ATL: Tropical Depression Fay

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tallywx
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Fay Inside Florida Penninsula

#10021 Postby tallywx » Tue Aug 19, 2008 12:06 pm

I love the NHC's very judicious wording of the wind increase..."maximum sustained winds are now near 65 mph"

If this were over water, their boilerplate language would say "have increased to near 65 mph." but they just can't bring themselves to say that things have strengthened over land. well done with the word parsing, Avila.
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Fay Inside Florida Penninsula

#10022 Postby jasons2k » Tue Aug 19, 2008 12:07 pm

Re: Moore Haven winds at 78 MPH

Yes, it is a personal weather station BUT it is a Davis Vantage Pro II system - should be reliable reading - I think the spec'd margin of error on that system is 1 or 2%
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Fay Inside Florida Penninsula

#10023 Postby sfwx » Tue Aug 19, 2008 12:07 pm

Just coming to Lake "O" now.

http://www.wptv.com/weather/default.aspx
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Fay Inside Florida Penninsula

#10024 Postby Evil Jeremy » Tue Aug 19, 2008 12:08 pm

So Fay is getting stronger inland. 65 MPH with a sub 990 pressure. If this gets a decent amount of time over the Atlantic with that pressure, she could bomb.
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Fay Inside Florida Penninsula

#10025 Postby SunnyThoughts » Tue Aug 19, 2008 12:09 pm

CNN just reported an unconfirmed report of 81mph wind gust near MOore Haven
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#10026 Postby Dean4Storms » Tue Aug 19, 2008 12:09 pm

I have a Davis Vantage Pro and find it very accurate. If this station is along the water it could be realistic, winds are always stronger on water with a TC and immediately along the shore.
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Re: Re:

#10027 Postby jinftl » Tue Aug 19, 2008 12:11 pm

All warnings were dropped for west coast...worst is east of you now...that's a wrap!

Terry wrote:
gtalum wrote:Is Sarasota/Bradenton going to get ANYTHING from Fay? I gently teased my neighbor this morning for putting his shutters up. :D


It's a steady 30mph out here on the beach to your west. lol
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Re: Re:

#10028 Postby divanicki75 » Tue Aug 19, 2008 12:11 pm

I think he qualified his statment when he quoted the GFDL model run taking the storm into Savannah

Image



Thanks for posting that. So what do the rest of you guys feel she will do? Seems like a whole lot of uncertainty right now.[/quote]

Hi all, :?:
I'm a total amatuer here, but it looks like the possible projected paths (say THAT 5 times fast) are for both South AND North of me (Charleston, SC) now. Do you think it's still a sit & wait game or to be blunt... how likely am I to be hit!
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Re: Re:

#10029 Postby gtalum » Tue Aug 19, 2008 12:14 pm

Terry wrote:
It's a steady 30mph out here on the beach to your west. lol


Here in Venice, where I work, it's breezy and we had a single drizzling shower this morning.
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Fay Inside Florida Penninsula

#10030 Postby poof121 » Tue Aug 19, 2008 12:14 pm

Image

Are we looking at an eye feature developing over land?
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#10031 Postby AdamFirst » Tue Aug 19, 2008 12:14 pm

Fay is defying all. This is incredible.
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#10032 Postby gatorcane » Tue Aug 19, 2008 12:15 pm

:uarrow:

Simply incredible, I'm sure this system will be in meteorology textbooks in the future
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Fay Inside Florida Penninsula

#10033 Postby zaqxsw75050 » Tue Aug 19, 2008 12:15 pm

poof121 wrote:Image

Are we looking at an eye feature developing over land?


yes
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#10034 Postby SunnyThoughts » Tue Aug 19, 2008 12:16 pm

Just mind blowing, she seems to like land better than water. Maybe she'll weaken when she hits the atlantic (wishful thinking)
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Fay Inside Florida Penninsula

#10035 Postby Canelaw99 » Tue Aug 19, 2008 12:16 pm

Someone said it while the storm was over Hispaniola or nearing Cuba (don't remember which) that Fay seems to not like water....she's definitely a land lover LOL
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Fay Inside Florida Penninsula

#10036 Postby GreenSky » Tue Aug 19, 2008 12:17 pm

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/avn-l.jpg (Looking at current IR satellite imagery of Fay, one can clearly see an \\\"eye\\\" just west of Lake O!)

Really makes me scratch my head if Fay is just barely a hurricane right now or was one before!!!!!

I DON\\\'T UNDERSTAND HOW FAY HAS STRENGTHENED OVER LAND GIVEN HOW SLOW SHE IS MOVING....MAKES ME WONDER IF NHC SHOULD HAVE UPGRADED FAY BEFORE LANDFALL...SAME THING HAPPENED OVER HISPANIOLA, FAY BECAME A NAMED STORM WHILE OOOVVVVEEERRRR THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC!
NOW YOU TELL ME, DOES THAT MAKE ANY SENSE? IMO, Fay should have been a named storm just before making landfall in an island with 10,000 foot mountain peaks.

I am just frustrated tracking Fay now. Confused and frustrated. What a storm!

How is Moore Haven reporting sustained winds of 78mph...wxunderground website reported that observation just half an hour ago!
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#10037 Postby gatorcane » Tue Aug 19, 2008 12:17 pm

Eye very clear on WV imagery, in fact its clearing out and becoming even more visible:

Image
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Re: ATL: Tropical Storm Fay Inside Florida Penninsula

#10038 Postby skufful » Tue Aug 19, 2008 12:18 pm

What are the effects of the intensity of the storm when it leaves the coast. Will it be influenced as much as forecasted to go west, or will it drive poleward and make landfall further north?
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#10039 Postby marciacubed » Tue Aug 19, 2008 12:18 pm

Doesn't she seem to be moving west ? I thought the movement was NW?
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Re:

#10040 Postby RL3AO » Tue Aug 19, 2008 12:19 pm

marciacubed wrote:Doesn't she seem to be moving west ? I thought the movement was NW?


Its moving NNE/NE.
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