ATL: Tropical Depression Fay

[Air Force Met]

WSCN, Channel 7, here in Miami was live until an hour ago. They had their two anchors, 9 reports, and 2 meterologists in rotation talking about the storm. Let me tell you. There is no tree that fell in Miami and the areas around that wasn't reported!

Our channel 2...here in HOUSTON...is now running a commercial about Edouard. IT says something like "no scare tactics..." and shows their mets talking about Edouard.

They ran it last night...then they had a 5 sec. news break on Fay...saying something like..."Fay forecasted to turn west...should we worry?"

Gotta love the media.

[Weatherfreak14]

Here is some amazing images ive been able to capture by this eye over land/ Simply amazing

[RL3AO]

If this "eyewall" makes it to the Atlantic, that could help with intensification right?

[tolakram]

[Just Joshing You]

If this "eyewall" makes it to the Atlantic, that could help with intensification right?

I will risk a crow pie, but I will guarantee this does not last until water.

[gatorcane]

Looking at NWS Miami Base radar image....Looks like a nice "CDO" like structure developing around the "eye":

http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid= ... 11&loop=no

I see no signs of Fay weakening just yet --- should start seeing them over the next few hours though (I think)

[BobHarlem]

How much is this like Irene in 1999? Will Fay Stall out at or just offshore the east coast of Florida?

[Sanibel]

Pressure has dropped (over land) two millibars since the preceding advisory...

Note the transition from 988 (8 a.m. EDT) to 986 mb (11 a.m. EDT).

Like I was saying yesterday, the prime SST's will slowly trump conditions and intensify Fay. Only this turned out to be one of those environments where pressure doesn't translate to winds quickly. The continued drop is probably residual energy from those SST's along with venting, as you can see Fay's upper extends all the way up the trough.

[Blown Away]

Wow, I have not seen this much rain since Irene. Over the past few hours we have had a few gusts 40+ mph.

[chris_fit]

Finally... cloud tops starting to warm near the core...

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-avn.html

[jeffcojoe]

Interesting posting from the Miami Office this a.m.:

000
NWUS52 KMFL 191401
LSRMFL

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1001 AM EDT TUE AUG 19 2008

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0800 AM TROPICAL STORM 6 SSW ROTENBERGER WILDL 26.33N 80.88W
08/19/2008 BROWARD FL MESONET

ROTNWX REPORTED 41 KTS WIND GUST AT 12Z.

0800 AM TROPICAL STORM 5 NW ROTENBERGER WILDLI 26.45N 80.89W
08/19/2008 HENDRY FL MESONET

STA5WX REPORTED 43 KTS WIND GUST AT 12Z.

0800 AM AVALANCHE 11 SE BRIGHTON SEMINOLE 26.96N 80.94W
08/19/2008 AMZ610 FL MESONET

L005 REPORTED 35 KTS WIND GUST AT 12Z.

[CrazyC83]

I do agree that if this maintains itself then rapid intensification is quite possible when it goes offshore.

[perk]

WSCN, Channel 7, here in Miami was live until an hour ago. They had their two anchors, 9 reports, and 2 meterologists in rotation talking about the storm. Let me tell you. There is no tree that fell in Miami and the areas around that wasn't reported!

Our channel 2...here in HOUSTON...is now running a commercial about Edouard. IT says something like "no scare tactics..." and shows their mets talking about Edouard.

They ran it last night...then they had a 5 sec. news break on Fay...saying something like..."Fay forecasted to turn west...should we worry?"

Gotta love the media.

Which brings me to my question, AFM should we be concerned.

[ronjon]

Pressure dropped 3 mb since LF at 5 am this morning going from 989 MB (29.28 INCHES) to 986 MB (29.12 INCHES). I don't think I ever seen that!

[Sanibel]

Code: Select all

Finally... cloud tops starting to warm near the core

...And cooling and deepening over the east coast waters.

[Chacor]

Pressure dropped 3 mb since LF at 5 am this morning going from 989 MB (29.28 INCHES) to 986 MB (29.12 INCHES). I don't think I ever seen that!

3 mbar drop in 6 hours isn't as uncommon as it seems.

[Derek Ortt]

Code: Select all

Finally... cloud tops starting to warm near the core

...And cooling and deepening over the east coast waters.

if cloud tops start to cool and deepen away from the eye... that will mean the storm is spreading out and RI is not likely over the water

[Just Joshing You]

Pressure dropped 3 mb since LF at 5 am this morning going from 989 MB (29.28 INCHES) to 986 MB (29.12 INCHES). I don't think I ever seen that!

3 mbar drop in 6 hours isn't as uncommon as it seems.

It is uncommon when it is over land, no?

[Enzo Aquarius]

AT 1100 AM...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED SEVERAL
BROKEN BANDS OF SHOWERS ON THE FAR SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF TROPICAL
STORM FAY STREAMING EASTWARD AT AROUND 25 KNOTS...MAINLY ACROSS THE
NEARSHORE WATERS OF THE FLORIDA KEYS.

THE STRONGEST AND MOST CONSOLIDATED BAND WILL BE FOUND JUST SOUTH OF
THE LOWER KEYS...AND THROUGH NOON...THIS BAND WILL MIGRATE EAST
NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE NEARSHORE WATERS OF THE MIDDLE KEYS. SHOWERS
WITHIN ANY OF THESE BANDS MAY PRODUCE WIND GUSTS OF 30 TO 35 KNOTS...
ROUGH SEAS...AND A FEW LIGHTNING STRIKES. THE HEAVIER RAIN WILL
RESULT IN BRIEF SPELLS OF NEAR ZERO VISIBILITY. MARINERS SHOULD
EXERCISE CAUTION IF VENTURING OUT IN THESE WATERS...AND KEEP IN
MIND A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT.

[HURAKAN]