ATL: Tropical Depression Fay

[Clipper96]

Now it's finally stationary.....(or at least the backside of the eye isn't moving any farther).

[DESTRUCTION5]

Is Fay drifting E now?
http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid= ... 1&loop=yes

looks like drifter...One thing to note is GFDL and HWRF both had her exiting St Lucle County....12Z

[ocala]

Wunderground Google precip map.
Totals are getting up there.
http://www.wunderground.com/wundermap/? ... 47&zoom=10

Scroll down to weather stations and click on it. Then select precip.

[dizzyfish]

Sure does look more east now than earlier. Will this make her hook back to the coast sooner? Farther south?

[KWT]

Yep its slowed right down just like some of the models did forecast, also I can see a ENE drift as well, though for now its only around an 1hr of radar but that does look like a easterly wobble.

[Dean4Storms]

If she does just drift ENE overnight then you have to give weight to a cross over back into the Gulf a lot of weight.

[deltadog03]

She is still kicking...Try to look at the high res vis. until its dark..Remember that the SFC is prob... a little NE of the eye on radar.

[Ivanhater]

If she does just drift ENE overnight then you have to give weight to a cross over back into the Gulf a lot of weight.

Yep Dean, the further south she exits the coast , the further south she will emerge to the west

[RL3AO]

In the past hour, its moved 45 degrees at 4 kt.

[wxman57]

where's WXMAN57 i liked his 2 hour plots of her direction

i would wager the last 2 hours was more like 35 degrees

Was driving home from work.

1hr movement 2103Z-2203Z 4.5 kts (5-6 mph) at 028 deg.

2hr movement 2003Z-2203Z 4.5 kts (5-6 mph) at 032 deg.

[KWT]

Interesting that 45 degree motion does show the track has wobbled further to the east. If it keeps up this motion it will come off land a little south of Melbourne.

[Dean4Storms]

If she does just drift ENE overnight then you have to give weight to a cross over back into the Gulf a lot of weight.

Yep Dean, the further south she exits the coast , the further south she will emerge to the west

And that if she doesn't react with a WSW movement for a time which is very possible in this situation.

[cpdaman]

heads up N palm beach county ...i.e jupiter looks like a strong band rotating around the center may whack you in around an hour.......gusts probably near 50

[Dean4Storms]

I know the NHC track has her moving offshore further north and then a slow down with a gradual turn back to the WNW, but that is going by a model consensus not 100% nailed down.

[CronkPSU]

If she does just drift ENE overnight then you have to give weight to a cross over back into the Gulf a lot of weight.

Yep Dean, the further south she exits the coast , the further south she will emerge to the west

and closer to the super warm waters in the Atlantic

[cpdaman]

If she does just drift ENE overnight then you have to give weight to a cross over back into the Gulf a lot of weight.

Yep Dean, the further south she exits the coast , the further south she will emerge to the west

And that if she doesn't react with a WSW movement for a time which is very possible in this situation.

i think your forgetting she has shown she hates open water, lets see if she makes it to the ocean, and doesn't stall prior to that

from wellington N in palm beach county , enjoy the squall moving thru in the next 45 minutes (it's been several hours since it rained ther)

[Dean4Storms]

My wind and cloud movement here in Destin has swung around out of the ENE in the last few hours.

[CronkPSU]

if it does go ENE, it will be the warmer waters off of Florida's East Coast...could really get ramped up (or does what Fay normally does over open water and sputter outs)

[SouthFLTropics]

I am simply stunned!!! I can't say it enough...This is hands down the most interesting and complexing storm I have tracked in a long time. And she's basically parked in my back yard (approx. 35 miles WNW of me). At this point in time I'm thinking that there are three factors that are going to play major roles over the next 24 to 48 hours. One...Where does she emerge in the Atlantic? Two, how long does she sit and spin over the Gulf Stream (scary thoughts here)

Thirdly, where will she come back to the coast at and how much impact will it be. This could be significant in the fact that most people around here on the Treasure Coast did not bother to board up. Most were thinking this was going to be a minor tropical storm. I know this is worse case scenario but what IF she were to go right off shore and build up her strength and then come back and affect an area that was not only not expecting it but also reeling from the blow she just gave them. A lot of interesting issues to be played out over the next 48 hours. Who needs to watch TV. TNT says they know drama. I don't think so. S2K and the 2008 Atlantic Hurricane Season knows drama...Stay Tuned.

SFT

[KWT]

Probably 7-8hrs away from the Atlantic on this current track and foward speed, just to the south of Melbourne IMO.

After that then we have to see just how far north and east it goes before it tries to bend back to the west. I should imagine with presentation as it is it will strengthen to a minimal cat-1 pretty rapidly given the pressure.