When is season over for northern gulf coast

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lonelymike
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When is season over for northern gulf coast

#1 Postby lonelymike » Mon Sep 15, 2008 9:05 am

Got a question for any pro mets or other informed amuaters out there. When do the westerlies kick in for the northern gulf coast usually. Not trying to predict an end of season like certain other posters(hmmm...ed :lol: ) or say the northern gulf coast won't get hit again but just curious. A cold front is coming through destin tonite and my parents asked me so I'm asking you. Thanks for any answers.
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Re: When is season over for northern gulf coast

#2 Postby HURAKAN » Mon Sep 15, 2008 9:10 am

Image

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It's not over until it's over.
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#3 Postby O Town » Mon Sep 15, 2008 9:20 am

Wow 3 of the 6 hit LA and 4 developed in the BOC or western gulf area.
Interesting October storms.
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#4 Postby Steve » Mon Sep 15, 2008 9:20 am

I'd say generally by or around mid-October, but you never know for sure until the storms stop coming. I'd guess maybe 4 more weeks or so. However, most of the really destructive storms and high-end stuff comes through in late August-early September. Sometimes you have anomalous years (2005) where you had a fairly late season mega-storm in Rita (obviously weakened from her Cat 5 days but still brutal).

Steve
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Re: When is season over for northern gulf coast

#5 Postby lonelymike » Mon Sep 15, 2008 9:34 am

HURAKAN wrote:Image

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It's not over until it's over.


Now make sure you list all those storms hitting Miami now :P
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Re:

#6 Postby HURAKAN » Mon Sep 15, 2008 9:35 am

O Town wrote:Wow 3 of the 6 hit LA and 4 developed in the BOC or western gulf area.
Interesting October storms.


Those are just a few examples.
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#7 Postby CrazyC83 » Mon Sep 15, 2008 9:37 am

What about Kate in 1985? Hit in late November.
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Re: When is season over for northern gulf coast

#8 Postby HURAKAN » Mon Sep 15, 2008 9:40 am

Climatology:

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Image
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Re:

#9 Postby HURAKAN » Mon Sep 15, 2008 9:40 am

CrazyC83 wrote:What about Kate in 1985? Hit in late November.


Image

Kate was a weirdo like Ike!
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Re: When is season over for northern gulf coast

#10 Postby CourierPR » Mon Sep 15, 2008 1:22 pm

November 30, 2008.
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#11 Postby DESTRUCTION5 » Mon Sep 15, 2008 2:01 pm

Ask Ed... :lol:
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Re:

#12 Postby Stormcenter » Mon Sep 15, 2008 3:42 pm

Steve wrote:I'd say generally by or around mid-October, but you never know for sure until the storms stop coming. I'd guess maybe 4 more weeks or so. However, most of the really destructive storms and high-end stuff comes through in late August-early September. Sometimes you have anomalous years (2005) where you had a fairly late season mega-storm in Rita (obviously weakened from her Cat 5 days but still brutal).

Steve



The really "big" one are usually between Aug.15 and Sept. 15th. Yes there have been exceptions (Opal,Rita,etc.) but those aren't the norms. I feel better now then I did 3 weeks ago. As long as those cool fronts keep on coming down and cool the waters somewhat we'll be okay.
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Re:

#13 Postby HurricaneRobert » Mon Sep 15, 2008 6:06 pm

DESTRUCTION5 wrote:Ask Ed... :lol:


Southeast Florida season over :grrr:
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Re: Re:

#14 Postby AnnularCane » Mon Sep 15, 2008 6:48 pm

HurricaneRobert wrote:
DESTRUCTION5 wrote:Ask Ed... :lol:


Southeast Florida season over :grrr:



Now you've done it! :eek:

Usually by about mid-October or so, the westerlies start dipping down into the northern Gulf and it gets more fall-like. By then anything that comes up from the Caribbean usually gets shunted eastward.
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Re: When is season over for northern gulf coast

#15 Postby CrazyC83 » Mon Sep 15, 2008 8:44 pm

CourierPR wrote:November 30, 2008.


Maybe you just jinxed them into an off-season shocker in December?
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