Ex Invest 96L - Bay of Campeche

[gboudx]

I asked before, but how could this impact Gus, if at all? Could it leave behind a weakness or affect the atmosphere in some other way that moves Gus in a specific direction?

Or is it too early to know?

[Portastorm]

I asked before, but how could this impact Gus, if at all? Could it leave behind a weakness or affect the atmosphere in some other way that moves Gus in a specific direction?

Or is it too early to know?

Yes! I am wondering the same. Sheesh, as if the pro mets didn't have enough on their hands already ... this just complicates things even more!

[lrak]

Any idea which way this thing is heading? I got weekend plans down here in S TX and would really appreciate thoughts from anybody, pro met or not.

Thanks

[gboudx]

Any idea which way this thing is heading? I got weekend plans down here in S TX and would really appreciate thoughts from anybody, pro met or not.

Thanks

Would be nice to get a Floater on it, but using the GOES IR loop, I would hedge a guess on WNW.

[Weatherfreak000]

Doesn't have enough time...likely be inland regardless before Gustav even knows it was there.

[HURAKAN]

It's mostly over water at the moment.

[Portastorm]

Here is what NWSFO Brownsville said in their mid-morning forecast discussion:

DISCUSSION...SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE CONVECTION DEVELOPING
ALONG THE MEXICAN COAST NORTH OF TAMPICO THIS MORNING. RUC80 1000MB-500MB
WIND STREAMLINE ANALYSIS INDICATED AN ANTICYCLONE ACROSS THE
NORTHWEST GULF COAST. THIS SHOULD BRING ANY SHOWERS OR
THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING ACROSS NORTHEAST MEXICO TODAY NORTHWARD
INTO DEEP SOUTH TEXAS.

------------------------------
So I'm guessing whatever 96L is would move in the same direction?

[lrak]

I'm just worried it will move into Mexico and all the rain will move North and mess up the big Labor Day weekend. Oh does that sound selfish.

[lrak]

Here is what NWSFO Brownsville said in their mid-morning forecast discussion:

DISCUSSION...SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE CONVECTION DEVELOPING
ALONG THE MEXICAN COAST NORTH OF TAMPICO THIS MORNING. RUC80 1000MB-500MB
WIND STREAMLINE ANALYSIS INDICATED AN ANTICYCLONE ACROSS THE
NORTHWEST GULF COAST. THIS SHOULD BRING ANY SHOWERS OR
THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING ACROSS NORTHEAST MEXICO TODAY NORTHWARD
INTO DEEP SOUTH TEXAS.

------------------------------
So I'm guessing whatever 96L is would move in the same direction?

Son of a GUN!

No BBQ, but at least some surf.

Take care GOMERS.

[Sanibel]

The season is really turning on now!

Gustav could have another contender boxing him in if it moves N.

[HURAKAN]

Buoy 42055: http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=42055

This buoy has reported pressure as low as 1008.5 mb. It's north of 96L and winds have been from the east, no surprise here!

[Portastorm]

Geez, this one came out of nowhere ... as we all have been hung up (and rightfully so!) on Gustav and even Hanna and now this. Wow. All I can say is "wow."

[Just Joshing You]

So what are you sayin' HURAKAN?

[HURAKAN]

So what are you sayin' HURAKAN?

It may be developing and we have to wait! I mean, conditions appear favorable for development, you don't see the convection being sheared, and pressures are low in the area, and we're almost in September!

[tolakram]

I don't want to maintain 3 maps at once.

[RioGrande]

We don't need any more rain in the RGV, the western part of the Valley was just soaked with more than a foot of rain a week ago.

Sorry for not having any flashy avatars or images, this is my first post and I'm using my work computer. =)

[HURAKAN]

We don't need any more rain in the RGV, the western part of the Valley was just soaked with more than a foot of rain a week ago.

Sorry for not having any flashy avatars or images, this is my first post and I'm using my work computer. =)

Welcome to the Forum!

We have the same problem now in Florida as Hanna may become a menace. We don't need any more heavy rain. The lake is back to normal and any other additional rain will just become a flooding problem.

[KWT]

Pressure is rather low there, tricky to tell with these sorts of systems but we've quite a few little storms wind up rapidly down there before so if it can get a little further away from land its got a chance.

[Just Joshing You]

*cough* Humberto

[CrazyC83]

I do think it would be nice if Recon could go to all three systems at once, but they have to prioritize and this was sudden to develop. Maybe tomorrow?