ATL: IKE Discussion
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- lrak
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Re: ATL IKE: Category 2 - Discussion
The hurricane service said NW movement will commence this afternoon, wasn't that suppose to happen last night?
I guess I'm nervous this looks like its goinging in a little futher south than expected, my opinion is only from watching satellite this morning. The WHOLE thing is still moving in my general direction and hasn't turned, why? I mean its still below 27 latitude this morning.
thanks
I guess I'm nervous this looks like its goinging in a little futher south than expected, my opinion is only from watching satellite this morning. The WHOLE thing is still moving in my general direction and hasn't turned, why? I mean its still below 27 latitude this morning.
thanks
Last edited by lrak on Fri Sep 12, 2008 7:43 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL IKE: Category 2 - Discussion
Be prepared for rough weather but I would be shocked to see the NHC's landfall point and track to be that far off what's going to happen at this short time before the landfall.
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- HarlequinBoy
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- lrak
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Re: ATL IKE: Category 2 - Discussion
apocalypt-flyer wrote:Be prepared for rough weather but I would be shocked to see the NHC's landfall point and track to be that far off what's going to happen at this short time before the landfall.
I trust them, it just looks like a Rita for me, CC Tx watch that monster stop and do a right turn 200 miles just east of us. I suppose thats whats going to happen, just need to wait.
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Re: ATL IKE: Category 2 - Discussion
lrak wrote:The hurricane service said NW movement will commence this afternoon, wasn't that suppose to happen last night?
I guess I'm nervous this looks like its goinging in a little futher south than expected, my opinion is only from watching satellite this morning. The WHOLE thing is still moving in my general direction and hasn't turned, why? I mean its still below 27 latitude this morning.
thanks
I had noticed a few hours ago that Ike was almost exactly SE of Galveston. So the storm would need to average a 315 track to hit where the current track shows. But GFDL from 00Z is showing overall average motion of 290-300 for the next 30 hrs, so....
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Re: ATL IKE: Category 2 - Discussion
We may just see that convection wrap a little more aroun that pocket of dryness and Ike could have himself a huge eye ala wilma...BUT I doubt it will happen....
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t4/loop-ft.html
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t4/loop-ft.html
Last edited by PTPatrick on Fri Sep 12, 2008 7:50 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL IKE: Category 2 - Discussion
Looks to me like the storm is supposed to enter Galveston from the SSE if not closer to due south so for some of that time it is going to be coming in at greater than 315. I suspect it will turn. Its just a matter of when. Still floored at the winds we got earlier ...physicx07 wrote:I had noticed a few hours ago that Ike was almost exactly SE of Galveston. So the storm would need to average a 315 track to hit where the current track shows. But GFDL from 00Z is showing overall average motion of 290-300 for the next 30 hrs, so....
Last edited by weunice on Fri Sep 12, 2008 7:50 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL IKE: Category 2 - Discussion
PTPatrick wrote:We may just see that convection wrap a little more aroun that pocket of dryness and Ike could have himself a huge eye ala wilma
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t4/loop-ft.html
this is the closest I have seen it to wrapping up an eye in quite some time

and the loop (doesn't want to post as a loop so I will give the link)
http://adds.aviationweather.gov/satellite/displaySat.php?region=GULF&isingle=mult_big&itype=ir
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- therock1811
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Re: IKE / Obs / Preparations / Web Cams / Texas / SW Louisiana
dizzyfish wrote:I heard on the TV this morning that they have told residents in Houston to shelter in place and not evacuate. Can this be correct???
Areas within zones further from Galveston Bay are being told NOT to evacuate.
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Baton Rouge experienced a feeder band about an hour ago that knocked out power to areas that just had power recently turned back on from Gustav. Lots of low-lying places already flooding and limbs are beginning to fall. We won't get that much from Ike, however, it is just making things a little miserable. I am praying for those in SE TX and SW LA that they make it through the storm ok! RW
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Re: ATL IKE: Category 2 - Discussion
Does it not appear that outflow is still not too bad to the northwest despite the lack of convection?
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Re: ATL IKE: Category 2 - Discussion
lrak wrote:The hurricane service said NW movement will commence this afternoon, wasn't that suppose to happen last night?
I guess I'm nervous this looks like its goinging in a little futher south than expected, my opinion is only from watching satellite this morning. The WHOLE thing is still moving in my general direction and hasn't turned, why? I mean its still below 27 latitude this morning.
thanks
I've been watching its track pretty carefully for most of the day, Irak.
Looking at the latest visual in the loop at http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t3/loop-vis.html I reckon it is actually closer to forecast track than I have seen it all day (or rather, all night, your time).
Cheers
Rod
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Re: ATL IKE: Category 2 - Discussion
HA I didn't even know there was a third floater. I kept looking on ONE and TWO and wondering why they were not on Ike. Are there more than three? (Apparently there are four, at least that you can access from the GOES site)alan1961 wrote:I like this feature..Ike zoomed on the floaters.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t3/vis-l.jpg
Last edited by weunice on Fri Sep 12, 2008 7:55 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL IKE: Category 2 - Discussion
Its amazing.. You can actually see the remnants of the 3 different eyes trying to come together and get it going. Of course I don't think it can. 3 partial eye walls don't work.
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- lrak
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Re: ATL IKE: Category 2 - Discussion
Rod Hagen wrote:lrak wrote:The hurricane service said NW movement will commence this afternoon, wasn't that suppose to happen last night?
I guess I'm nervous this looks like its goinging in a little futher south than expected, my opinion is only from watching satellite this morning. The WHOLE thing is still moving in my general direction and hasn't turned, why? I mean its still below 27 latitude this morning.
thanks
I've been watching its track pretty carefully for most of the day, Irak.
Looking at the latest visual in the loop at http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t3/loop-vis.html I reckon it is actually closer to forecast track than I have seen it all day (or rather, all night, your time).
Cheers
Rod
thanks for the clarification, I remember we were seeing the same thing last night. I feel better now.
get some sleep LOL
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