ACE 2008 numbers=ATL=144.505 / EPAC=81.6125

[KWT]

Well we are now very close to overhauling 2007's total ACE and we are still before the so called date peak of the 10th!

Should beat 2006's ACE as well this week...

Here's the ACE for each season and I've put a * in the ones we've already surpassed, I'll do this every few days just to give an idea of where we are in comprasion to other recent years

1995: 228
1996: 166
1997: 40 *
1998: 182
1999: 177
2000: 116
2001: 106
2002: 65 *
2003: 175
2004: 225
2005: 248
2006: 79
2007: 72
2008: 70 thus far

[RattleMan]

Here is the Excel spreadsheet that contains extended Gustav data, like the kind I used to release previously:

http://www.sonicfighters.com/rattleman/ ... _EXCEL.zip

...and the HTML document that I generate with that:

http://www.sonicfighters.com/rattleman/ ... z_HTML.zip

I also have Hanna, Ike, Josephine, and Karina on that sheet as well.

As of 02/1600z, here are the stats; Atlantic is 19.1775 ahead:

Code: Select all

   Atlantic      % of
   Seasonal ACE      Total
         
BT   Arthur   0.7725   1.10%
   Bertha   28.3675   40.32%
   Cristobal   3.06   4.35%
   Dolly   5.3125   7.55%
   Edouard   1.5275   2.17%
   Fay   6.715   9.54%
   Gustav   18.455   26.23%
   Hanna   5.165   7.34%
   Ike   0.8575   1.22%
   Josephine   0.1225   0.17%
   TOTAL   70.355   
         
         
   East Pacific      
   Seasonal ACE      
BT   Alma   0.83   1.62%
   Boris   7.025   13.73%
   Cristina   1.21   2.36%
   Douglas   0.49   0.96%
   Elida   11.7375   22.93%
   Fausto   10.125   19.78%
   Genevieve   5.76   11.25%
   Hernan   11.65   22.76%
   Iselle   1.295   2.53%
   Julio   1.055   2.06%
   Karina   0   0.00%
   TOTAL   51.1775   


[RattleMan]

Be sure to read my post above for an Excel spreadsheet and other documents.

02/2100z stats; Atlantic leads by 19.8625:

Code: Select all

   Atlantic      % of
   Seasonal ACE      Total
         
BT   Arthur   0.7725   1.09%
   Bertha   28.3675   39.86%
   Cristobal   3.06   4.30%
   Dolly   5.3125   7.47%
   Edouard   1.5275   2.15%
   Fay   6.715   9.44%
   Gustav   18.455   25.93%
   Hanna   5.4675   7.68%
   Ike   1.16   1.63%
   Josephine   0.325   0.46%
   TOTAL   71.1625   
         
         
   East Pacific      
   Seasonal ACE      
BT   Alma   0.83   1.62%
   Boris   7.025   13.69%
   Cristina   1.21   2.36%
   Douglas   0.49   0.96%
   Elida   11.7375   22.88%
   Fausto   10.125   19.74%
   Genevieve   5.76   11.23%
   Hernan   11.65   22.71%
   Iselle   1.295   2.52%
   Julio   1.055   2.06%
   Karina   0.1225   0.24%
   TOTAL   51.3   


Only 0.5375 to go until 2007's total ACE is passed.

[KWT]

Pretty much killing the EPAC now.

Looks like we will beat 2007 either in 6hrs or in 12hrs...

[RattleMan]

2008 passes 2007 total ACE by 0.275 at 03/0300z, and is 20.5475 ahead of the EPAC (which won't be getting any more ACE as Karina is now a TD):

Code: Select all

   Atlantic      % of
   Seasonal ACE      Total
         
BT   Arthur   0.7725   1.07%
   Bertha   28.3675   39.42%
   Cristobal   3.06   4.25%
   Dolly   5.3125   7.38%
   Edouard   1.5275   2.12%
   Fay   6.715   9.33%
   Gustav   18.455   25.64%
   Hanna   5.77   8.02%
   Ike   1.4625   2.03%
   Josephine   0.5275   0.73%
   TOTAL   71.97   
         
         
   East Pacific      
   Seasonal ACE      
BT   Alma   0.83   1.61%
   Boris   7.025   13.66%
   Cristina   1.21   2.35%
   Douglas   0.49   0.95%
   Elida   11.7375   22.83%
   Fausto   10.125   19.69%
   Genevieve   5.76   11.20%
   Hernan   11.65   22.66%
   Iselle   1.295   2.52%
   Julio   1.1775   2.29%
   Karina   0.1225   0.24%
   TOTAL   51.4225   


[KWT]

1995: 228
1996: 166
1997: 40 *
1998: 182
1999: 177
2000: 116
2001: 106
2002: 65 *
2003: 175
2004: 225
2005: 248
2006: 79
2007: 72 *
2008: 72

[cycloneye]

Updated ACE numbers forr the 2008 Atlantic season as of the 11 AM EDT advisories on Hanna,Ike and Josephine.

Code: Select all

Season total
Storm Type ACE (104 kt2)
01L (Arthur) Best track 0.7725
02L (Bertha) Operational 28.3675
03L (Cristobal) Operational 3.0600
04L (Dolly) Operational 5.3125
05L (Edouard) Operational 1.5275
06L (Fay) Operational 6.7150
07L (Gustav) Operational 18.4550
08L (Hanna) Operational 6.0200
09L (Ike) Operational 2.1250
10L (Josephine) Operational 1.0800
Total  73.685


[El Nino]

I think we'll easily have 100 at the death of the 3 storms ... Ike will be a big contributor to this.

[KWT]

Yep looking very likely we will indeed be above 100 by that time, exactly how high we get depends on how long Ike tracks I suspect...

[cycloneye]

Updated ACE numbers as of the 5 PM EDT advisories of Hanna,Ike and Josephine.

Code: Select all

Season total
Storm Type ACE (104 kt2)
01L (Arthur) Best track 0.7725
02L (Bertha) Operational 28.3675
03L (Cristobal) Operational 3.0600
04L (Dolly) Operational 5.3125
05L (Edouard) Operational 1.5275
06L (Fay) Operational 6.7150
07L (Gustav) Operational 18.4550
08L (Hanna) Operational 6.5200
09L (Ike) Operational 2.6150
10L (Josephine) Operational 1.3300
Total  74.675


[RattleMan]

03/2100z stats, Atlantic is 23.2525 ahead of the EPAC:

Code: Select all

   Atlantic      % of
   Seasonal ACE      Total
         
BT   Arthur   0.7725   1.03%
   Bertha   28.3675   37.99%
   Cristobal   3.06   4.10%
   Dolly   5.3125   7.11%
   Edouard   1.5275   2.05%
   Fay   6.715   8.99%
   Gustav   18.455   24.71%
   Hanna   6.52   8.73%
   Ike   2.615   3.50%
   Josephine   1.33   1.78%
   TOTAL   74.675   
         
         
   East Pacific      
   Seasonal ACE      
BT   Alma   0.83   1.61%
   Boris   7.025   13.66%
   Cristina   1.21   2.35%
   Douglas   0.49   0.95%
   Elida   11.7375   22.83%
   Fausto   10.125   19.69%
   Genevieve   5.76   11.20%
   Hernan   11.65   22.66%
   Iselle   1.295   2.52%
   Julio   1.1775   2.29%
   Karina   0.1225   0.24%
   TOTAL   51.4225   


[El Nino]

Now that Ike is 100kts+, ACE will take at least 1 point at each advisory.

[RattleMan]

04/0300z stats, Atlantic is 25.08 ahead of EPAC:

Code: Select all

   Atlantic      % of
   Seasonal ACE      Total
         
BT   Arthur   0.7725   1.01%
   Bertha   28.3675   37.08%
   Cristobal   3.06   4.00%
   Dolly   5.3125   6.94%
   Edouard   1.5275   2.00%
   Fay   6.715   8.78%
   Gustav   18.455   24.12%
   Hanna   6.8225   8.92%
   Ike   3.9375   5.15%
   Josephine   1.5325   2.00%
   TOTAL   76.5025   
         
         
   East Pacific      
   Seasonal ACE      
BT   Alma   0.83   1.61%
   Boris   7.025   13.66%
   Cristina   1.21   2.35%
   Douglas   0.49   0.95%
   Elida   11.7375   22.83%
   Fausto   10.125   19.69%
   Genevieve   5.76   11.20%
   Hernan   11.65   22.66%
   Iselle   1.295   2.52%
   Julio   1.1775   2.29%
   Karina   0.1225   0.24%
   TOTAL   51.4225   


[Ptarmigan]

The Atlantic season has surpassed the ACE of 2006 and 2007. I would not be surprised the ACE hits 150 or greater. 1997 had an early start and had the fourth storm, Hurricane Danny, in July. It quieted down due to a strong El Nino.

[senorpepr]

76.5025 is about 87% of a full, normal season. At this time, 2008 ranks 72nd overall for most ACE. Projecting climatologically, but weighed upon activity thus far, we should end up around 162, or 185% of normal. That would rank 2008 as 20th most active.

NTC based on normal activity through today is about 193%.

[KWT]

senorpepr, that would certainly be very impressive, though 7 out of 13 previous seasons have had higher ACE in the end

I personally got a feeling we may be in for an ACE that is close, if not into the top 10 of all time, not easy to know if we will yet because much depends if we can get another CV storm but currently we are really increasing the ACE in a very rapid way, no reason why Ike can't get 30-40 units overall.

[cycloneye]

Updated ACE numbers as of the 5 AM Advisories of Hanna,Ike and Jodephine.

Code: Select all

Season total
Storm Type ACE (104 kt2)
01L (Arthur) Best track 0.7725
02L (Bertha) Operational 28.3675
03L (Cristobal) Operational 3.0600
04L (Dolly) Operational 5.3125
05L (Edouard) Operational 1.5275
06L (Fay) Operational 6.7150
07L (Gustav) Operational 18.4550
08L (Hanna) Operational 7.1825
09L (Ike) Operational 5.5000
10L (Josephine) Operational 1.7825
Total  78.675


[HURAKAN]

Ike will certainly crank up the ACE for the season.

[cycloneye]

Updated ACE numbers as of the 11 AM EDT Advisories of Hanna,Ike and Josephine.

Code: Select all

Season total
Storm Type ACE (104 kt2)
01L (Arthur) Best track 0.7725
02L (Bertha) Operational 28.3675
03L (Cristobal) Operational 3.0600
04L (Dolly) Operational 5.3125
05L (Edouard) Operational 1.5275
06L (Fay) Operational 6.7150
07L (Gustav) Operational 18.4550
08L (Hanna) Operational 7.4850
09L (Ike) Operational 6.9400
10L (Josephine) Operational 1.9850
Total  80.62


[KWT]

Wow Ike is shooting up in terms of ACE, going to take Hanna next advisory I'd guess...

1995: 228
1996: 166
1997: 40 *
1998: 182
1999: 177
2000: 116
2001: 106
2002: 65 *
2003: 175
2004: 225
2005: 248
2006: 79 *
2007: 72 *
2008: 80 so far!