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BigA wrote:Is there any idea when(if) the shear will let up over Hanna? The NHC seems to predict that the ULL will move southwestward, but any estimations on the time frame?
HurricaneBelle wrote:fci wrote:Dr. Lyons also told us that Jeanne would head to Bermuda. And what know what actually happened....
Predicting Bermuda for storms in Hanna's vicinity is the safest forecast you can make especially if you are not looking at models and are using climatology.
Not real wise to do all the time.
In fairness to Lyons, many of the global models at the time were also calling for Jeanne to scoot off to the NE, especially the GFS.
Of course Jeanne was the first thing I thought about when I saw the NHC discussion mention the GFS thinking Hanna would do likewise.
jlauderdal wrote:HurricaneBelle wrote:fci wrote:Dr. Lyons also told us that Jeanne would head to Bermuda. And what know what actually happened....
Predicting Bermuda for storms in Hanna's vicinity is the safest forecast you can make especially if you are not looking at models and are using climatology.
Not real wise to do all the time.
In fairness to Lyons, many of the global models at the time were also calling for Jeanne to scoot off to the NE, especially the GFS.
Of course Jeanne was the first thing I thought about when I saw the NHC discussion mention the GFS thinking Hanna would do likewise.
Maybe Lyons being the hurricane expert he is should explain the situation better, he is on twc so he has the extra 10 seconds to explain it..our local weather people in the morning have started laying out different tracks instead of just going with the nhc track and quite frankly they are doing a nice job with it, no scare tactics, just laying some different scenarios out educating the general public in greater depth than they used to and i think it helps with the complacency issue
KWT wrote:Bocadude85, looks Hanna will enter quite a complicated synoptic set-up, in some ways it reminds me of Betsy but early days to make any sort of comprasion like that yet!
)Tampa DMB Fan wrote:I have to say, I haven't watched TWC in a good 5 years.
jlauderdal wrote:Tampa DMB Fan wrote:I have to say, I haven't watched TWC in a good 5 years.
i glance at it once in awhile, the ratings are good and they were just sold off at a big price tag so they are doing something right, hardcore weather nuts like us arent really their audience so no surprise so few of us have anything real nice to say.
ok back on topic before i get a PM attack from management
Tampa DMB Fan wrote:I have to say, I haven't watched TWC in a good 5 years.
Brent wrote:Not very lady-like
HURAKAN wrote:jlauderdal wrote:Tampa DMB Fan wrote:I have to say, I haven't watched TWC in a good 5 years.
i glance at it once in awhile, the ratings are good and they were just sold off at a big price tag so they are doing something right, hardcore weather nuts like us arent really their audience so no surprise so few of us have anything real nice to say.
ok back on topic before i get a PM attack from management
The criticism is very similar to when we watch a movie and we liked it but movie critics say it was bad. In the case of TWC we criticize them because we know when they screw up and that gets us furious, but the general audience that knows very little about weather, they don't know what was right or wrong!
gatorcane wrote:conditions should improve for Hanna. This is just a short-term set back that she will see for the next couple of days
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