ATL Tropical Depression GUSTAV - Model Runs

[Jason_B]

Despite an actual track further east of the modles...

This is just momentary, once Gustav encounters the ridge we should see a more NW track through the Gulf.

And I wish people here in Pensacola would actually look at the track, most of the gas pumps here are out of gas.

[DESTRUCTION5]

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... _018.shtml

18hr...Looks on target..

[DESTRUCTION5]

Well the 36Hr is interesting...Humm

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... _036.shtml

[Texashawk]

Well the 36Hr is interesting...Humm

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... _036.shtml

How so?

[Portastorm]

48 hr, 12z GFS ... central La coast near landfall:

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/gfs/12/images/gfs_850_048l.gif

[DESTRUCTION5]

48 hr, 12z GFS ... central La coast near landfall:

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/gfs/12/images/gfs_850_048l.gif

Maybe im being picky but looks like its closer to NO to me..

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... _048.shtml

[Portastorm]

48 hr, 12z GFS ... central La coast near landfall:

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/gfs/12/images/gfs_850_048l.gif

Maybe im being picky but looks like its closer to NO to me..

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... _048.shtml

No, you're right. Sorry about that.

[Steve]

>>Things are looking much better for New Orleans!

Track shifted "ever so slightly to the right."

Steve

[Portastorm]

12z GFS, 60 hr, shortly after landfall ... looks like landfall just west of NOLA and edging west

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/gfs/12/images/gfs_85v_060l.gif

[Texashawk]

48 hr, 12z GFS ... central La coast near landfall:

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/gfs/12/images/gfs_850_048l.gif

Seems awful fast to get there... it would need to speed up quite a bit to make that projection

[Pebbles]

48 hr, 12z GFS ... central La coast near landfall:

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/gfs/12/images/gfs_850_048l.gif

Maybe im being picky but looks like its closer to NO to me..

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... _048.shtml

No, your not being picky. It looks like it shifted to me too. *sighs*

[Ed Mahmoud]

>>Things are looking much better for New Orleans!

Track shifted "ever so slightly to the right."

Steve

Good luck Steve, I'm off to Austin for a day, away from S2K, I hope everything works out.

[DESTRUCTION5]

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... _060.shtml

60 Hr...If I lived in LA..Id be wrapping up my preps..

[Steve]

>>Good luck Steve, I'm off to Austin for a day, away from S2K, I hope everything works out.

Thanks Ed. Thinking we might be heading to Austin as well, but still not sure yet. Got everything packed, just need to load which I have most of the day to do. My dilemna is that if the City of New Orleans does +/- okay, but the Bayou does not, then I'm homeless. Again. Not too many homeless bankers around, but heh. If both the City and Bayou get destroyed, then it's off to Montgomery in a week or two and just playing around the country with my kids between now and then. Peace.

Steve

[Portastorm]

>>Good luck Steve, I'm off to Austin for a day, away from S2K, I hope everything works out.

Thanks Ed. Thinking we might be heading to Austin as well, but still not sure yet. Got everything packed, just need to load which I have most of the day to do. My dilemna is that if the City of New Orleans does +/- okay, but the Bayou does not, then I'm homeless. Again. Not too many homeless bankers around, but heh. If both the City and Bayou get destroyed, then it's off to Montgomery in a week or two and just playing around the country with my kids between now and then. Peace.

Steve

I'll ice down some extra Shiner Bock for you both! Come on over!!

[Portastorm]

72 hrs ... west-central Louisiana:

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/gfs/12/images/gfs_85v_072l.gif

[ROCK]

no bend in that track as the high slides off to the east quicker and the next trof picks him up...

[Steve]

Pretty good hit on the last forecast point by the TPC. Nice job.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-vis.html

[ROCK]

yeah it is...is that updated?...b/c all I hear is Gus is right of its points...

[Agua]

What has happened with the gulfstream flight.? I heard that all the information from last night could be used due to issues. Has anyone heard anything..?

CONFIRM OR DENY? ANYONE?