ATL: IKE Discussion
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- cycloneye
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Re: ATL IKE: Category 3 - Discussion
The latest pic at 12:15 PM EDT. Maybe an ERC going on now?

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Re: ATL IKE: Category 3 - Discussion
tpr1967 wrote:I'm surprised not more people from sw and west central coast not posting on here.
Considering the storm will effect them to, i know i'm from bradenton.
You have one HERE ---- I have made a couple of post, but am always afraid
I will ask something stupid, or not necessary - so lurk a lot. But I am on most of
the time. I am extremely concerned, extremely confused and spend most of the
time now wondering when/what to do - just staying as much up to date as I can
AND PRAYING A LOT
Gin
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- AdvAutoBob
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Re: ATL IKE: Category 3 - Discussion
tpr1967 wrote:I'm surprised not more people from sw and west central coast not posting on here.
Considering the storm will effect them to, i know i'm from bradenton.
I'm still watching Ike as I have been since he formed... if I think I have something important to add, then I'll post it, otherwise it's just "ground noise and static"

And what IS it with "I" storms?
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Re:
GeneratorPower wrote:WDBO radio in Orlando just ran a report from an Accuweather guy saying Ike would possibly follow a Hanna track and recurve, posing no threat to Florida.
EDIT: Just to note, I think that's ridiculous.
Yep thats totally crazy given pretty much no models show that anymore...I think that gives such a terrible message out.

Cycloneye, no I just think the inner core has opened and finally surcome to the shear to a degree, I suspect with that now happening we have a cat-2...once the shear eases off this probably shouldn't have too much trouble strengthening again but we shall have to wait and see...
Still would be expecting a cat-3 through the T&C sadly.
Last edited by KWT on Fri Sep 05, 2008 11:40 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL IKE: Category 3 - Discussion
tpr1967 wrote:I'm surprised not more people from sw and west central coast not posting on here.
Considering the storm will effect them to, i know i'm from bradenton.
I'm on paying attention and praying it goes away. Just reading and deciding what to do.
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Re: ATL IKE: Category 3 - Discussion
tpr1967 wrote:I'm surprised not more people from sw and west central coast not posting on here.
Considering the storm will effect them to, i know i'm from bradenton.
Checking in from Naples..

With the current info available, what are y'all's thoughts for the greater Naples/Ft. Myers area??? Not liking what I see so far, that's for sure...but obviously it's still early.
Thanks,
Linda
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Re: ATL IKE: Category 3 - Discussion
sweetpea wrote:tpr1967 wrote:I'm surprised not more people from sw and west central coast not posting on here.
Considering the storm will effect them to, i know i'm from bradenton.
I'm on spying attention and praying it goes away. Just reading and deciding what to do.
DITTO
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Re: ATL IKE: Category 3 - Discussion
One thing to keep in mind with Ike's future track is that Hanna is ahead of the system. Effectively, Hanna will be enhancing trough action and ridge weakening along the US East Coast (and nearby Atlantic waters) for the weekend period. This will be precisely when Ike starts to move into the SW Atlantic. If Ike ends up due south of Hanna/Hanna's remnant, then the combined forcing from Ike and Hanna may limit the ridge's restrengthening, especially in the lower levels.
Since I'm not forecasting Ike (or Hanna), I won't project what such a pattern may allow, however I would not get too excited over each new model cycle. There continues to be considerable spread in the guidance and the overall pattern remains complex. Watch what unfolds over the weekend with Hanna, the subtropical ridge, and troughing farther west and that may well prove to be a better predictor of Ike's future than any of the models.
- Jay
Since I'm not forecasting Ike (or Hanna), I won't project what such a pattern may allow, however I would not get too excited over each new model cycle. There continues to be considerable spread in the guidance and the overall pattern remains complex. Watch what unfolds over the weekend with Hanna, the subtropical ridge, and troughing farther west and that may well prove to be a better predictor of Ike's future than any of the models.
- Jay
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- cape_escape
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Re: ATL IKE: Category 3 - Discussion
tpr1967 wrote:I'm surprised not more people from sw and west central coast not posting on here.
Considering the storm will effect them to, i know i'm from bradenton.
I'm here( Cape COral) ! been glued to it since day one! Also I've seen some Ft. Myers and Naples folks, and of course Sanibel is here!
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Re: ATL IKE: Category 3 - Discussion
I'm in the Venice area and I figure I'll wait till Sunday and see what it's doing. I"m not too concerned because this area doesn't hardly ever get direct hits, they go S. or N. When Fay was coming I don't think hardly anyone in this area did any boarding up or anything like that. It's definitely too early to worry, just keep watching.
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Re: ATL IKE: Category 3 - Discussion
If you SW Florida people are all watching you should know the GFS model just put a Donna II right over us on its last run. This could be good because 5-day-out predictions most often don't materialize. Donna put 18 feet of surge across Ft Myers beach.
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Re: ATL IKE: Category 3 - Discussion
Sanibel wrote:If you SW Florida people are all watching you should know the GFS model just put a Donna II right over us on its last run. This could be good because 5-day-out predictions most often don't materialize. Donna put 18 feet of surge across Ft Myers beach.
WOW!!

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Re: ATL IKE: Category 3 - Discussion
I've been thinking about a donna type track since a day or 2 ago but i generally keep my thoughts on that stuff to myself.
Sanibel wrote:If you SW Florida people are all watching you should know the GFS model just put a Donna II right over us on its last run. This could be good because 5-day-out predictions most often don't materialize. Donna put 18 feet of surge across Ft Myers beach.
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Re: ATL IKE: Category 3 - Discussion
Myersgirl wrote:sweetpea wrote:tpr1967 wrote:I'm surprised not more people from sw and west central coast not posting on here.
Considering the storm will effect them to, i know i'm from bradenton.
I'm on spying attention and praying it goes away. Just reading and deciding what to do.
DITTO
I am from tampa bay area 2 counties to the north but my mets arent concerned yet and i am not yet either its a wait and see here
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Re: ATL IKE: Category 3 - Discussion
Of course i didn't live here in 1960. Heck i wasn't even born then. 

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- cape_escape
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Re: ATL IKE: Category 3 - Discussion
Sanibel wrote:If you SW Florida people are all watching you should know the GFS model just put a Donna II right over us on its last run. This could be good because 5-day-out predictions most often don't materialize. Donna put 18 feet of surge across Ft Myers beach.
Sanibel, I've heard a lot about the effects of Donna on Ft. Myers and Naples, but not about Cape Coral. If Ike should take a close path, what is your view of What would happen here in the Cape? I live right off of Burnt Store and Pine Island.
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- Tropical Wave
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Re: ATL IKE: Category 3 - Discussion
hopefully hannah wont be as bad when hits here on sunday. Its gonna be rough for me i was visiting when hurricane juan hit ruined most of downtain Halifax and point pleasent park was totalled. Im back in Halifax now and not supprised with all these storms. I knew it was gonna come inventually. This year alone the weather was really off. the winter in ontario was cold we move down to Halifax and had to take our jackets and sweaters off n can wear tshirts. the spring barely had rain then the summer was a bit chilly less hot and most of the time fall like weather since mid july. I dont feel it will affect me that much since i dont live on the coast but i do know we will get alot rain wind and power outtages. But this is pretty much our fist here this season so hopefully anyone else that lives here will be prepaired.
and sorry for posting in the wrong thread lol just realized this thread was on ike lol
and sorry for posting in the wrong thread lol just realized this thread was on ike lol
Last edited by silvercutie on Fri Sep 05, 2008 12:01 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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The center seems to be transitioning itself back to the middle of the storm:
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t4/loop-rb.html
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t4/loop-rb.html
Last edited by Nexus on Fri Sep 05, 2008 11:59 am, edited 1 time in total.
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