ATL: IKE Discussion

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fasterdisaster
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#5021 Postby fasterdisaster » Sun Sep 07, 2008 10:13 pm

I think even if he was only a Cat 1 at US landfall Ike is still likely to be retired this year.
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#5022 Postby x-y-no » Sun Sep 07, 2008 10:14 pm

There doesn't seem to be much prospect of Ike deviating north of the forecast path - the ridge over Florida is still very strong. 0Z soundings at Miami and Tampa have a 500mb height of 591 decameters - down 2 decameters since 12Z, but still quite strong.
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Re: ATL IKE: Category 3 - Discussion

#5023 Postby AZRainman » Sun Sep 07, 2008 10:18 pm

Reminds me of Andrew with the a concentric eyewall replacement starting just before landfall.


Image
Last edited by AZRainman on Sun Sep 07, 2008 10:20 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL IKE: Category 3 - Discussion

#5024 Postby physicx07 » Sun Sep 07, 2008 10:23 pm

jeffscout wrote:
MetSul Weather Center wrote:Storm surge in Barbacoa, Cuba.

Image

More pictures at http://www.metsul.com/blog


Amazing. The storm surge is not only impressive, but it managed to bring in daylight with it...the storm hit Cuba after nightfall :roll: :roll: :roll:


I can't read much spanish, but I did notice 'oeste de Cuba'...west cuba in the text. I think this must have been Gustav. However, Baracoa is well east of where it made landfall so it could have been day, and it would have been close enough to Ike to potentially have a landfall like that. Can anyone translate the article?
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#5025 Postby Sean in New Orleans » Sun Sep 07, 2008 10:24 pm

Banes is getting it pretty good this evening! We may be reading about this tomorrow with that big flare-up as the storm comes ashore.

Image
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Re: ATL IKE: Category 3 - Discussion

#5026 Postby fasterdisaster » Sun Sep 07, 2008 10:24 pm

physicx07 wrote:
jeffscout wrote:
MetSul Weather Center wrote:Storm surge in Barbacoa, Cuba.

Image

More pictures at http://www.metsul.com/blog


Amazing. The storm surge is not only impressive, but it managed to bring in daylight with it...the storm hit Cuba after nightfall :roll: :roll: :roll:


I can't read much spanish, but I did notice 'oeste de Cuba'...west cuba in the text. I think this must have been Gustav. However, Baracoa is well east of where it made landfall so it could have been day, and it would have been close enough to Ike to potentially have a landfall like that. Can anyone translate the article?


Why would there be a loop of Hurricane Ike in an article on Gustav. :wink:
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Re: ATL IKE: Category 3 - Discussion

#5027 Postby canetracker » Sun Sep 07, 2008 10:25 pm

terrapintransit wrote:
canetracker wrote:Image

My radar looks completely different from the one Hurrakan posted last page. Perhaps its at a different angle?



Looks like IKE is riding the coast on that one.


Well it does look like Ike made landfall, but he appears to not like land.
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#5028 Postby fasterdisaster » Sun Sep 07, 2008 10:25 pm

Looks like he wobbled offshore again.
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Re: ATL IKE: Category 3 - Discussion

#5029 Postby VeniceInlet » Sun Sep 07, 2008 10:27 pm

I can't read much spanish, but I did notice 'oeste de Cuba'...west cuba in the text. I think this must have been Gustav. However, Baracoa is well east of where it made landfall so it could have been day, and it would have been close enough to Ike to potentially have a landfall like that. Can anyone translate the article?


I believe it's in portuguese. For translation, Babelfish might work in a pinch.

http://babelfish.yahoo.com/

OK, so here it is with the typical errors found in these autotranslations:
Cuba under imminent risk of being arrasada It has one week the west of Cuba, particularly the occidental territories of Pinal del Río and woollen Isla Juventud, was arrasado by the Gutav hurricane. The island as a whole now is in the imminence of an event that can extremely have devastadoras consequências with the ticket of the dangerous Ike hurricane that will cross Cuba of west the east. In question of eight days, the Cuban if confrot with two hurricanes that arrive at the country with category 4 in the Saffir-Simpson scale, almost the maximum in the scale that goes up to 5. To the afternoon, in this sunday, little before adentrar the Cuban territory, Ike were a small hurricane in diameter, but with a incrivelmente symmetrical eye, indicating a violent tropical cyclone. Critical moments live since the end of the afternoon the inhabitants of the extreme east of Cuba, over all of the region of Baracoa. Enormous waves of five the seven meters had started to punish the coast and the sea advanced as much that the waters had taken streets and avenues next to the edge in the city. Initial stories of the Civil Defense give account of that already houses exist and building affected for the waves of the sea that had knocked down the protection of the existing wall to the side of the beach. The photos that are being divulged for the press of the government of Cuba are most impressive than already vi until today of storm appear (rise of the tide) in hurricane.
Last edited by VeniceInlet on Sun Sep 07, 2008 10:30 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL IKE: Category 3 - Discussion

#5030 Postby MetSul Weather Center » Sun Sep 07, 2008 10:29 pm

physicx07 wrote:
jeffscout wrote:I can't read much spanish, but I did notice 'oeste de Cuba'...west cuba in the text. I think this must have been Gustav. However, Baracoa is well east of where it made landfall so it could have been day, and it would have been close enough to Ike to potentially have a landfall like that. Can anyone translate the article?


Hi Physic07. In fact, it is in Portuguese. I wrote the text and you are right. I wrote oeste (west) instead of leste (east). Gustav made landfall in Western Cuba (Pinar del Rio and Isla de La Juventud) 8 days ago and now we have Ike in the East. I thank you for your observation and I already corrected it. As someone wrote some messages ago, "i need to sleep". These have been long days of work due to a rare late winter snowfall that affected us in Southern Brazil.
Last edited by MetSul Weather Center on Sun Sep 07, 2008 10:30 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#5031 Postby Sonica » Sun Sep 07, 2008 10:30 pm

HURAKAN wrote:I think if Ike remains 36 hours over land it will likely be a TS or TD when it enter the GOM.

And you see landfall? I think it will hug coast for 3-5 hours. Hope not around here. People can't take it. My shop's name is Deja Vu and now I pray for it to not be.

E
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Re: ATL IKE: Category 3 - Discussion

#5032 Postby clfenwi » Sun Sep 07, 2008 10:30 pm

physicx07 wrote:
jeffscout wrote:
MetSul Weather Center wrote:Storm surge in Barbacoa, Cuba.

Image

More pictures at http://www.metsul.com/blog


Amazing. The storm surge is not only impressive, but it managed to bring in daylight with it...the storm hit Cuba after nightfall :roll: :roll: :roll:


I can't read much spanish, but I did notice 'oeste de Cuba'...west cuba in the text. I think this must have been Gustav. However, Baracoa is well east of where it made landfall so it could have been day, and it would have been close enough to Ike to potentially have a landfall like that. Can anyone translate the article?


I won't translate the article in its entirety, but the article credited to the photos to the Cuban government.

After a bit of hunting, I found the source for the photos. The source is the Cuban News Agency and the headline is "Ike causes coastal flooding in Baracoa"

ADDITION:

And I just noticed that the Cuban News Agency in turn credits Solvision, a Guantanamo based television station for the pictures.
Last edited by clfenwi on Sun Sep 07, 2008 10:35 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL IKE: Category 3 - Discussion

#5033 Postby jeffscout » Sun Sep 07, 2008 10:31 pm

MetSul Weather Center wrote:
physicx07 wrote:
jeffscout wrote:I can't read much spanish, but I did notice 'oeste de Cuba'...west cuba in the text. I think this must have been Gustav. However, Baracoa is well east of where it made landfall so it could have been day, and it would have been close enough to Ike to potentially have a landfall like that. Can anyone translate the article?


Hi Physic07. In fact, it is in Portuguese. I wrote the text and you are right. I wrote oeste (west) instead of leste (east). Gustav made landfall in Western Cuba (Pinar del Rio and Isla de La Juventud) 8 days ago and now we have Ike in the East. I thank you for your observation and I already corrected it. As someone wrote some messages ago, "i need to sleep". These have been long days of work due to a rare late winter snowfall that affected us in Southern Brazil.


So the photo is not of Ike?
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Re: ATL IKE: Category 3 - Discussion

#5034 Postby terrapintransit » Sun Sep 07, 2008 10:31 pm

canetracker wrote:
terrapintransit wrote:
canetracker wrote:Image

My radar looks completely different from the one Hurrakan posted last page. Perhaps its at a different angle?



Looks like IKE is riding the coast on that one.


Well it does look like Ike made landfall, but he appears to not like land.


Just wonder if this was the trend the NHC was picking up on when determining the long range intensity forecast.
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Re: ATL IKE: Category 3 - Discussion

#5035 Postby Max_Power » Sun Sep 07, 2008 10:32 pm

jeffscout wrote:
MetSul Weather Center wrote:Storm surge in Barbacoa, Cuba.

Image

More pictures at http://www.metsul.com/blog


Amazing. The storm surge is not only impressive, but it managed to bring in daylight with it...the storm hit Cuba after nightfall :roll: :roll: :roll:



The swell from a storm will reach land long before the storm itself.
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Re: ATL IKE: Category 3 - Discussion

#5036 Postby MetSul Weather Center » Sun Sep 07, 2008 10:32 pm

clfenwi wrote:After a bit of hunting, I found the source for the photos. The source is the Cuban News Agency and the headline is "Ike causes coastal flooding in Baracoa"


And the Cuban news agency is the same for Cuban government. The country has no free press and all the medias outlets are government controlled and operated : Granma, Trabajadores, Radio Reloj, etc.
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Re: ATL IKE: Category 3 - Discussion

#5037 Postby AZRainman » Sun Sep 07, 2008 10:35 pm

Hurricane Ike makes Cuban landfall
State-run television showed waves slapping into the seawall and surging as high as nearby five-story apartment buildings before flooding the streets of the city of Baracoa near the eastern tip of the communist-ruled island.

http://www.france24.com/en/20080908-hurricane-ike-makes-cuban-landfall-haiti
Last edited by AZRainman on Sun Sep 07, 2008 10:37 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#5038 Postby Just Joshing You » Sun Sep 07, 2008 10:36 pm

Is it just me or did Ike hit land and just.. bounce off it?
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Re:

#5039 Postby fasterdisaster » Sun Sep 07, 2008 10:38 pm

Just Joshing You wrote:Is it just me or did Ike hit land and just.. bounce off it?


He made landfall on a small peninsula, I was trying to tell people if he went west he would go back into water but people thought I was crazy apparently.
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#5040 Postby canetracker » Sun Sep 07, 2008 10:39 pm

Just Joshing You wrote:Is it just me or did Ike hit land and just.. bounce off it?

Well the radar doesn't lie. This is bad for Cuba.
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