ATL: Tropical Depression Fay

[SouthFLTropics]

Bones has been seen in the area and the fat lady is warming up.

I can promise you this...I was just outside and I didn't see Bones anywhere but I did see a whole LOT of FAY!!!
Bones and Kirk are not ready to beam down yet!!!

Rain, Wind, Tornadoes, Oh my!!!

SFT

[Clipper96]

The problem is, with the core gone and the wind field expanding outward, inflow into the center has been cut off or severely reduced. It can take a storm days to overcome such a collapse.

The core tiny eye is still there, and perfectly round: http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar.ph ... R&loop=yes

[Emmett_Brown]

Yup, the inner core has collapsed. The old pinhole eye is still spinning at the SW corner of what looks like a new larger eye forming. However, this new eye is not so overly huge that the storm cant become a hurricane IMO. IF it moves over water, my gut is that it will be bigger overall in size, but still get to cat 1 status... that is of course if it can crawl into the water.

[wxman57]

Down to 45 kts on 10pm advisory. Still forecasting a hurricane. Not likely.

[Sanibel]

Tomorrow morning is the time to watch this.

[paintplaye]

What i think would be hilarious is if Fay never gets to water, turns north then northwest, then west and then tracks all the way across Florida again!

[dmaui]

What are you folks in Florida feeding that girl????? The fifteen day cone includes the area between Brownsville, Texas and Portland, Maine.........and possibly Capetown, South Africa

Personally, I blame her behavior on the mojitos she downed while over Cuba. She's still sleeping off the mother of all hangovers. She is one wack storm.

[Frank P]

Tomorrow morning is the time to watch this.

Seems like we've been saying that everying morning for the past three or four days..

[crazycajuncane]

What i think would be hilarious is if Fay never gets to water, turns north then northwest, then west and then tracks all the way across Florida again!

I'd be willing to put $5 on that possibility, but I think you'd have better odds playing roulette than betting the odds against Fay!

[Sanibel]

My look is that the big half eye is Fay's way of reaching towards warm water while having too good a structure to jump a relocation. What you are seeing here is probably the first phase of recovery. It isn't quiting that little eye, it is gaining the bigger one.

[LowndesCoFire]

What i think would be hilarious is if Fay never gets to water, turns north then northwest, then west and then tracks all the way across Florida again!

There would be nothing left...or would the structure reorganize and intensify feeding off the Florida...ahem....LAND...

[Windtalker1]

What i think would be hilarious is if Fay never gets to water, turns north then northwest, then west and then tracks all the way across Florida again!

and grows into a Hurricane while doing it......LOL

[tolakram]

Moving away from the station east of the old center.



Might be moving towards this station but with fairly rapid weakening taking place tracking is going to be difficult.


If Fay's history says anything she'll struggle over water ... for whatever reason ... I hope.

[SouthFLTropics]

What i think would be hilarious is if Fay never gets to water, turns north then northwest, then west and then tracks all the way across Florida again!

I'd be willing to put $5 on that possibility, but I think you'd have better odds playing roulette than betting the odds against Fay!

She sure keeps her cards close to her chest doesn't she...She should be on World Series of Poker



SFT

[paintplaye]

What i think would be hilarious is if Fay never gets to water, turns north then northwest, then west and then tracks all the way across Florida again!

There would be nothing left...or would the structure reorganize and intensify feeding off the Florida...ahem....LAND...

No she is already weakening. I think there would be stuff left to go out to the gulf and if it went far enough west could be a strong storm.

[lonelymike]

Man Charlie Crist has really ticked off the ladies. Francis, Jeannette, Wilma and now Fay. Oh yeah and Ivan. I forgot.

[jaxfladude]

Fay just go away....

[gpickett00]

Since she is exiting the coast a little south of what was projected, is it possible that her 3rd landfall prediction may move a little bit south of St. Augustine?

[SouthFLTropics]

Man Charlie Crist has really ticked off the ladies. Francis, Jeannette, Wilma and now Fay. Oh yeah and Ivan. I forgot.

Frances, Jeanne, Ivan, and Wilma were on Jeb's watch if I'm not mistaken...

SFT

[tolakram]

Ahem,

of course there's always the possibility that this is the first EWRC to happen over land. I joke ... I think.