 2008 8:44 am

Image
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Fay Inside Florida Penninsula

#9767 Postby tolakram » Tue Aug 19, 2008 8:46 am

high speed loop:

http://hadar.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis ... ive_0.html

Still generating convection and outflow looks good. Crazy. And people say these small storms are boring?

http://hadar.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis ... ive_0.html


Image

So this raises the question, if it can maintain this until the Atlantic ...
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#9768 Postby gatorcane » Tue Aug 19, 2008 8:47 am

is that an eye showing up on this visibile image? :eek:

Image
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Fay Inside Florida Penninsula

#9769 Postby Cookiely » Tue Aug 19, 2008 8:50 am

wafbwx wrote:
Cookiely wrote:Am I seeing this correctly? Fay proceeds across the state, comes back in the GOM and proceeds to landfall in the same area a second time. What are the odds? A zillion to one.
http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/gfstc2.c ... =Animation


That's an old run of the GFS...from Sunday night.

Thank you for the info. I appreciate your help.
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Fay Inside Florida Penninsula

#9770 Postby SapphireSea » Tue Aug 19, 2008 8:51 am

I believe it may have been delayed maximum that caused an 'eye' center. But it seems that obs from the eye and eyewall still indicate little change in strength. I don't know if interaction with that trough has anything to do with it, but it looks extremely good in terms of structure.
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#9771 Postby Steve » Tue Aug 19, 2008 8:52 am

>>Even though the everglades won't hurt the storm as much, there has to be some other reasoning as to why Fay is behaving like this.

It's probably a combination of several things including land interaction. JMO

Steve
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#9772 Postby Just Joshing You » Tue Aug 19, 2008 8:52 am

I just woke up. This is pretty shocking.. I did not expect it to strengthen much, but is it possible she attained Hurricane Status afterall.. AFTER landfall?
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#9773 Postby shaggy » Tue Aug 19, 2008 8:54 am

I read a promets response to the eye on another forum and he described frictional convergence as a possible reason. The land interaction causes the center to tighten and the "eye" to clear and look better.
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Fay Inside Florida Penninsula

#9774 Postby Normandy » Tue Aug 19, 2008 8:56 am

Last radar scan is hilarious, it almost has a full eyewall!
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#9775 Postby Just Joshing You » Tue Aug 19, 2008 8:56 am

Can someone post the pictures?
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Fay Inside Florida Penninsula

#9776 Postby caneman » Tue Aug 19, 2008 8:57 am

It is now also moving with the flow so that helps too. Also drawing moisture from 3 sources. GOM, Lake O and Atlantic. Don't expect it lose much power, should still be intact if it makes it back to the Atlantic.
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#9777 Postby HURAKAN » Tue Aug 19, 2008 8:57 am

Image

She is stationary. Steering currents becoming very weak..
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Fay Inside Florida Penninsula

#9778 Postby tolakram » Tue Aug 19, 2008 8:58 am

Updated tracking chart. Unless a bend is forecast it should miss Lake O.

Image

and I might add I'm almost out of chart space. If Fay makes it north I'm going to have to use some copy/paste skills.
Last edited by tolakram on Tue Aug 19, 2008 8:59 am, edited 1 time in total.
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#9779 Postby gatorcane » Tue Aug 19, 2008 8:58 am

so that is no eye trying to form :darrow: ?

Image
Last edited by gatorcane on Tue Aug 19, 2008 8:59 am, edited 1 time in total.
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#9780 Postby GeneratorPower » Tue Aug 19, 2008 8:59 am

Lake O is probably providing a small boost.
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