ATL: IKE Discussion

[Just Joshing You]

What's the smallest Cat 5 in the ATL. Basin?

[RL3AO]

What's the smallest Cat 5 in the ATL. Basin?

Andrew maybe?

[MiamiensisWx]

The 1935 Labor Day hurricane was exceptionally compact...

Back to Ike...

[MetroMike]

Tampa Bay Hurricane wrote:
Paths: Cuba to Florida Keys to North Carolina) trackwise.
That ridge is STRONG, and I do not see a recurvature with this one.

If you do not see a recurve with Ike, why do you say perhaps N.Carolina a as target?

[Weatherfreak000]

Definitely looks like the smallest major ive seen in a good while.



The ACE this year is going to be phenomenal.

[jlauderdal]

thats ok, i know the website but thanks for your prediction

It wasn't a prediction buddy. I see the weather underground map that shows a cat 4 in the central bahamas Monday at 2 pm. I'm a little concerned. Aren't you?

check your PM

[Patrick99]

What's the smallest Cat 5 in the ATL. Basin?

Old Andy was about as small as I've ever seen. I think the 1935 Labor Day storm could have been even smaller and tighter than that, though. Who knows, we don't have satellite pics of that one.

[WmE]

The 1935 Labor Day hurricane was exceptionally compact...

Back to Ike...

Probably.

Andrew was the smallest caught on satellite I think.

[RL3AO]

About 3 hours old.

[southerngale]

Yeah, I'm surprised that there seems to be such a lax consensus on this board as to it missing Florida. Seems premature to make that forecast, to say the least. Yeah, I suppose it could recurve east of Florida - wouldn't be the first time - but it could also recurve right over Florida.

if it hits we know the three hour time period so at least that much is settled..

Come on now, that's enough. He was guessing the time based on how far out the map on Wunderground went.

[HeatherAKC]

Ike freaks me out. I put the guy who shutters my house on notice this afternoon. I'm first in his line, so to speak.

On another note, I have a coworker who went to the T and C's for Labor Day weekend. He was supposed to come back last Sunday. He can't get out until Friday. I just sent him a text to get the heck out on Friday at all costs!

EDIT: He just texed back..says (his words) too late, already screwed. Lady went into cardiac arrest. CPR administered. Weather is scary. All trees down. People went missing. (This was his text...maybe I should post in Hannah discussion)

[jlauderdal]

hey he has a 1 in 8 chance of being right

just like JB, alright thats all im saying about it, i sent my buddy a PM

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

Tampa Bay Hurricane wrote:
Paths: Cuba to Florida Keys to North Carolina) trackwise.
That ridge is STRONG, and I do not see a recurvature with this one.

If you do not see a recurve with Ike, why do you say perhaps N.Carolina a as target?

Because I do not know whether it will recurve east of Florida
or go further west...It is too difficult to narrow it down further 5 days
out...I meant it likely won't recurve out to sea.

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products

[Sihara]

SHOCKING. That is rapid intensification. I was floored when I saw
this hit Category 3 on TWC.
That will ENHANCE THE RIDGE to the north, more west path,
this is not good.

I totally agree - not good at all. In fact, not too many possible resolutions to this are good. But I don't understand about "enhancing the ridge." Pls excuse my ignorance, but would it have that effect - how does that work?

Looking at them on the map, it looks as if Ike could run right into Hanna, or her outflow. Maybe that's unlikely, given that Hanna has finally picked up speed. It was only drifting at about 2 when I left for work this am - come home and she's trekking at 14, and Ike's a 3, what a difference a day makes. Makes ya dizzy. Anyway, if there's still outflow from Hanna as Ike approaches, wouldn't that serve to shear Ike, at least a bit? Ok, maybe wishful thinking, hoping there's a possibility the US can avoid a strike by a 4 or 5.

[superfly]

What's the smallest Cat 5 in the ATL. Basin?

Andrew maybe?

Wilma by far, it had a 2 nmi eye.

[Sanibel]

That "fist" we saw before was real. I didn't want to call it and have it not be one. I should have.

[Patrick99]

What's the smallest Cat 5 in the ATL. Basin?

Andrew maybe?

Wilma by far, it had a 2 nmi eye.

I think they mean general area covered in terms of satellite presentation. In that regard, Wilma was a beast, not small at all!

I forgot about Charley......I think Charley was smaller than Andrew when it hit SW FL.

[Just Joshing You]

What's the smallest Cat 5 in the ATL. Basin?

Andrew maybe?

Wilma by far, it had a 2 nmi eye.

Err I wasn't asking about Eye size. Was talking about actual size?

[gatorcane]

Major Ike entering the NHC Western Atlantic image, proximity to SE CONUS including Florida and Bahamas is shown

[Scorpion]

Wow, finally an open Atlantic CV hurricane to track. Going west under the ridge. Hasn't happened in 4 years.