ATL: IKE Discussion

[tracyswfla]

TWC just made a statement that Ike is making a track similiar to Andrew! WHAT!

[KWT]

Yep I'm seeing about 260-265 currently when eyeballing the sat.imagery, the eye is still a little irregular but better then it was before!

[cycloneye]

TWC just made a statement that Ike is making a track similiar to Andrew! WHAT!

I dont think Steve Lyons would make that comment.It had to be one of the OCM mets roght?

[tracyswfla]

TWC just made a statement that Ike is making a track similiar to Andrew! WHAT!

I dont think Steve Lyons would make that comment.It had to be one of the OCM mets right?

Right it was the met that is on now. Not Steve Lyons. Thanks Luis!

[Nimbus]

TWC just made a statement that Ike is making a track similiar to Andrew! WHAT!

Ike is a lot further south in Latitude than Andrew was in latitude.

Perhaps they are talking vaguely about a big storm moving somewhat toward the west?

Andrew tracked towards LA after exiting Florida.

[tracyswfla]

TWC just made a statement that Ike is making a track similiar to Andrew! WHAT!

Ike is a lot further south in Latitude than Andrew was in latitude.

Perhaps they are talking vaguely about a big storm moving somewhat toward the west?

Andrew tracked towards LA after exiting Florida.

Whatever the reasoning, if Dade County was watching that's enough to put some in a panic!

[TreasureIslandFLGal]

I'm suprised they are still toting the line about it being a 2. Isn't it a 3 now based on Recon? -or maybe all those math posts just confused me.

[dhweather]

I'd just ask everyone to ignore the media, unless they are specifically citing the NHC - we've heard "Andrew's path", "Florida panhandle" and so on.

When "judgement day" comes, the only ones held responsible is the NHC.

[ROCK]

I'd just ask everyone to ignore the media, unless they are specifically citing the NHC - we've heard "Andrew's path", "Florida panhandle" and so on.

When "judgement day" comes, the only ones held responsible is the NHC.

man that was a good post.....your so right....DH

[tracyswfla]

I'd just ask everyone to ignore the media, unless they are specifically citing the NHC - we've heard "Andrew's path", "Florida panhandle" and so on.

When "judgement day" comes, the only ones held responsible is the NHC.

DH I agree. I was just stating my suprise over that very bold statement.

[TreasureIslandFLGal]

We just matured into a CAT 5. (sorry to be a little off subject, but that's quite a milestone! Since we don't post that often...lurk more than post... after many years we finally got here. (unlike some folks that seemed to have gone straight to Cat 5 in one season! haha

[HURAKAN]

Almost due west in the last few hours.

[jlauderdal]

I'd just ask everyone to ignore the media, unless they are specifically citing the NHC - we've heard "Andrew's path", "Florida panhandle" and so on.

When "judgement day" comes, the only ones held responsible is the NHC.

channel 10 miami is the only media i would pay attention too and only because max mayfield works there, the other stations were horrible with fay

i could easily start my own thread with all the untrue information distributed by local media, its rather pathetic

[cpdaman]

the "mysterious" player "ULL" the achillees heal of models appears to be influencing IKE even more in the next 12 hours

before everyone criticizes the best mets at the Nhc (downgrading ike) perhaps they realize the ull is going to be a rather large thorn in the side of ike for a while

from recon VDM

EYE OPEN W-SW
TURBULENT NW QUAD DRY AIR INTRUSION

looks like dry air making push southwest faster than ike is moving

two WV shows this clearly

http://adds.aviationweather.gov/satelli ... g&itype=wv

http://www.nwhhc.com/satellite.html

my question is will this slow ike down as well.......allowing the weakness to lift out of get further east?

[cape_escape]

Normally a deeper curve into Cuba would suggest a sharper hook to follow. But not this year with Gus's NW-WNW track. But this could all be meaningless if the pattern has changed since.

GFS latching onto recurve that GFDL could already be ahead of it on.

I know the set-up is completely different, however I can't help but too remember Charleys right hook after Cuba....Not to mention all the talk about Donna over the past few days. I'm staying on my toes just in case!

[TreasureIslandFLGal]

the "mysterious" player the achillees heal of models appears to be influencing IKE even more in the next 12 hours

before everyone criticizes the best mets at the Nhc perhaps they realize the ull is going to be a rather large thorn in the side of ike for a while

from recon VDM

EYE OPEN W-SW
TURBULENT NW QUAD DRY AIR INTRUSION

looks like dry air making push southwest faster than ike is moving

two WV shows this clearly

http://adds.aviationweather.gov/satelli ... g&itype=wv

http://www.nwhhc.com/satellite.html

my question is will this slow ike down as well

Past experience has shown when a strip of dry air gets initially pulled into the rotation and makes it to the center, there is a wobble that occurs as the storm's eye seems to "avoid" it and head more to the north momentarily as if the eye gets scared when the dry air is at the south of the eye and just about to make its way towards the center.

The once it gets real close to center, it wobbles more southerly.

IF this intrusion pans out, I'm sur ethe wobble watchers are going to be freaking out!

[Sabanic]

I'd just ask everyone to ignore the media, unless they are specifically citing the NHC - we've heard "Andrew's path", "Florida panhandle" and so on.

When "judgement day" comes, the only ones held responsible is the NHC.

channel 10 miami is the only media i would pay attention too and only because max mayfield works there, the other stations were horrible with fay

i could easily start my own thread with all the untrue information distributed by local media, its rather pathetic

And we have DBW here in Mobile. As good as it gets.

[cape_escape]

TWC just made a statement that Ike is making a track similiar to Andrew! WHAT!

Hi Tracy! Did you move from Fort Myers?

[tracyswfla]

TWC just made a statement that Ike is making a track similiar to Andrew! WHAT!

Hi Tracy! Did you move from Fort Myers?

Yup! Rochester, NY. I miss Florida! PM me so we don't mess with the thead

[Blown Away]

Has Ike slowed down a bit because he should have been past the first NHC point already??