ATL GUSTAV: Tropical Depression - Discussion

[canecaster]

anyone have a link for microwave satellite imagery
Thanks

[tolakram]

anyone have a link for microwave satellite imagery
Thanks

You can always find it here, but it's currently out of date.

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc_home.html

Then there's MIMIC, but again it's always behind current. Something happened to the end of this run

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... splay.html

[ColdFusion]

Really not that great looking at the moment. Elongated, not very circular, outflow not too impressive, but still packing some pretty good cloud tops.

[haml8]

Remember the SAL days earlier in August... man, I miss those days...

[KWT]

Landfall, should start making the turn later today/tonight.

Yeah given the eastern edge of the high is over the system now (probably whats causing the northern quadrant to be a little restricted) I think it can only be a matter of time before it takes the bend back westward.

ColdFusion, inner core still looking tight and becoming better defined as well upon landfall.

[Scorpion]

Really not that great looking at the moment. Elongated, not very circular, outflow not too impressive, but still packing some pretty good cloud tops.

Huh? It looks great right now.

[ericinmia]

I think I'm noticing an increase in forward speed as if it just got picked up by a ridge. Maybe.

frame count please?

I agree... Too funny the way you phrased it though!

[ColdFusion]

ColdFusion, inner core still looking tight and becoming better defined as well upon landfall.

Yes, core looks okay, just doesnt have that thriving storm signature, small size lends itself to that as well Im sure. Confident in time, as it gets more open water, it will improve.

[HouTXmetro]

I'm thinking an early right shift in the track due to the storms current movement. Ultimately the long term track may not change much. But with the hit or miss troug/front scenario this could be the difference between a N/NE Gulf strike or MX strike.

[ConvergenceZone]

ColdFusion, inner core still looking tight and becoming better defined as well upon landfall.

Yes, core looks okay, just doesnt have that thriving storm signature, small size lends itself to that as well Im sure. Confident in time, as it gets more open water, it will improve.

I agree. while it looks okay, not too shabby. It's far from looking "great" in appearance.....I think by sometimes tomorrow, it will start increasing in intensity again, a bit too close to land to have any increases in strength in the short-term..

[gatorcane]

I see no hints of a West turn yet at all, still NW or even NNW and moving into haiti now.

I wouldn't be surprised if we see the NHC slow down the short-term motion/track substantially at the 5pm advisory given the evidence x-y-no has presented.

http://metofis.rsmas.miami.edu/~dortt/s ... 1_loop.gif

[KWT]

Well the thing is coldfusions its very close to land now with the northern quadrant being over it for a while now, also that land just so happens to have some very high peaks on the NE side of the system, plus you've got the restriction on the northern quadrants outflow thanks to the high thats about to shunt this system to the west...

finally to be honest it does look real good I reckon, got to remember this is a cat-1, they aren't supposed to get that thriving look unless they are going to undergo RI...

[ColdFusion]

Really not that great looking at the moment. Elongated, not very circular, outflow not too impressive, but still packing some pretty good cloud tops.

Huh? It looks great right now.

Well it doesnt look horrible, but in my opinion this doesnt appear 'great'. Thats all, not knocking it, just observing.

[Frank2]

Using my handy-dandy azimuth overlay, Gustav now appears on a 305 or 310 heading - down from 325 earlier today...

Frank

[Stormcenter]

Really not that great looking at the moment. Elongated, not very circular, outflow not too impressive, but still packing some pretty good cloud tops.

Huh? It looks great right now.

Well it doesnt look horrible, but in my opinion this doesnt appear 'great'. Thats all, not knocking it, just observing.

Looks like a cold front.

[txag2005]

Already a lot of buzz in the office today about this thing coming nearby this weekend.

In reviewing the maps, there looks to be some signifigant turns/changes in direction for the forcast track to come actually occur. Any any when we can start seeing if the NHC track is being followed?

[KWT]

I see no hints of a West turn yet at all, still NW or even NNW and moving into haiti now.

I wouldn't be surprised if we see the NHC slow down the short-term motion/track substantially at the 5pm advisory given the evidence x-y-no has presented.

http://metofis.rsmas.miami.edu/~dortt/s ... 1_loop.gif

I see no reason to slow the system down based on what was a dodgy GFS run that lost then found then lost the system over and over again...

As for the motion however I also don't see any west turn either, looks to me still around 300, though I don't think its even close to NNW thats just the eye becoming better defined again IMO.

Finally...that looks ok for a category-1 hurricane, its nothing special I agree but equally its pretty typical of what cat-1's look like.

[Sanibel]

I see no hints of a West turn yet at all, still NW or even NNW and moving into haiti now.

My look at the visible loop sees a mostly west-trending eye that could still be offshore and is, for the most part, right down the NHC track.

I feel the High pressure that has been well recognized on this board and by the storm itself would preclude any move towards Florida.

[butch]

Still at 90mph

REPEATING THE 200 PM EDT POSITION...18.2 N...72.8 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...981 MB.

[Frank2]

Since an eye is more visible in the last two photos, it seems to be on a WNW-NW heading at this point, so, if it continued on that heading, it would pass over Cuba instead of to it's south, but, the NHC track has it turning to a more W-WNW heading with time - we'll see...

Have a good afternoon, folks...

Frank