ATL: Tropical Depression Fay

[Blown Away]

Just got a 37mph gust, winds still SE, so Fay must still be SW of Hobe Sound. Can't wait for this slow mover to go over Lake "O".

[CrazyC83]

Since there is a visible eye on radar, advisories are every 2 hours now - next one is at 1 pm.

[Weatherboy1]

scorpion -- that's what I was wondering too. Seems like if she continues this NE track that's evident on radar, she'll at least cross the northern shore of Lake O and maybe spend some time over water. Can't say I can recall any storm doing that before in my lifetime so I don't know what impact it would have. The water has to be pretty warm, though Lake O isn't all that deep.

[Ivanhater]

>>Well hopefully that means she gets further north so she wont have any water when she pushes back west

Come on Ivanhater. You know that while you hate the destruction and don't want to see your fair city rattled again, you're a junkie for the excitement. I'm not going to lie and say anything else either. I don't have a house anymore, so I really don't have anything to lose.

Steve

Lol Steve, that is true, the excitement will never go away, but your right gets old when your sitting without power for 3 weeks and you lost your home

[WhirlWind]

Still raining and blowing like crazy here in Lehigh Acres at 12:33 PM
WhirlWind

[gatorcane]

pinhole-like eye on IR:

[Noles2006]

That is a beautiful tropical storm! Pretty amazing stuff right there!

[Scorpion]

Wow this looks great. Imagine if it had more time over water.

[CrazyC83]

I'm starting to think the GFDL forecast is what might happen...second landfall near Savannah...

[jlauderdal]

According to the position statement, it is at the same latitude and longitude as it was at the time of the last advisory .... hmmm.. unless I miss my guess, that would be pretty slow on the movement

its been slow all day, this system will be on the scene for at least a week

[Brent]

Can't believe how good the storm looks.

[Stormcenter]

If I didn't know any better I would think I was looking
at a hurricane over Florida.

http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/satelli ... uration=12

[cpdaman]

i would also think that with the trough axis moving east as well as her moving a bit more east of the flow around the ULL over texas that she may start to turn NNE late this afternoon , as opposed to the NE movement she has been going. and when this happens (any small change in her trajectory, will have a significant outcome on where she may try to exit florida.

call me crazy , but i think there is some kind of human nature thing for people to "want" to see this make it back over water, since it's basciallly a fun little storm for fl (minus the torndado's), i also see this moving just grazing the NW part of the lake mid afternoon.

it may be soon time for some pro-wobble watching.

p.s you can ever see her "eye" in wv wow. clewiston must be getting some kind of weather

[Canelaw99]

I'm starting to think the GFDL forecast is what might happen...second landfall near Savannah...

Third landfall

[Air Force Met]

Since there is a visible eye on radar, advisories are every 2 hours now - next one is at 1 pm.

Not necessarily. They will do it before landfall...but then they coordinate with the WFO on whether or not to go back to every 3 hours. For instance...Dolly. The NHC asked BRO if it would be OK to go back to 3 hourlies once it made landfall...and they agreed.

[gtalum]

I'm starting to think the GFDL forecast is what might happen...second landfall near Savannah...

Third landfall

Third US landfall.

[Enzo Aquarius]

If I didn't know any better I would think I was looking
at a hurricane over Florida.

http://www.rap.ucar.edu/weather/satelli ... uration=12

Just on the visible, the structure looks amazing, even while being on land.

[oyster_reef]

I'm starting to think the GFDL forecast is what might happen...second landfall near Savannah...

Third landfall

5th... Hisp. and Cuba too.

[x-y-no]

Nice sunny weather here in NE Miami-Dade now, but it's actually windier than it's been at any time except in the stronger bands yesterday evening and last night ...

My best estimate 15 knots sustained, gusts to 25 knots.

[SoupBone]

I'm starting to think the GFDL forecast is what might happen...second landfall near Savannah...

What are you basing this on considering the models are starting to trend it back into the GOM?