Tropical Depression #6 environment still remains favorable for continued development, however, with 3 limiting factors in the short term ... that are 1) Somewhat limited moisture 2) rapid movement to the W 3) poorly defined LLC ...
Notice the general spread of the projected tracks of #6 in the future ... ranging from west to an almost NW movement at the end of the period noted by the EGRR ... IMO, the northerly turn if there even is one, will be greatly delayed because of 1) small size of the system and the trough may have hardly any effect on it 2) delayed development ... the longer the delay in development of #6 means the longer that westerly course will continue. Also not to mention, the very fast westerly motion right now ...
3) I hate to use the words "climatologically speaking once again" with 2003, but July favors a more westerly track and if #6 hasn't established itself before entering the Eastern Caribbean ... development may further be delayed in the TZOD ("Tropical Zone of Death") ... even further down the road, #6's rapid motion may actually cause it to outrace its own favorable environment ... just food for thought ...
Now on the flip side, with Tropical Depression #6's small size, and if it really begins to gel or get its act together beforehand ... #6 could really develop rapidly (a snowballing effect) considering the fact that its under a low shear environment and progressively warmer waters (SST's warm enough and only get warmer ahead) ... again, the relative small size may not be enough for the trough later in the period to influence it as strongly as progged by some of the models ...
