ATL INVEST 90L - Discussion

[LAwxrgal]

Boy we're surely making up for the last 2 inactive years in a hurry.

[Gustywind]

000
AXNT20 KNHC 011757
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 PM EDT MON SEP 01 2008

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...GULF OF MEXICO...CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN SECTIONS OF
SOUTH AMERICA...AND ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE AFRICAN COAST FROM THE
EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION IS BASED ON SATELLITE
IMAGERY...METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS...WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...AND
RADAR.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1715 UTC.


...TROPICAL WAVES...
THE TROPICAL WAVE THAT WAS ALONG 52W ON THE 0600 UTC SFC MAP
HAS SHEARED. THE NORTHERN PORTION IS PRODUCING A LARGE AREA OF
CLOUDINESS AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM 25N-31W BETWEEN 48W-52W.
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM...IF ANY...WILL BE SLOW TO OCCUR AS
IT MOVES TOWARD THE NORTHWEST AT 10 TO 15 MPH. THE SOUTHERN
PORTION OF THE WAVE IS MOVING WWD. ITS AXIS IS NOW ALONG 57W
SOUTH OF 20N. A 1008 MB LOW IS ALONG THE WAVE AXIS NEAR 17N.
THIS SYSTEM IS PRODUCING DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
ALTHOUGH SURFACE PRESSURES ARE LOW IN THE AREA...UPPER-LEVEL
WINDS ARE NOT FAVORABLE FOR SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT OF THIS
SYSTEM AS CONTINUES TO MOVES SLOWLY WESTWARD APPROACHING THE
LESSER ANTILLES. A SFC TROUGH IS ANALYZED BETWEEN THESE TWO
AREAS OF CONVECTION AND LIES ALONG 51W FROM 20N-28N. AN EARLIER
QSCAT PASS SHOWED CLEARLY THE WIND SHIFT ASSOCIATED WITH THIS
TROUGH.

[cycloneye]

01/1745 UTC 17.4N 57.3W T1.0/1.0 90L -- Atlantic Ocean

[Cyclenall]

Even if upper level winds are not that good, this is September so anything can happen (as seen countless times so far). It's fairly small too.

Is the Atlantic active yet? There are now almost 7 systems (Gustav, Hanna, TD9, ex-98L, 99L, and non-invest that isn't being watched anymore by the NHC, and 90L) that are being "watched" in the basin...one of the busiest I've ever tracked. The only places left for there to be something is the North-west Caribbean and BOC.

The first of September has came in like a roar of a lion and I want MOAR.

[tolakram]

Season Cancel



Wishful thinking anyway.

[bob rulz]

Yep, definitely time for those season cancel threads.

[bob rulz]

I just realized...

So far JUST ON SEPTEMBER 1, we've had 2 invests and a tropical depression form (could have another one later today), and we had a tropical storm strengthen into a hurricane.

Jesus Christ.

[rainydaze]

AND.. one hurricane making landfall in LA.

[bob rulz]

AND.. one hurricane making landfall in LA.

That too.

This system isn't looking that healthy at the moment. Convection is very weak.

[Gustywind]

AND.. one hurricane making landfall in LA.

That too.

This system isn't looking that healthy at the moment. Convection is very weak.

OH YEAH , Tkanks LORD for us in the ISLANDS !!

[Ptarmigan]

OK.

ENOUGH.

I CALL A MORATORIUM ON DEVELOPING TROPICAL SYSTEMS.

AND I WILL NOT ALLOW FOR ANY DISCUSSION OF THIS.

LET'S SEE:
GUSTAV, HANNA, TD 9 (IKE SOON), 99L 90L, 97L.

THIS MUST STOP NOW.

Yeah, that's a lot of storms to track.

[El Nino]

97L is not Ike ?

[HURAKAN]

97L is not Ike ?

Yes.

[RL3AO]

97L is not Ike ?

He is

[Fego]

What about 90L models run?.. Where is it heading?

[HURAKAN]

What about 90L models run?.. Where is it heading?

Nothing yet from the models run. We're still waiting for the first run.

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

When Hanna bombs not unlike what gustav did to hanna when it bombed, I expect this to get a lot of shear.

[Cryomaniac]

Well for those that miss the busy 2004/2005 track wise, I say 2008 has been doing quite well so far.

If 99L and this were to form within 24 hours, we'd be 1 behind '05.

[Gustywind]

Always no models runs on this? What does it mean?

[HURAKAN]

I guess they are not very excited with 90L!