Air Force Met wrote:ALhurricane wrote:The 12z GFS is already too slow in Fay's current movement. At Fay's current speed and heading, it should be near the coast in 9-11 hours, much earlier than the GFS is showing.
Agreed. This will be out over water later this evening...not tomorrow at 12Z like the GFS is showing.
I love how model runs are so easily discounted. I remember the GFS run on Fay when she was around Puerto Rico that showed her going through the DR and under Cuba called a garbage run,. Turned out the solutions were followed by the other models and turned out to be accurate.