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Nimbus wrote:GFS track just brushes the tip of Cuba then brings it in west of NOLA this run. No sign of any late forecast turn toward Texas just a slightly further left initialization.
Ed Mahmoud wrote:All of my fellow Texas people trying to get excited over this- probably not this one. We're still in the cone, so you can stay a little excited, but if this goes where most of the reliable guidance suggests, or perhaps even further East as it tracks more Northeast of the earlier forecast points as a trough digs all the way to the Yucatan, it'll still be a big event here. Houston will probably wind up housing tens of thousands, maybe hundreds of thousands, of storm evacuees.
Anyway, if Hanna actually gets all the way South to Cuba, the entire Gulf Coast will be doing this all over again next weekend.
This is potentially a very disruptive week to ten days coming up for everyone in the country, especially along the Gulf. And gasoline prices are almost certain to rise for everyone.
But the NoGaps and UK Met models have been lost since the beginning.
Stay tuned in case the completely unexpected happens, better safe than sorry, but this has all the makings of a SE LA to Fla. P'handle storm.
In my humble, amateur and unofficial opinion.
dwg71 wrote:Houston may not formerly be a host, but I assure you if it hits NOLA, houston will have evacuees.
N2Storms wrote:PTrackerLA wrote:The models just don't want to leave poor Lafayette alone. Anxiously awaiting the 12z GFDL and HWRF...
I have said all along and I continue to say, IMO the models have consistently pointed to a LF in Louisiana and I don't see anything that would change my opinion...if I lived anywhere on the La / Ms coastlne I'd be gassing up right now and be gone no later than tomorrow afternoon...
dwg71 wrote:12Z hwrf, shifts west to SE LA and then turns around and heads southwest. Not sure what to make of that. But still calling for LA landfall.
perk wrote:Ed Mahmoud wrote:All of my fellow Texas people trying to get excited over this- probably not this one. We're still in the cone, so you can stay a little excited, but if this goes where most of the reliable guidance suggests, or perhaps even further East as it tracks more Northeast of the earlier forecast points as a trough digs all the way to the Yucatan, it'll still be a big event here. Houston will probably wind up housing tens of thousands, maybe hundreds of thousands, of storm evacuees.
Anyway, if Hanna actually gets all the way South to Cuba, the entire Gulf Coast will be doing this all over again next weekend.
This is potentially a very disruptive week to ten days coming up for everyone in the country, especially along the Gulf. And gasoline prices are almost certain to rise for everyone.
But the NoGaps and UK Met models have been lost since the beginning.
Stay tuned in case the completely unexpected happens, better safe than sorry, but this has all the makings of a SE LA to Fla. P'handle storm.
In my humble, amateur and unofficial opinion.
ED had you bothered to look at your local news, you would know that Ed Emmet Harris county judge said that Houston would not be a host city for people evacuating, and i won't even bother to comment on the rest of your ridiculous post.
flip flip flip flop flip flop... i cant handle this anymore! lolStormcenter wrote:dwg71 wrote:12Z hwrf, shifts west to SE LA and then turns around and heads southwest. Not sure what to make of that. But still calling for LA landfall.
Models going west again.
Nederlander wrote::double: flip flip flip flop flip flop... i cant handle this anymore! lol
Sabanic wrote:Nothing has really changed. Still a cluster in SE/LA
We've got a tense few days ahead with Gus so everyone stay calm and be ready
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