ATL: Tropical Depression Fay

[fasterdisaster]

Well most uncertainty about the current situation should go away soon (direction, speed, location, intensity) with recon almost there.

[fasterdisaster]

Also she looks to have started moving quicker. I can't tell at all though if it's in the NNW or NNE, can't really describe it but it kinda looks like it's going either way depending on what you focus on as the center.

[Steve Cosby]

O, I "officially" GIVE up with FAY...LOL I have been wrong 2 times with this now...

Refreshing to read a pro met admit he was wrong...

Bastardi cried uncle this morning too - said a piece of energy escaped to the NE and, with it, the chances of reforming and heading north.

He made mention of the fact that he can't find a track in history that conforms to the GFS depiction either.

[CronkPSU]

065
URNT12 KNHC 201129
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL062008
A. 20/11:16:50Z
B. 28 deg 24 min N
080 deg 41 min W
C. NA mb 1367 m
D. 42 kt
E. 048 deg 8 nm
F. 123 deg 046 kt
G. 015 deg 024 nm
H. EXTRAP 994 mb
I. 16 C/ 1527 m
J. 18 C/ 1526 m
K. 18 C/ NA
L. CLOSED
M. E15/20/8
N. 12345/
O. 0.02 / 1 nm
P. AF304 2306A FAY OB 06
MAX FL WIND 46 KT NE QUAD 11:07:30 Z
SLP EXTRAP FROM 850 MB
EYE OVER LAND

[Steve Cosby]

FORECASTER STEWART

Stacy Stewart is back!

Forgive me if I didn't know that but, in the immortal, and irritating, words of Steve Lyons, "Good news!"

[Emmett_Brown]

Looks slow N...

[CronkPSU]

i guess technically that is over land, it is over Merritt Island

[LaunchGal]

I surrender. Ground is thoroughly saturated. Not sure how much more rain we will get.

[LaunchGal]

Deb and jinftl, thank you.

[Category 5]

Fay the water hating TC. I've never seen anything like this.

If this gets back to 60kts I'll be surprised. Despite this, everybody affected needs to be ready for flooding rain.

[mutley]

I surrender. Ground is thoroughly saturated. Not sure how much more rain we will get.

On radar, it seems to me that Fay has at least a few toes in the water, and will just start making more rain bands now.

[boca]

Lake O went from 11.26ft before Fay to 11.80ft.After all the rain that went into that lake I would of thought it would of been over 13ft by now.

http://www.sfwmd.gov/portal/page?_pagei ... ema=PORTAL

[wxman57]

Once Fay gets back fully inland it should intensify quite rapidly again. Possibly hurricane strength by the time it reaches GA/AL. We've had two tropical storms named over land this year, why not a hurricane?

[Category 5]

Once Fay gets back fully inland it should intensify quite rapidly again. Possibly hurricane strength by the time it reaches GA/AL.

Well if her past is any indication you hit the nail on the head.

[SouthFLTropics]

Once Fay gets back fully inland it should intensify quite rapidly again. Possibly hurricane strength by the time it reaches GA/AL.

[cycloneye]

12:00 UTC Best Track is at 45kts.

AL, 06, 2008082012, , BEST, 0, 284N, 806W, 45, 994, TS, 34, NEQ, 100, 90, 0, 0,

[fasterdisaster]

53 kt FL and 49 kt SFMR! Fay is strengthening! Should be at 50 kts at the 11 advisory.

[shortwave]

Once Fay gets back fully inland it should intensify quite rapidly again. Possibly hurricane strength by the time it reaches GA/AL. We've had two tropical storms named over land this year, why not a hurricane?

LOL...well something new to study.

[fasterdisaster]

Well Fay WAS moving an hour ago, she seems to have stopped again.

[angelwing]

O, I "officially" GIVE up with FAY...LOL I have been wrong 2 times with this now...

LOL I'm considering offering Fay for free to a good home on Craigs list.

Has any other system sat in one spot for this duration (or longer) before?

Hurricane/TS Agnes sat on me it seemed like for days here in PA:

http://www.lrp.usace.army.mil/pao/h-agnes.htm