WPAC: TY Nuri (0812/13W) E of Philippines

[Chacor]

[beaufort12]

was paying so much attention to Fay and 94L I let this one slip by me thinking it was initially forecast to take a path east of taiwan. hahaha should have known better based upon the forecast tracks of the storms in this area this season. anyhow Nuri now has my full attention and am anxious about the possibility of this approaching hong kong. something else to watch in addition to a rather active atlantic.

[Chacor]

You've got to be watching this.

WTPQ20 RJTD 200000
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 0812 NURI (0812)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 200000UTC 18.7N 121.8E GOOD
MOVE W 08KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
50KT 80NM
30KT 210NM NORTH 180NM SOUTH
FORECAST
24HF 210000UTC 19.9N 117.9E 70NM 70%
MOVE WNW 10KT
PRES 945HPA
MXWD 085KT
GUST 120KT
48HF 220000UTC 21.6N 115.9E 110NM 70%
MOVE NW 06KT
PRES 960HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
72HF 230000UTC 23.5N 114.3E 160NM 70%
MOVE NW 06KT
PRES 985HPA
MXWD 050KT
GUST 070KT =

[HURAKAN]

[Chacor]

WTPQ20 RJTD 200600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 0812 NURI (0812)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 200600UTC 18.9N 121.1E GOOD
MOVE W 06KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
50KT 80NM
30KT 210NM
FORECAST
24HF 210600UTC 20.5N 118.0E 70NM 70%
MOVE WNW 08KT
PRES 945HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
48HF 220600UTC 22.1N 116.1E 110NM 70%
MOVE NW 06KT
PRES 960HPA
MXWD 075KT
GUST 105KT
72HF 230600UTC 24.2N 114.0E 160NM 70%
MOVE NW 07KT
PRES 992HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT =

[Typhoon Hunter]

Watch out Hong Kong. JMA 00z forecast tracks Nuri right over Hong Kong tomorrow afternoon. Could well cause a lot of chaos for businesses and commuters on Friday (when T8 is hoisted most public transport goes into meltdown) as well as disrupt any Olympic events going on.

[Chacor]

The last day of equestrian events is today, although there might be an issue with getting the horses and teams out of Hong Kong.

[Typhoon Hunter]

The last day of equestrian events is today, although there might be an issue with getting the horses and teams out of Hong Kong.

They should be just about ok with today's events the. The TAF for Chek Lap Kok looks windy!

TAF VHHH 210400Z 210606 03010KT 8000 FEW020 SCT050 BKN080
TEMPO 0612 VRB20G30KT 2500 TSRA +SHRA FEW008 SCT012CB BKN040
BECMG 1012 36020G30KT
BECMG 1416 36025G40KT
TEMPO 1806 2500 +SHRA FEW008 SCT012CB BKN040
BECMG 0103 34035G45KT
TEMPO 0306 33040G55KT TX33/06Z TN25/22Z

[senorpepr]

Charts produced hourly at :30
Ensure you refresh for the latest imagery


Typhoon Nuri (0812/13W)

Surface Pressure and Plots

Displayed is surface pressure (lines of equal pressure are displayed as blue lines) and surface plots. Click here for weather symbols explanation.

Surface Streamlines and Plots

Displayed is surface wind (lines of equal wind direction are displayed as blue lines) and surface plots. Click here for weather symbols explanation.

Sea Surface Temperatures and Plots

Displayed is sea surface temperatures.

Zoomed Surface Plots (Hong Kong, Macau, W Taiwan, PR China provinces of Guangdong, S Fujian and E Hainan)

Displayed is surface plots, zoomed toward the storm. Click here for weather symbols explanation.

[beaufort12]

Having grown up in south Dade county and followed every hurricane season since 1963, I have seen my share of storms. I've never lived above ground level though, and certainly not on a 16th floor with lots of windows like I do now. Storms from a distance are great; not so great when they bring their effects to where you live. Anyhow, S2K is providing some valuable information on this storm just like you do on those in the west. Thanks to all that keep the info flowing.

[Typhoon Hunter]

Hey Beaufort. It's probably going to get damn windy in Shenzhen tomorrow, I look forward to hearing your reports.

TAFs for Hong Kong airport are looking more and more impressive:

TAF VHHH 211000Z 211212 03015KT 8000 FEW020 SCT050 BKN080
BECMG 1416 03025G40KT
TEMPO 1812 2500 +SHRA FEW008 SCT012CB BKN040
BECMG 0103 03035G50KT
BECMG 0406 03045G60KT
BECMG 0709 08055G65KT
TEMPO 0712 11065G75KT TX29/06Z TN25/22Z

[beaufort12]

well it might get damn windy tomorrow, but the pleasant night-time breeze that is normally present is absent. it is very hot, humid, and still. we will see what tomorrow brings.

[CrazyC83]

It's having a big impact on the Olympic equestrian events. They are in hurry-up mode right now.

[Chacor]

It's having a big impact on the Olympic equestrian events. They are in hurry-up mode right now.

Do you happen to have a link to a source perchance? Anyway, today is the last day of equestrian events.

[P.K.]

Down to a 60kt STS now.

WTPQ20 RJTD 212100
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 0812 NURI (0812)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 212100UTC 21.1N 115.4E FAIR
MOVE WNW 08KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
50KT 50NM
30KT 210NM SOUTH 180NM NORTH
FORECAST
24HF 222100UTC 22.8N 112.9E 70NM 70%
MOVE NW 07KT
PRES 990HPA
MXWD 045KT
GUST 065KT
45HF 231800UTC 24.2N 111.2E 110NM 70% TROPICAL DEPRESSION =

The HKO are likely to upgrade to a warning signal number 8 a bit later, with a number 3 warning currently being out.

PRE-NO.8 SPECIAL ANNOUNCEMENT

Pre - No. 8 Special Announcement

The Hong Kong Observatory announces that the Tropical
Cyclone Warning Signal Number 8 is expected to be issued at
or before 8:00 a.m. today (22 Aug 2008). Winds locally will
strengthen further.

Announcement by the Education Bureau (EDB): The EDB
announces that classes of all day schools are suspended
today.

DISPATCHED BY HONG KONG OBSERVATORY AT 05:51 HKT ON 22.08.2008


STRONG WIND SIGNAL NO. 3

Tropical Cyclone Bulletin

Here is the latest Tropical Cyclone Bulletin issued by the
Hong Kong Observatory.

The Strong Wind Signal, No. 3 is in force.

This means that winds with mean speeds of 41 to 62
kilometres per hour are expected.

At 7 a.m., Typhoon Nuri was estimated to be about 170
kilometres southeast of Hong Kong (near 21.4 degrees north
115.5 degrees east) and is forecast to move northwest or
west-northwest at about 14 kilometres per hour towards the
Pearl River Estuary.

According to the present forecast track, Nuri will be
rather close to Hong Kong this afternoon and tonight with a
chance of direct hit to Hong Kong. The Observatory will
issue the Gale or Storm Signal No. 8 before 8 a.m. this
morning.

In the past hour, the maximum sustained wind recorded at
Cheung Chau was 47 kilometres per hour. The maximum
sustained wind recorded at Chek Lap Kok and Sai Kung was 44
kilometres per hour.

(Precautionary Announcements with No. 3 Signal)

1. Since seas are rough and there are swells , you are
advised to stay away from the shoreline and not to engage
in water sports.

2. For safety reasons, it is suggested that all outdoor
activities be cancelled.

3. Engineers, architects and contractors are again reminded
that all scaffoldings, hoardings and temporary buildings
should be secured.

4. Small craft owners should now complete arrangements for
the safety of their boats.

5. Listen to your radio, watch your TV or browse the Hong
Kong Observatory's web site for information on the tropical
cyclone.

DISPATCHED BY HONG KONG OBSERVATORY AT 06:45 HKT ON 22.08.2008

[CrazyC83]

It's having a big impact on the Olympic equestrian events. They are in hurry-up mode right now.

Do you happen to have a link to a source perchance? Anyway, today is the last day of equestrian events.

Television coverage when I was watching it.

[beaufort12]

maybe i am putting too much stock in the satellite presentation but it appears to me that most of this will pass south of shenzhen. no rain yet today, two north gusts in the past hour about 65km/hr.

[Typhoon Hunter]

T8 has now been hoisted by HKO so day off for everyone. I've found a good page for live webcams in HK. You'll need Realplayer to be able to view them though.

http://traffic.td.gov.hk/SwitchCenter.do

[Typhoon Hunter]

Some good obs at Waglan island. Pressure down to 979hPa now.

http://www.weather.gov.hk/wxinfo/ts/display_graph_e.htm?wgl&menu=otherwxi&rwx&addbar

HKO saying they might up the signal to T9 soon.

[beaufort12]

had some squally weather in the past two hours with some wind-driven rain. peak gust 90km/hr. hong kong radar seems to be unavailable today.