ATL: IKE Discussion

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

Recon is still Northwest of the storm, and not at operational level, per latest HDOB #6

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/URNT15-USAF.shtml?


Not sure how anyone knows pressure is falling since last plane left...

not saying its falling since last recon..just providing data from last recon.

lets hope its not still falling, ..otherwise its bombing.

If you looked at a IR satelite you could never in a million years tell that this is more then a 70 knot 985 millibar hurricane. No eye, No defined CDO, Two eye wall more or less. Hard to believe.

[Aristotle]

Recon is still Northwest of the storm, and not at operational level, per latest HDOB #6

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/URNT15-USAF.shtml?


Not sure how anyone knows pressure is falling since last plane left...

not saying its falling since last recon..just providing data from last recon.

lets hope its not still falling, ..otherwise its bombing.

If you looked at a IR satelite you could never in a million years tell that this is more then a 70 knot 985 millibar hurricane. No eye, No defined CDO, Two eye wall more or less. Hard to believe.

Is there anyway for someone to give me a graphic showing both eye walls. I would love to see what your talking about.

Thanks

[tolakram]

Here is the track from the NRL site, notice the curve.

[Stormcenter]

Recon is still Northwest of the storm, and not at operational level, per latest HDOB #6

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/URNT15-USAF.shtml?


Not sure how anyone knows pressure is falling since last plane left...

not saying its falling since last recon..just providing data from last recon.

lets hope its not still falling, ..otherwise its bombing.

If you looked at a IR satelite you could never in a million years tell that this is more then a 70 knot 985 millibar hurricane. No eye, No defined CDO, Two eye wall more or less. Hard to believe.

You know I kind of agree with you on that but it is getting better organized per the
final sat. loop before the eclipse.

[Senobia]

I'm almost 400 miles from the coast

Which makes the rest of your post moot.

Safe...sound...and not well versed in the mechanics of a storm's aftermath.

[D3m3NT3DVoRT3X]

Can someone post the current stearing current map for Ike

[artist]

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic2/real ... oom=&time=
steering current map

[Duddy]

Here is the track from the NRL site, notice the curve.

That's only slightly North of the previous track. Why did the NHC bring it all the way near Galveston?

[Shoshana]

Yesterday at this time, what was left of the eye was supposed to pass right over Austin, TX (where I live). Way this is going I am not sure we'll see much of anything, is that about correct? I know very, very little about tracking hurricanes/patterns/influences other than what I read on here.

Ike is a very large storm so I'm sure you'll see some effects. The way it looks to me right now you'll probably be on the west side of Ike and a good distance from the eye/the remaining eye. I'd expect some gusty winds and heavy downpours. Maybe similar to what Lake Charles got during Gustav.


This is just my opinion, and not an official forecast.

Still supposed to get rain Saturday and some brisk winds. Ike is really big.

[Sean in New Orleans]

They've been reporting 30 to 35 mph winds for New Orleans tomorrow with higher gusts on the local news. I'd love to have that with no rain, but, I doubt that will happen. Grand Isle and Terrebonne Parish are reporting coastal flooding this evening.

[D3m3NT3DVoRT3X]

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic2/real-time/dlmmain.php?&basin=atlantic&sat=wg8&prod=dlm4&zoom=&time=
steering current map

Thanks looks like that weakness is still there....

[HurricaneRobert]

What are these posts about being violated about?

Is Ike still over the warm eddy? If it continues its direction it may miss the other one, at least. Small comfort, I know. Who wants this cane? I'm not interested in disaster stuff, so I will gladly take a "boring" East Pacific fish storm over this.

[Texashawk]

It will be important to see how the ridge will be to see if this system will be a threat to the Western Hemisphere or it will go to the open Atlantic without bothering any land areas.

This was the very second post in this thread - even 10 days ago, it seems prophetic....

[Aristotle]

I'm almost 400 miles from the coast

Which makes the rest of your post moot.

Safe...sound...and not well versed in the mechanics of a storm's aftermath.

Hmm went through the Loma Prieta earthquake in San Francisco brother. Also was first force in Sierra Leone to carry diplomats out of the Ivory coast (Navy). City was lined with about 100k bodies. Oh and desert storm.....

you got any other opinions without questions brother?

[TTheriot1975]

looks like the high over texas is not as strong as it was before either...

[Hurricanewatcher2007]

I am not a moderator however theres something I must say! When some one posts something like BruteForce just did they are just trying to get attention and cause trouble. By some people reacting the way they did to it your letting them win since thats the kind of response they were looking for. For now on when that kind of thing happens which I am sure will happen again at some point we ALL need to just report it and ignore it. Just carry on the discussion and not give the troll the satisfaction of all the responses to what had just been posted. I hope that makes sense and if it does people will follow it!

[PTrackerLA]

Thank god that vanished after refreshing, good job mods!

Interesting post aristotle, but I think alot of it is a natural adrenaline rush as well. It's not that people necessarily want them to come but you can't blame some on here for getting very excited once you become the prime landfall spot less than 3 days away. Hell the day before Gustav hit I was a million-miles a minute, just the rush to protect what you own and the fear of what is coming. The anxiety had built up so much fearing what major hurricane winds would do here I was in a frenzied state as well as alot of other people I know who don't even follow the weather nearly as much as I do. Basically don't mistake some poster's apparent "excitement" for the storm as wish-casting, and I think most that have been through hurricanes can relate to these feelings.

[CronkPSU]

this is the only sat pic i can find right now...and even that is from a half hour ago

there has to be some sat photos even during the eclipse right? what about the navy site?

[smw1981]

I'm almost 400 miles from the coast

Which makes the rest of your post moot.

Safe...sound...and not well versed in the mechanics of a storm's aftermath.

I disagree Senobia..and not in an obnoxious way lol. Most behaviorists/behavior analysts would also say that is human nature and it really does make sense. Also, IMO, some negative people enjoy negative events because it gives them yet another reason to have self pity, be mad at the world, etc. (Misery loves company..) I'm not saying anyone on this board is -removed- for the storm to come their way...just saying that aristotle's post really does make sense IMO.

[artist]

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic2/real-time/dlmmain.php?&basin=atlantic&sat=wg8&prod=dlm4&zoom=&time=
steering current map

Thanks looks like that weakness is still there....

I believe it was 2 highs there with the weakness between them but over the last couple of hours the high to his west has definately begun to retreat some. I hope I got all my terms correct!