ATL: Tropical Depression Fay

[fasterdisaster]

She's not weakening you guys, she's moving east. She's definitely further offshore than she was before and she doesn't look any worse on radar.

[Sabanic]

She's not weakening you guys, she's moving east. She's definitely further offshore than she was before and she doesn't look any worse on radar.

Drifting would be a better description. You would think she would have to start moving soon.

[fasterdisaster]

Looks like were geting real close to 3rd FL landfall in Daytona..Will there be a 4th?

http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/radar.ph ... B&loop=yes

Can't say we're that close. At around 4 AM the center of the eye was basically onshore so she's actually further away. Probably going to be another 6 hours at least.

[Cuber]

is that high pressure sinking down the east coast

Something is sinking for sure; Melbourne, Port St Lucie and other parts of the Treasure and Space Coasts

Enough Already Fay you're worse and Jeanne and Frances combined

[fasterdisaster]

She's not weakening you guys, she's moving east. She's definitely further offshore than she was before and she doesn't look any worse on radar.

Drifting would be a better description. You would think she would have to start moving soon.

True, really it's just been drifting in any old direction. She's basically been within 30 miles of where she is now for over 36 hours. Crazy.

[Emmett_Brown]

Center showing up really nice on Jax NEXRAD. Some activity moving onshore St Johns county soon:

http://www.wunderground.com/radar/radblast.asp?zoommode=zoom&num=6&delay=15&scale=1.000&noclutter=0&ID=JAX&type=N0R&lat=0&lon=0&label=you&showstorms=0&map.x=604&map.y=70&centerx=400&centery=240&lightning=0&smooth0&showlabels=1&rainsnow=0

[fasterdisaster]

Some parts offshore have even gotten 29 inches! It's not on land but it still rises sea levels!

[LSU2001]

is that high pressure sinking down the east coast

Something is sinking for sure; Melbourne, Port St Lucie and other parts of the Treasure and Space Coasts

Enough Already Fay you're worse and Jeanne and Frances combined

Yep that looks to be a high pressure ridge pushing down the east coast. If you look at this link you can see that Fay's NE edge is beginning to flatten out so the ridge should begin pushing her west or WSW fairly soon. I really don't want to see any type of WSW motion as this may put her over the Gulf for a longer period of time.
Link: http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/tatl/loop-wv.html

JMHO
Tim

Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.[/quote]

[cpdaman]

lates steering flow

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... 8dlm2.html

if she doesn't move in the next 6 hours then i give up

westward movement of some sort should begin

[LaunchGal]

Gosh, is that the same band over me I fell asleep last night under?

Got my coffee. Ready for Day 3.

[tolakram]

I think Fay is weakening but still not moving or possibly drifting north.

[Sanibel]

Innotech was right. Stationary. Must have been a wobble. The models are doing well on this but also pretty bad since this hasn't hooked NE-N-WNW like predicted.

We just had a heavy rain under Fay's southern bands that have been over us for 48 hours but have been mostly dry up to now. Brought 20mph winds down to the surface. Cool storm. Weird. Must be trapped under the High. Good overhead still on satellite.

My instinct would say stationary for this long would mean more of a release N out of the trap, but the NOAA computer on our cable TV radar channel said the High is over NY and moving S which would push Fay WNW as the models show.

Good thing we weren't on the east side of this stall or we would have had like 36 inches of rain.

[HurricaneHunter914]

If fay doesn't move soon, she's gonna be sitting over even coller waters right? Eventually she's gonna spin herself to death.

[Emmett_Brown]

Wow, all i can say, is if she stays over water like this, cant rule out some gradual strengthening. She is stronger than this time yesterday, so she has in fact intensified since then, and i see no reason she cant continue wrapping up until landfall.

[tolakram]

Weather Undergrounds radar history really shows how Fay got stuck then lurched NW just to get stuck again.

http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tr ... ml#a_topad

[cmdebbie]

Whoever decided to nickname us the "Sunshine State" anyway? I would like to have a little chat with him/her. Actually, I think Fay just needs to be reminded of this.

[vbhoutex]

I have to think with Fay weakening as she begins her journey across Florida that she becomes so shallow that instead of the WNW movement she either moves west or WSW in the flow possibly even becoming decoupled with her mid/UL core.

That would not be a surprise at all to me. I was wondering if anyone else was tinking about that. Unless she speeds up during her jpourney across the peninsula, if she ever moves again???? , what core she has is going to be severely disrupted again and I believe this becomes a possibility.

[TreasureIslandFLGal]

Well, it's obvious what Fay's favorite toy is......

HAHAHAHA!!!

I'm so glad that you posted that picture!! I was just telling Chrissy last night that while everyone else was at the grocery store or the Home Depot, Fay was doing her storm prep shopping at Toys 'R Us!!!

This being the only thing funny about this storm!

[Stormcenter]

lates steering flow

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... 8dlm2.html

if she doesn't move in the next 6 hours then i give up

westward movement of some sort should begin

She may just fizzle out over Florida.

[Emmett_Brown]

Yup, nice feeder band forming in SFL right now. Overall, this is a healthy looking TS.