ATL HANNA: Extratropical - Discussion

[fci]

Looks like it is developing to me too.

I agree with your view and Jeff Masters sees a Depression by Friday and a 70% or higher chance of a TS in 2-5 days (his latest blog)-

http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMa ... amp=200808

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.[/quote]

It *LOOKS* like a tropical storm right now.

Anyway, I expect it to be declared Tropical Storm Hanna by 5 PM tomorrow.
The ULL to the west is filling in and 95L has clearly strengthened and gotten
much better convection.

The latest EURO link posted above makes 95L a significant hurricane and slams
southeast Florida after 200 hours (around September 4-5).

The ridge pushing Gustav west should also push 95L- future Hanna IMO- west.

[KWT]

Yeah this looks like it could be a player. Some models do have this ejecting northwards and thats totally possible though its worth noting its currently seems to be heading WSW...

[SouthFLTropics]

Yeah this looks like it could be a player. Some models do have this ejecting northwards and thats totally possible though its worth noting its currently seems to be heading WSW...

Yes, and if that's the case then that tells me that this is most likely underneath the ridge that is steering Gustav. A very complicated setup coming in the week ahead to forecast both of these developing systems. Multiple X factors coming into play.

SFT

[tgenius]

Boy I hope the Euro doesn't play out, that would be seriously bad for SE FL. I got a quote for Accordion Shutters, $4100 and can be installed in 3 days.. I just don't want to go through the hassle of putting up panels.

[KWT]

This does look decent, the TUTT is still a player but I think its reasonable to say this could well be a future TS if not stronger.

[SouthFLTropics]

Boy I hope the Euro doesn't play out, that would be seriously bad for SE FL. I got a quote for Accordion Shutters, $4100 and can be installed in 3 days.. I just don't want to go through the hassle of putting up panels.

Off Topic:

The accordians are nice but definitely pricey. They told you they could install them in 3 days? Does that include manufacturing them as well? Three days seems awfully quick...I have the panels and I can have my house done in 45 minutes. But I have had some practice in recent years doing it as well. I got it down to a science.

SFT

[MHurricanes]

GFDL takes the storm north into never-never land, but if it continues to track west, this storm could be a major problem. The upper-air dynamics and steering currents make these things almost impossible to forecast with any convincing probability from any long distance.

- MHurricanes

[HURAKAN]

[SouthFLTropics]

Here we go!!!

[meteorologyman]

Well if all this folds true it will be difficult to evacuate everyone. youre talking about LA, MS, and some of Alabama, and one day later all of Florida how do you evacuate 1/4 of the U.S Gustav makes landfall on Monday/Tues and what may be Hanna could be hitting FL Tues/Wed IF ALL FOLDS TRUE

[meteorologyman]

Will Reconosance air craft check this out to, if so when??

[meteorologyman]

Looks like it is developing to me too.

I agree with your view and Jeff Masters sees a Depression by Friday and a 70% or higher chance of a TS in 2-5 days (his latest blog)-

http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMa ... amp=200808

Full of questions lol. they said 95L will be near Bermuda then may be forced westward in FL, doesn't he mean Bahammas. Bermuda is few hundred miles northeast of Florida. Bahammas is just east of Florida

[gatorcane]

Looks like it is developing to me too.

I agree with your view and Jeff Masters sees a Depression by Friday and a 70% or higher chance of a TS in 2-5 days (his latest blog)-

http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMa ... amp=200808

FCI don't forget I expected development out of this also. I flagged this system last Saturday

[HURAKAN]

[gatorcane]

another impressive shot:

[fci]

Looks like it is developing to me too.

I agree with your view and Jeff Masters sees a Depression by Friday and a 70% or higher chance of a TS in 2-5 days (his latest blog)-

http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMa ... amp=200808

FCI don't forget I expected development out of this also. I flagged this system last Saturday

Well, Gatorcane; when I lift a glass watching the Gators on Saturday; I will toast you as the great soothsayer!!!

Seriously, IF the scenario above would happen (which I still doubt); then Hanna would cross SE Florida and head where?
Follow Gustav?
Two strikes in the same general area only a few days apart??

Would there be any connection or dynamics between both storms since they would not be THAT far apart?
Fujiwara effect???

Seems all too mythical to me but makes for interesting discussion.....

[KWT]

Does look like a TD now, very likely going to be upgraded in the next 24hrs I would think, the only issue may be that ULL out to the west?

[RL3AO]

That was from 12 hours ago, but considering convection has continued to increase, its probably safe to assume its still there. A new pass will show us within an hour or so.

[bahamaswx]

ALL SYSTEMS GO!