Well Defined Wave emerges Africa (Is invest 97L)

[cycloneye]

Wow,they put Code Orange right away.

ABNT20 KNHC 281158
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT THU AUG 28 2008

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM GUSTAV...LOCATED ABOUT 80 MILES EAST OF KINGSTON JAMAICA...AND
HAS INITIATED ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT...LOCATED
ABOUT 355 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS.

THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS SPARSE IN ASSOCIATION WITH A LARGE TROPICAL
WAVE LOCATED OVER THE EASTERN ATLANTIC ABOUT 775 MILES WEST OF THE
CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS
POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AT IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 10
TO 15 MPH.

A WELL-DEFINED TROPICAL WAVE IS LOCATED NEAR THE WEST COAST OF
AFRICA AND IS ABOUT TO EMERGE OVER THE EXTREME TROPICAL EASTERN
ATLANTIC. GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE DURING
THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT ABOUT 15 MPH.

AN AREA OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE SOUTHERN BAY OF CAMPECHE IS
ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE. SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT OF THIS
DISTURBANCE APPEARS UNLIKELY DUE TO PROXIMITY TO LAND.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER KNABB

[KWT]

Well theres a nice linear area of convection there it seems and the code orange is really surprising this quickly. Still this has got a real shot IMO down the line.

[Praxus]

2 storms and 3 areas of interest...wow!

[alienstorm]

96L up on NRL .. not sure it will be for this one? Maybe someone can check...

[bob rulz]

96L for the Bay of Campeche disturbance.

[cycloneye]

401
ABNT20 KNHC 281759
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT THU AUG 28 2008

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM GUSTAV...LOCATED NEAR THE EASTERN TIP OF JAMAICA...AND ON
TROPICAL STORM HANNA...LOCATED ABOUT 305 MILES NORTHEAST OF THE
NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS.

A CONCENTRATED AREA OF THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY...ASSOCIATED WITH A
TROPICAL WAVE...HAS PERSISTED TODAY OVER THE SOUTHERN BAY OF
CAMPECHE...ALTHOUGH THERE IS NO EVIDENCE YET OF A SURFACE
CIRCULATION OVER WATER. SOME DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS
POSSIBLE IF IT REMAINS OVER WATER DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO WHILE
MOVING VERY SLOWLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD. REGARDLESS OF
DEVELOPMENT...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ARE POSSIBLE IN PORTIONS OF
EAST-CENTRAL MEXICO TODAY AND FRIDAY.

THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY REMAINS SPARSE IN ASSOCIATION WITH A LARGE
TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED ABOUT MIDWAY BETWEEN THE WEST COAST OF AFRICA
AND THE LESSER ANTILLES. ANY DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM DURING THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR AS IT MOVES
WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH.

A WELL-DEFINED TROPICAL WAVE IS LOCATED NEAR THE WEST COAST OF
AFRICA AND IS ABOUT TO EMERGE OVER THE EXTREME EASTERN TROPICAL
ATLANTIC. GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE DURING
THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT ABOUT 15 MPH.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER KNABB

[cycloneye]

ABNT20 KNHC 282350
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 PM EDT THU AUG 28 2008

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM GUSTAV...LOCATED ABOUT 15 MILES WEST OF KINGSTON JAMAICA...
AND ON TROPICAL STORM HANNA...LOCATED ABOUT 260 MILES NORTHEAST OF
THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS.

A LARGE TROPICAL WAVE...ACCOMPANIED BY A BROAD LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM...IS PRODUCING LIMITED SHOWER ACTIVITY ABOUT MIDWAY BETWEEN
THE WEST COAST OF AFRICA AND THE LESSER ANTILLES. ANY DEVELOPMENT
OF THIS SYSTEM DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS IS EXPECTED TO BE
SLOW TO OCCUR AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH.

A WELL-DEFINED TROPICAL WAVE IS LOCATED ALONG THE WEST COAST OF
AFRICA. THIS SYSTEM IS SHOWING SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION...AND SOME
GRADUAL DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT
MOVES WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH.

SHOWER ACTIVITY OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE HAS DIMINISHED. DEVELOPMENT
OF THIS SYSTEM...IF ANY...SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR DURING THE NEXT 2
DAYS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART/BEVEN

[catastrophic]

Looks real nice right now

Got some good convection with it and shear isn't bad. Now just to wait and see

[LAwxrgal]

If this were to develop wouldn't it recurve?

I'm sorry, but if Gustav and Hanna weren't enough to make your head , think about having this out there would do...

[RL3AO]

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT FRI AUG 29 2008

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM GUSTAV...LOCATED ABOUT 60 MILES WEST OF KINGSTON JAMAICA...
AND ON TROPICAL STORM HANNA...LOCATED ABOUT 260 MILES NORTHEAST OF
THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS.

A LARGE TROPICAL WAVE...ACCOMPANIED BY A BROAD LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM...IS PRODUCING LIMITED SHOWER ACTIVITY ABOUT MIDWAY BETWEEN
THE WEST COAST OF AFRICA AND THE LESSER ANTILLES. ANY DEVELOPMENT
OF THIS SYSTEM DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS IS EXPECTED TO BE
SLOW TO OCCUR AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH.

A STRONG TROPICAL WAVE JUST OFFSHORE OF THE WEST COAST OF AFRICA IS
SHOWING SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION. SOME DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS
POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 10 TO
15 MPH.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/AVILA

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

This should be a invest later today at the rate of organizion. Looking good, but high lat come out anyways; should make this a fishy.

[KWT]

Nice deep convection now with this system, may well end up being an invest soon if the convection holds up.

[cycloneye]

ABNT20 KNHC 291152
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT FRI AUG 29 2008

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM GUSTAV...LOCATED ABOUT 100 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF KINGSTON
JAMAICA...AND ON TROPICAL STORM HANNA...LOCATED ABOUT 245 MILES
NORTH-NORTHEAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS.

A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED MIDWAY BETWEEN THE WEST COAST OF AFRICA
AND THE LESSER ANTILLES IS PRODUCING DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE ONLY MARGINALLY FAVORABLE...
AND ANY DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR AS IT
MOVES WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH.

A STRONG TROPICAL WAVE JUST OFFSHORE OF THE WEST COAST OF AFRICA
CONTINUES TO SHOW SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS
APPEAR CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT AND THIS SYSTEM COULD BECOME A
TROPICAL DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES
WESTWARD AT 10 TO 15 MPH. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BRING SHOWERS
AND SQUALLS TO THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BROWN

[cycloneye]

Its invest 97L.