ATL: IKE Discussion

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cycloneye
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Re: ATL IKE: Category 3 - Discussion

#2341 Postby cycloneye » Fri Sep 05, 2008 11:37 am

The latest pic at 12:15 PM EDT. Maybe an ERC going on now?

Image
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Re: ATL IKE: Category 3 - Discussion

#2342 Postby BOPPA » Fri Sep 05, 2008 11:37 am

tpr1967 wrote:I'm surprised not more people from sw and west central coast not posting on here.
Considering the storm will effect them to, i know i'm from bradenton.


You have one HERE ---- I have made a couple of post, but am always afraid
I will ask something stupid, or not necessary - so lurk a lot. But I am on most of
the time. I am extremely concerned, extremely confused and spend most of the
time now wondering when/what to do - just staying as much up to date as I can
AND PRAYING A LOT

Gin
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Re: ATL IKE: Category 3 - Discussion

#2343 Postby AdvAutoBob » Fri Sep 05, 2008 11:37 am

tpr1967 wrote:I'm surprised not more people from sw and west central coast not posting on here.
Considering the storm will effect them to, i know i'm from bradenton.

I'm still watching Ike as I have been since he formed... if I think I have something important to add, then I'll post it, otherwise it's just "ground noise and static" :lol:

And what IS it with "I" storms?
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#2344 Postby KWT » Fri Sep 05, 2008 11:38 am

GeneratorPower wrote:WDBO radio in Orlando just ran a report from an Accuweather guy saying Ike would possibly follow a Hanna track and recurve, posing no threat to Florida.

EDIT: Just to note, I think that's ridiculous.


Yep thats totally crazy given pretty much no models show that anymore...I think that gives such a terrible message out. :x

Cycloneye, no I just think the inner core has opened and finally surcome to the shear to a degree, I suspect with that now happening we have a cat-2...once the shear eases off this probably shouldn't have too much trouble strengthening again but we shall have to wait and see...

Still would be expecting a cat-3 through the T&C sadly.
Last edited by KWT on Fri Sep 05, 2008 11:40 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL IKE: Category 3 - Discussion

#2345 Postby sweetpea » Fri Sep 05, 2008 11:39 am

tpr1967 wrote:I'm surprised not more people from sw and west central coast not posting on here.
Considering the storm will effect them to, i know i'm from bradenton.


I'm on paying attention and praying it goes away. Just reading and deciding what to do.
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Re: ATL IKE: Category 3 - Discussion

#2346 Postby LSue » Fri Sep 05, 2008 11:40 am

tpr1967 wrote:I'm surprised not more people from sw and west central coast not posting on here.
Considering the storm will effect them to, i know i'm from bradenton.


Checking in from Naples.. :double:

With the current info available, what are y'all's thoughts for the greater Naples/Ft. Myers area??? Not liking what I see so far, that's for sure...but obviously it's still early.

Thanks,
Linda
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Re: ATL IKE: Category 3 - Discussion

#2347 Postby Myersgirl » Fri Sep 05, 2008 11:42 am

sweetpea wrote:
tpr1967 wrote:I'm surprised not more people from sw and west central coast not posting on here.
Considering the storm will effect them to, i know i'm from bradenton.


I'm on spying attention and praying it goes away. Just reading and deciding what to do.


DITTO
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#2348 Postby Full8s » Fri Sep 05, 2008 11:44 am

Thanks, karenfromheaven-

I'm fairly new to storm tracking and am still learning all of the available resources.

Mods- I know this isn't a chatroom, sorry.
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Re: ATL IKE: Category 3 - Discussion

#2349 Postby NEXRAD » Fri Sep 05, 2008 11:45 am

One thing to keep in mind with Ike's future track is that Hanna is ahead of the system. Effectively, Hanna will be enhancing trough action and ridge weakening along the US East Coast (and nearby Atlantic waters) for the weekend period. This will be precisely when Ike starts to move into the SW Atlantic. If Ike ends up due south of Hanna/Hanna's remnant, then the combined forcing from Ike and Hanna may limit the ridge's restrengthening, especially in the lower levels.

Since I'm not forecasting Ike (or Hanna), I won't project what such a pattern may allow, however I would not get too excited over each new model cycle. There continues to be considerable spread in the guidance and the overall pattern remains complex. Watch what unfolds over the weekend with Hanna, the subtropical ridge, and troughing farther west and that may well prove to be a better predictor of Ike's future than any of the models.

- Jay
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Re: ATL IKE: Category 3 - Discussion

#2350 Postby cape_escape » Fri Sep 05, 2008 11:46 am

tpr1967 wrote:I'm surprised not more people from sw and west central coast not posting on here.
Considering the storm will effect them to, i know i'm from bradenton.


I'm here( Cape COral) ! been glued to it since day one! Also I've seen some Ft. Myers and Naples folks, and of course Sanibel is here!
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#2351 Postby Wx_Warrior » Fri Sep 05, 2008 11:46 am

I like Masters, but he missed the boat with Gusie (IMHO). Is he climbing mountains in Alaska?
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Re: ATL IKE: Category 3 - Discussion

#2352 Postby jenshops » Fri Sep 05, 2008 11:48 am

I'm in the Venice area and I figure I'll wait till Sunday and see what it's doing. I"m not too concerned because this area doesn't hardly ever get direct hits, they go S. or N. When Fay was coming I don't think hardly anyone in this area did any boarding up or anything like that. It's definitely too early to worry, just keep watching.
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Re: ATL IKE: Category 3 - Discussion

#2353 Postby Sanibel » Fri Sep 05, 2008 11:49 am

If you SW Florida people are all watching you should know the GFS model just put a Donna II right over us on its last run. This could be good because 5-day-out predictions most often don't materialize. Donna put 18 feet of surge across Ft Myers beach.
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Re: ATL IKE: Category 3 - Discussion

#2354 Postby sweetpea » Fri Sep 05, 2008 11:52 am

Sanibel wrote:If you SW Florida people are all watching you should know the GFS model just put a Donna II right over us on its last run. This could be good because 5-day-out predictions most often don't materialize. Donna put 18 feet of surge across Ft Myers beach.


WOW!! :double: Here is really praying that doesn't happen. I am only about 8 minutes from the beach. Think I might make a run to the store, better be safe than sorry.
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Re: ATL IKE: Category 3 - Discussion

#2355 Postby tpr1967 » Fri Sep 05, 2008 11:52 am

I've been thinking about a donna type track since a day or 2 ago but i generally keep my thoughts on that stuff to myself.
Sanibel wrote:If you SW Florida people are all watching you should know the GFS model just put a Donna II right over us on its last run. This could be good because 5-day-out predictions most often don't materialize. Donna put 18 feet of surge across Ft Myers beach.
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Re: ATL IKE: Category 3 - Discussion

#2356 Postby robbielyn » Fri Sep 05, 2008 11:53 am

Myersgirl wrote:
sweetpea wrote:
tpr1967 wrote:I'm surprised not more people from sw and west central coast not posting on here.
Considering the storm will effect them to, i know i'm from bradenton.


I'm on spying attention and praying it goes away. Just reading and deciding what to do.


DITTO


I am from tampa bay area 2 counties to the north but my mets arent concerned yet and i am not yet either its a wait and see here
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Re: ATL IKE: Category 3 - Discussion

#2357 Postby tpr1967 » Fri Sep 05, 2008 11:53 am

Of course i didn't live here in 1960. Heck i wasn't even born then. :lol:
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Re: ATL IKE: Category 3 - Discussion

#2358 Postby cape_escape » Fri Sep 05, 2008 11:55 am

Sanibel wrote:If you SW Florida people are all watching you should know the GFS model just put a Donna II right over us on its last run. This could be good because 5-day-out predictions most often don't materialize. Donna put 18 feet of surge across Ft Myers beach.


Sanibel, I've heard a lot about the effects of Donna on Ft. Myers and Naples, but not about Cape Coral. If Ike should take a close path, what is your view of What would happen here in the Cape? I live right off of Burnt Store and Pine Island.
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Re: ATL IKE: Category 3 - Discussion

#2359 Postby silvercutie » Fri Sep 05, 2008 11:56 am

hopefully hannah wont be as bad when hits here on sunday. Its gonna be rough for me i was visiting when hurricane juan hit ruined most of downtain Halifax and point pleasent park was totalled. Im back in Halifax now and not supprised with all these storms. I knew it was gonna come inventually. This year alone the weather was really off. the winter in ontario was cold we move down to Halifax and had to take our jackets and sweaters off n can wear tshirts. the spring barely had rain then the summer was a bit chilly less hot and most of the time fall like weather since mid july. I dont feel it will affect me that much since i dont live on the coast but i do know we will get alot rain wind and power outtages. But this is pretty much our fist here this season so hopefully anyone else that lives here will be prepaired.

and sorry for posting in the wrong thread lol just realized this thread was on ike lol
Last edited by silvercutie on Fri Sep 05, 2008 12:01 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#2360 Postby Nexus » Fri Sep 05, 2008 11:59 am

The center seems to be transitioning itself back to the middle of the storm:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t4/loop-rb.html
Last edited by Nexus on Fri Sep 05, 2008 11:59 am, edited 1 time in total.
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